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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16403966 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #68745 on: February 18, 2014, 02:06:06 AM »

Posh win on Pens!!!!!

Chompy Streaking across town ground

...thanks to this man's generosity.
Take a bow, Tijane Reis!



You know what I really hate?

Bloody after timing commentators.

Hinchliffe "He had no real conviction".

Why didn't you say this BEFORE he missed?

Quality snigger at the end of the clip made it well worth watching though.

GL in the final chaps.

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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #68746 on: February 18, 2014, 07:38:56 AM »

Such a lol-penalty that.

Weemmmmbbbbeerrrley!

One League Two step away from double-figure tiddle-arse binkage!
« Last Edit: February 18, 2014, 07:52:29 AM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #68747 on: February 18, 2014, 08:13:11 AM »

I have no real opinion on Scottish independence, but all the Olympic Scots seem very pleased to have full Great British support.....
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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« Reply #68748 on: February 18, 2014, 08:49:28 AM »

Daily Report

No bets completed yesterday so as you were - £275 for the month with Two free bets to use with William Hill by Saturday


- Peterborough came from behind to make the JPT final, beating Swindon on Penalties. We have £20 at 11/1 thanks to Chompy

- Team GB Womens Curlers made the Semis, though lost to now face unbeaten Canada in the alst four. We have £25 at 3/1 thanks to Henrik

That was it for yesterday. The boss is pre-occupied :-)
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TightEnd
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« Reply #68749 on: February 18, 2014, 08:55:34 AM »



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« Reply #68750 on: February 18, 2014, 09:01:28 AM »

Our friends at Betting Emporium have set up a sign up code for blonde members

Cheltenham is £30 per day or £99 for the complete week (4 days) and various preview posts to access Neil Channing's analysis, tips and thoughts which provided so well for people who read them last year.

Please use this link for to sign up in time for Cheltenham and thereafter, and blondepoker will benefit from you doing so

http://www.bettingemporium.com/?aff=blondepoker


thanks
« Last Edit: February 18, 2014, 09:04:02 AM by TightEnd » Logged

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GlennDuskTillDawn
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« Reply #68751 on: February 18, 2014, 09:33:37 AM »

365 are doing the bet pre match upto £50 get risk free in play bet again on City Barca tonight. Anyone ITK that fancies doing some number crunching on that for best markets/way to.make some money Smiley ?
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« Reply #68752 on: February 18, 2014, 10:03:43 AM »

Thread needs to just back wins and draws under the bet every day offer.  Anything else and it gets severely limited.  Suspect thread should just give it a miss as Tikay might be a bit busy. 

Others need to be looking at correct scores, FGS etc.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #68753 on: February 18, 2014, 11:08:06 AM »

Bump. Ignoring the bad stuff, there was some useful discussion on the best strategy for when accounts might be restricted

grats fred and draw backers.

Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?

Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.

Happy days.

The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.

You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.

Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.

He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.  

The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me).   So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.  

I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy.  ie just double up on the draw or similar.

10 minutes after Camel's first post, I say we should do something different in future, later I say what happened tonight wasn't ideal.  

Nowhere have I said we didn't make a mistake tonight, just because I didn't say the exact words "we made a mistake here", doesn't mean I didn't think we made one.  We clearly made a mistake.  We will learn by doing something different next time with thread bets.  If I'd realised the corners bet was going to be so badly restricted, I'd have said do something else with the free bet, but the first bet was clearly fine.

Now can we get on with celebrating the £50 we had on the draw at 12/5 and the hundo Tikay made on the no goalscorer bet.

I know we could have made better bets, but +£220 isn't so bad.

 Cheers.



I only think the first bad was a bad one if

1. We are restricted

2. We want to bet on a market like first goalscorer where the limits are always smaller than the outright match winner.

We should have had the bets the other way round if 1 and 2 are applicable.

In running limits will always be smaller than pre match limits - so if restricted we should be betting on the more obscure markets pre match and the big markets in running.

Frankly I still half think I'm being whooshed about no one understanding their restrictions policy.

I also don't understand this comment you made:

"But your new strategy isn't the best either"

Isn't my new strategy the same as yours? Except I am saying just back the team you think will win and you're saying back the price which is nearest the Betfair price?

The first bet on the draw was good, and better than no goalscorer.  The 2nd free bet on no goalscorer or corners was a mistake.  The 2nd bet should have been on draw, Chelsea or Man U.

I have placed maybe 2 previous in running football bets lifetime at bet365, and have never had a restriction, so was never go to know in advance what their in running market limits were, or have any idea how Tony was limited.  If I had known what they were, I would have suggested something different.  

When I first posted you suggested we should have bet no goalscorer first, and that was the new strategy I was referring to in my post 10 or so minutes after it.  Obviously your later strategy is now different from the one you posted straight after the game.  

You can go back and read our posts around 10pm to see this.  

Can we move on?  


I only said that we should have the first goalscorer bet pre match because we could have had nearer £50 on it (first goalscorer limits will be double prematch compared to in running I guess) and then had the same amount (free) in running.

It wasn't a strategy, it was just a way of getting maximum value for the free bet for a restricted punter.

From now on - whenever they make this offer, take it as read the in running part should always be on match winner - because that is the only market he'll get anywhere near £50 on.
« Last Edit: February 18, 2014, 11:10:02 AM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #68754 on: February 18, 2014, 11:49:51 AM »

Betfred holding 2.75 Barcelona.
2.46 on Betfair.
£200 per person per shop per cashier !
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« Reply #68755 on: February 18, 2014, 12:06:31 PM »

For fred purposes fair to say the Travel Southwell bet is now a no go, generally 7/4 with some 2-s about which is about right to me
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« Reply #68756 on: February 18, 2014, 12:07:37 PM »

Betfred holding 2.75 Barcelona.
2.46 on Betfair.
£200 per person per shop per cashier !

betfred have shops never seen one
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« Reply #68757 on: February 18, 2014, 12:37:51 PM »

Burton Port a national fancy of many on fred is entered in a veterans chase at Donny tommorow. I was very interested to see Davy Russell booked to ride, can only presume he will then ride him in the national which is a plus.
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« Reply #68758 on: February 18, 2014, 12:52:32 PM »

Betfred holding 2.75 Barcelona.
2.46 on Betfair.
£200 per person per shop per cashier !

betfred have shops never seen one

most of them in scotland are ex-tote shops and there were never that many of these
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« Reply #68759 on: February 18, 2014, 01:53:27 PM »

Tikay, Can you do the Bet365 offer tonight ?
Tighty has suggested the draw with both the pre match and in play bet.
That's ok for a restricted account like Fred.

Please note it is not optimal for a non restricted account.
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