Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Probably the last chance to have a crack at Paddys offer.

Go with Demarius Thomas @ 8/1 and a flyer with Montee Ball @ 16/1.

excellent call camel

nearly got Ball in 1 minute before as well

[The Camel]

Probably the last chance to have a crack at Paddys offer.

Go with Demarius Thomas @ 8/1 and a flyer with Montee Ball @ 16/1.

excellent call camel

nearly got Ball in 1 minute before as well

Thanks horsey

The last chance saloon sometimes serves champagne!

Now get another please Mr Thomas!

Ball might well be worth backing next week v the Pats if he's 14/1+

The Broncos have started using him as much if not more than Moreno in the red zone.

[horseplayer]

hope he scores again for you

always good to cheer something on

[scotty2hatty]

Tighty's Suarez bet has to be one of the best yet surely!

An extraordinary piece of thinking by him. Think we gave the rest a month start, & 4 or 5 goals.

He didn't bring it up, but he sure hinted!

[the sicilian]

Interesting bookies never say how much they make on a weekend when a couple of odds on goes tits and they scoop the lot....

That'd not exactly send the right Marketing message, now would it?

"We lost the lot" works rather better. They rarely get the chance to say it though.

Tbf it was a rhetorical comment

[The Camel]

Demarius drops one in the end zone for the double bubble.

[Marky147]

Probably the last chance to have a crack at Paddys offer.

Go with Demarius Thomas @ 8/1 and a flyer with Montee Ball @ 16/1.

excellent call camel

nearly got Ball in 1 minute before as well

Thanks horsey

The last chance saloon sometimes serves champagne!

Now get another please Mr Thomas!

Ball might well be worth backing next week v the Pats if he's 14/1+

The Broncos have started using him as much if not more than Moreno in the red zone.

Great shout!

I sacked off First TD bets when Paddy took the double odds away from me after a couple payouts.

[Marky147]

Tighty's Suarez bet has to be one of the best yet surely!

An extraordinary piece of thinking by him. Think we gave the rest a month start, & 4 or 5 goals.

He didn't bring it up, but he sure hinted!

Got to be a little careful, Suarez might eat someone yet

[maldini32]

Bet for discussion.

Andy Carroll to be West Ham's top scorer.

Current standings:

Ravel Morrison    3   
Carlton Cole    4   
Ricardo Vaz Te    2   
Joe Cole            3       
Mohamed Diamé    2       
Modibo Maiga    1   
Mark Noble            2   
Kevin Nolan            2           
Winston Reid    1   

Carlton Cole doesnt start now that Carroll is fit, same goes for Maiga. As Big Sam plays one up front and 2 wide.

Morrison maybe of to Fulham (speculation).

At first look 5's looks too big? Am I alone in that?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/west-ham/top-league-goalscorer

[JaffaCake]

How did Tighty's Niners bet go? Backed it but dno how to check it

[Doobs]

ONE TO KEEP AN EYE ON


PP are currently offering 9/1 on Newcastle without the big 6, Everton are the huge favourites with IMO only Newcastle as a realistic challenger, so in effect its a 2 horse race
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/w-o-big-6

Although I do think 9-1 is good value and worth a small season sweat bet, I think it should be looked at again mid January.

   Evertons next 5 games are all winable and should extend to their 4 point lead over Newcastle


Everton V Sunderland
   Thu 26 Dec    15:00    
   Premier League    
Everton V Southampton
   Sun 29 Dec    13:30    
Premier League    
Stoke V Everton
   Wed 1 Jan    15:00
   Premier League    
Everton V Norwich
   Sat 11 Jan    15:00    
   Premier League    
West Brom V Everton
   Mon 20 Jan    20:00    
   Premier League    
   

Newcastles next 5 games

Premier League    

Newcastle V Stoke
   Thu 26 Dec    15:00    
   Premier League    
Newcastle V Arsenal
   Sun 29 Dec    13:30    
   Premier League    
West Brom V Newcastle
   Wed 1 Jan    15:00    
   Premier League    
Newcastle V Man City
   Sun 12 Jan    14:05    
   Premier League    
West Ham V Newcastle
   Sat 18 Jan    15:00

at the end of this period I would expect Everton to open a 8+ point lead and Newcastles odds should drift to in the region of 12/1 to 16/1 (maybe more)

However, Newcastle then go on a long run of winable games (with the odd exception) and Everton have a run of  tougher games, and I would expect Newcastle to close the gap some what. Everton also have a very tough final 4 games.    2 away games at relegation contenders Hull and an impressive Southampton,and both Manchester clubs at home.

