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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16534746 times)
tikay
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65940 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65941 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:11:23 PM »
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Well only one can win
Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
The Camel
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Posts: 17076
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65942 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:12:37 PM »
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Betting them both is more than fine.
Basically getting 13/2ish a Denver rb gets the first td.
Sounds massive to me.
Be a bit sickening if Peyton does this again
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65943 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:12:46 PM »
We're not running so well
Harlequns last minute penalty to beat Scarlets 22-20
The outstanding Thierry Dusatoir, the french captain, has also been ruled out of the six nations after an injury.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65944 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:15:32 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on January 19, 2014, 05:12:37 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Betting them both is more than fine.
Basically getting 13/2ish a Denver rb gets the first td.
Sounds massive to me.
Be a bit sickening if Peyton does this again
I is the massive.
We are on, that is the other £25 Free bet placed. FML I'm working tonight, so can't watch the game, but I can peruse Fred during breaks, so hopefully someone will update the Fred.
BET PLACED
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65945 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:17:16 PM »
Late pm Picture Quiz
Name the odd one out of the 4 NFL Conference QBs
clue as to the subject in the pic
Click to see full-size image.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
JoeBeevers
Sr. Member
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Posts: 517
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65946 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:19:45 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:11:23 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Well only one can win
Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?
I actually think the opposite.
Theoretically best use of the free bets is an 8 runner race with no edge where all runners are 7/1 and you can use 8 x £25 free bets backing them all. Guaranteed to get back £175 and reduces variance.
So I would bet both Moreno and Ball if I liked the prices, and I do at 9/1 and 20/1.
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16735
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65947 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:20:18 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:11:23 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Well only one can win
Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?
If both bets are +EV, I am sure it is fine.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65948 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:20:48 PM »
Quote from: JoeBeevers on January 19, 2014, 05:19:45 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:11:23 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:06:05 PM
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:03:30 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 19, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)
We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go
For the remaining £25 Free Bet?
Just say the word.......
too late, you've done Ball
Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now
Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Well only one can win
Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?
I actually think the opposite.
Theoretically best use of the free bets is an 8 runner race with no edge where all runners are 7/1 and you can use 8 x £25 free bets backing them all. Guaranteed to get back £175 and reduces variance.
So I would bet both Moreno and Ball if I liked the prices, and I do at 9/1 and 20/1.
Thanks Mr B, we have done exactly that.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65949 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:21:58 PM »
thank you. Lets land one now
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65950 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:23:22 PM »
With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65951 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:24:03 PM »
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:23:22 PM
With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?
we all need a United consolation
Its ok though, Chris Smalling has come on
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
horseplayer
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Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65952 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:24:36 PM »
Quote from: tikay on January 19, 2014, 05:23:22 PM
With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?
Man United need to score to evoke the refund
Or if you put £25 on an eto hat trick (nobody did) you do not care a jot
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Doobs
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Posts: 16735
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65953 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:25:58 PM »
If a 20/1 bet beats or matches Betfair it is better than a 10/1 chance that beats or matches Betfair in the very long run.
The problem with a lot of 20/1 chances on things like horse racing is that you can get 25/1+ on Betfair. With a lot of 7/1 or 10/1 chances the best prices are usually closer to Betfair. Of course, this isn't always the case, and Betfair don't even have a market on first touchdown that I can see.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #65954 on:
January 19, 2014, 05:27:23 PM »
Ha!
Well I hope Man U score.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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