blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 27, 2025, 05:44:30 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262521 Posts in 66609 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 38 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 4393 4394 4395 4396 [4397] 4398 4399 4400 4401 ... 9209 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16528840 times)
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65940 on: January 19, 2014, 05:09:07 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65941 on: January 19, 2014, 05:11:23 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Well only one can win

Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17076


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #65942 on: January 19, 2014, 05:12:37 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Betting them both is more than fine.

Basically getting 13/2ish a Denver rb gets the first td.

Sounds massive to me.

Be a bit sickening if Peyton does this again

Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65943 on: January 19, 2014, 05:12:46 PM »

We're not running so well

Harlequns last minute penalty to beat Scarlets 22-20


The outstanding Thierry Dusatoir, the french captain, has also been ruled out of the six nations after an injury.

Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65944 on: January 19, 2014, 05:15:32 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Betting them both is more than fine.

Basically getting 13/2ish a Denver rb gets the first td.

Sounds massive to me.

Be a bit sickening if Peyton does this again



I is the massive.

We are on, that is the other £25 Free bet placed. FML I'm working tonight, so can't watch the game, but I can peruse Fred during breaks, so hopefully someone will update the Fred.

BET PLACED
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65945 on: January 19, 2014, 05:17:16 PM »

Late pm Picture Quiz


Name the odd one out of the 4 NFL Conference QBs

clue as to the subject in the pic

 Click to see full-size image.
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
JoeBeevers
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 517



View Profile
« Reply #65946 on: January 19, 2014, 05:19:45 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Well only one can win

Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?

I actually think the opposite.

Theoretically best use of the free bets is an 8 runner race with no edge where all runners are 7/1 and you can use 8 x £25 free bets backing them all. Guaranteed to get back £175 and reduces variance.

So I would bet both Moreno and Ball if I liked the prices, and I do at 9/1 and 20/1.
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: 16734


View Profile
« Reply #65947 on: January 19, 2014, 05:20:18 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Well only one can win

Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?

If both bets are +EV, I am sure it is fine.  
Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65948 on: January 19, 2014, 05:20:48 PM »

Knowshown Moreno with Hills 9/1 first td Scorer, top price, matches Betfair :-)

We have a sweat on at Parc y Scarlets, 20-19 Scarlets with 20 to go

For the remaining £25 Free Bet?

Just say the word.......

too late, you've done Ball

Moreno was the more optimal bet imo (pricing and likelihood), but we can cheer on Ball now

Excuse my hignorance, but are you saying we cannot do both?

Well only one can win

Better utility to use the second free bet in a seperated, non related market/event/sport?

I actually think the opposite.

Theoretically best use of the free bets is an 8 runner race with no edge where all runners are 7/1 and you can use 8 x £25 free bets backing them all. Guaranteed to get back £175 and reduces variance.

So I would bet both Moreno and Ball if I liked the prices, and I do at 9/1 and 20/1.

Thanks Mr B, we have done exactly that.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65949 on: January 19, 2014, 05:21:58 PM »

thank you. Lets land one now
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65950 on: January 19, 2014, 05:23:22 PM »


With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65951 on: January 19, 2014, 05:24:03 PM »


With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?

we all need a United consolation

Its ok though, Chris Smalling has come on
Logged

My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10314



View Profile
« Reply #65952 on: January 19, 2014, 05:24:36 PM »


With Chelsea 3-0 up v Man U, how does that affect the Ladbrokes 93 bet affair?

Man United need to score to evoke the refund

Or if you put £25 on an eto hat trick (nobody did) you do not care a jot
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: 16734


View Profile
« Reply #65953 on: January 19, 2014, 05:25:58 PM »

If a 20/1 bet beats or matches Betfair it is better than a 10/1 chance that beats or matches Betfair in the very long run.

The problem with a lot of 20/1 chances on things like horse racing is that you can get 25/1+ on Betfair.  With a lot of 7/1 or 10/1 chances the best prices are usually closer to Betfair.   Of course, this isn't always the case, and Betfair don't even have a market on first touchdown that I can see.
Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #65954 on: January 19, 2014, 05:27:23 PM »

Ha!

Well I hope Man U score.



Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Pages: 1 ... 4393 4394 4395 4396 [4397] 4398 4399 4400 4401 ... 9209 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.46 seconds with 20 queries.