I'm not being a delusional footie fan, I don't actually think Newcastle will finish above Everton but there is a reasonable chance and 9/1 is value and worth a small punt maybe a tenner or a score, but definitely worth another look at come mid January where the value may well increase significantly.

REEVALUATION DAY

Things have gone pretty much as expected, Everton are currently 8 points ahead with Newcastle playing their game in hand against Man City today 2.05pm ko.........(so still 8 points behind come 4pm)
Right now betvictor are offering 12/1 but hopefully this will be 14's+ after the Citeh game.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/w-o-big-6

   I do think the 12's right now is value, but definitely worth the wait to see what's offered come 4-5pm

Newcastle from now till the end of the season IMO have a far easier set of fixtures than Everton, and I do expect Newcastle to close the gap over the next 6-7 games (Citeh game not inc.) 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/everton/fixtures
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/newcastle-united/fixtures

A big negative for the bet is that Newcastle team captain Fabricio Coloccini is out injured for a few weeks, and Newcastle are a far weaker team without him. However to counter that a little  Everton have Barkley out with a toe injury.

 http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25700507

As mentioned in the original suggestion, I do think Everton will hold out, but i think it will be a lot closer than the 12/1+ suggests.
I genuinely think it will it could be decided over the Newcastle v Everton game on March 8th. A Newcastle MUST win game to have a decent chance of finishing above Everton.

I suggest £25 at a minimum 12/1
possibly lay the 25 off before the Newcastle v Everton game if the odds suit

Thanks Neil,

Yes, we will keep an eye on that after today's games.

We already have a position on Newcastle, incidentally, that feels better value somehow. We have them on the Handicap to win the Premier League with a 33 point start (!), £20 EW @ 20/1, qtr odds top 3. Think that price must be long gone now.

Not sure that Newcastle can sustain their recent good form, the squad looks precariously thin & lacking in depth. Loic Remy is awesome though, obv. For the fans, of course, be great to see Newcastle do well, & I'm hoping Sunderland get their act together soon, can't be a bad thing to have two great NE clubs doing well.

they are completely different bets, one is a 7 or 8 runner bet the other is realistically a 2 runner bet....... you have to finish above everton to win and newcastle is the only realistic shout.

its now 16's  
i'll eat my hat if that is not 8's or less at some point of the season
if i'm right u could lay it and have youself a 200 nicker freeroll for a 25 outlay
if i'm wrong i'm eating trilby and chips

snooze and you will lose  

There is a without top 6 market on Betfair, but it looks very weak.  So you aren't going to be able to lay off at 8/1 even if the bookies go that price.  To get the bet away on Betfair, you'd likely have to lay off at a stupid price.  There is nothing free about laying off either, if you do get a £50 bet on to lay off at your bad 8/1 price it would mean tying up £400 for a few months.

The bet looks ok, but we shouldn't be making bad decisions on trading off the back of it. 

FWIW I think Trilby is better with brown sauce or mustard.  Ketchup isn't ever hiding the taste.

[sonour]

How did Tighty's Niners bet go? Backed it but dno how to check it

It won, of course !

[sonour]

How did Tighty's Niners bet go? Backed it but dno how to check it

It won, of course !

23-10 to 49ers

[sonour]

How did Tighty's Niners bet go? Backed it but dno how to check it

It won, of course !

23-10 to 49ers

Chargers +9.5 is very tight..
24-17 down . Broncos 3rd and 1

[sonour]

How did Tighty's Niners bet go? Backed it but dno how to check it

It won, of course !

23-10 to 49ers

Chargers +9.5 is very tight..
24-17 down . Broncos 3rd and 1

Finished. Nice double Tighty. Thank you.