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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16388255 times)
hector62
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« Reply #70155 on: March 07, 2014, 07:06:57 PM »

Mere's back tipping. Which one do you want to be?

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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #70156 on: March 07, 2014, 07:07:16 PM »

Tennis arb opportunity Smiley

Only kidding. I wouldn't say that this is a genuine arb since the rules for void bets vary from bookie to bookie, i.e. satan will void the bet unless the match is completed.


Camila Giorgi v Sorana Cirstea

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wta-indian-wells/camila-giorgi-v-sorana-cirstea/winner

Satan has Giorgi (ranked 79) at 10/11. (They are definite stand-out here).
Bet247 has Cirstea (ranked 27) 11/8.

I'd suggest that both of these are value bets. Someone with more insight than me may be able to tell you which one is better.
The match is 6pm tomorrow so I don't think that they can accept your bet now and void it after the match if they don't like the result.
Betfair is currently lacking in volume but favours Giorgi.
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/tennis/market?id=1.113155322&exp=e

There has been a lot of money for Giorgi following a good win against Petkovic in the previous round (Cirstea got a bye). I've watched Cirstea's last three matches and she is in poor form but basically just her usual inconsistent self. She was very poor in her last match against Wozniacki but decent against an ordinary Errani in her previous match.
Cirstea is not injured as far as news reports and social media indicate.
https://twitter.com/sorana_cirstea
https://www.facebook.com/Soranacirstea

As Fred is persona non grata with satan and heavily restricted with Bet247 this isn't really of any use to him; I just thought that I'd post something.




Tried 220 with Satan and got the bet placement failed message. Price went to 4/6  right after. Funny that.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
TightEnd
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« Reply #70157 on: March 07, 2014, 07:12:24 PM »

Mere's back tipping. Which one do you want to be?




He can be Daisy Duke from the Dukes of Hazzard as far as I am concerned, but at least he's one of my famous five missing top-tipsters back and posting!
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KarmaDope
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« Reply #70158 on: March 07, 2014, 07:14:29 PM »

One for Tighty to peruse and other experts.

£10ew Sergio Perez to win Australian GP with the bald guy that shares a name with the nickname for this thread. 50/1 EW terms 1/5 1-2-3.

We are effectively getting 10/1 the podium and I think that the Force India car, which seems reliable and has a Mercedes engine, is a lot better than people think with good lap times being shown in testing and it doesnt seem to fail that much! Plus Perez tends to do well in Australia from memory and clearly likes the track.

Just bumping this one for thoughts and dependent on our position in Australia.

Still the standout for the win bet and also, oddschecker has Perez podium finish at best price 7/1. We would be getting 10/1 here.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #70159 on: March 07, 2014, 07:16:42 PM »

One for Tighty to peruse and other experts.

£10ew Sergio Perez to win Australian GP with the bald guy that shares a name with the nickname for this thread. 50/1 EW terms 1/5 1-2-3.

We are effectively getting 10/1 the podium and I think that the Force India car, which seems reliable and has a Mercedes engine, is a lot better than people think with good lap times being shown in testing and it doesnt seem to fail that much! Plus Perez tends to do well in Australia from memory and clearly likes the track.

Just bumping this one for thoughts and dependent on our position in Australia.

Still the standout for the win bet and also, oddschecker has Perez podium finish at best price 7/1. We would be getting 10/1 here.

I like the podium finish bet, sorry I missed the earlier post

Realistically he's not the winner, but top three might well be an option if the place only is available
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MereNovice
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« Reply #70160 on: March 07, 2014, 07:18:18 PM »

Tennis arb opportunity Smiley

Only kidding. I wouldn't say that this is a genuine arb since the rules for void bets vary from bookie to bookie, i.e. satan will void the bet unless the match is completed.


Camila Giorgi v Sorana Cirstea

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wta-indian-wells/camila-giorgi-v-sorana-cirstea/winner

Satan has Giorgi (ranked 79) at 10/11. (They are definite stand-out here).
Bet247 has Cirstea (ranked 27) 11/8.

I'd suggest that both of these are value bets. Someone with more insight than me may be able to tell you which one is better.
The match is 6pm tomorrow so I don't think that they can accept your bet now and void it after the match if they don't like the result.
Betfair is currently lacking in volume but favours Giorgi.
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/tennis/market?id=1.113155322&exp=e

There has been a lot of money for Giorgi following a good win against Petkovic in the previous round (Cirstea got a bye). I've watched Cirstea's last three matches and she is in poor form but basically just her usual inconsistent self. She was very poor in her last match against Wozniacki but decent against an ordinary Errani in her previous match.
Cirstea is not injured as far as news reports and social media indicate.
https://twitter.com/sorana_cirstea
https://www.facebook.com/Soranacirstea

As Fred is persona non grata with satan and heavily restricted with Bet247 this isn't really of any use to him; I just thought that I'd post something.




Tried 220 with Satan and got the bet placement failed message. Price went to 4/6  right after. Funny that.

I play for smaller stakes. Smiley
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« Reply #70161 on: March 07, 2014, 07:18:32 PM »

One for Tighty to peruse and other experts.

£10ew Sergio Perez to win Australian GP with the bald guy that shares a name with the nickname for this thread. 50/1 EW terms 1/5 1-2-3.

We are effectively getting 10/1 the podium and I think that the Force India car, which seems reliable and has a Mercedes engine, is a lot better than people think with good lap times being shown in testing and it doesnt seem to fail that much! Plus Perez tends to do well in Australia from memory and clearly likes the track.

Just bumping this one for thoughts and dependent on our position in Australia.

Still the standout for the win bet and also, oddschecker has Perez podium finish at best price 7/1. We would be getting 10/1 here.

I like the podium finish bet, sorry I missed the earlier post

Realistically he's not the winner, but top three might well be an option if the place only is available

In that case, recommend £10 Perez to Podium at 7/1 (Betfair FO, 365, PP, BV)
« Last Edit: March 07, 2014, 07:21:40 PM by sharplea » Logged
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« Reply #70162 on: March 07, 2014, 07:41:34 PM »

One for Tighty to peruse and other experts.

£10ew Sergio Perez to win Australian GP with the bald guy that shares a name with the nickname for this thread. 50/1 EW terms 1/5 1-2-3.

We are effectively getting 10/1 the podium and I think that the Force India car, which seems reliable and has a Mercedes engine, is a lot better than people think with good lap times being shown in testing and it doesnt seem to fail that much! Plus Perez tends to do well in Australia from memory and clearly likes the track.

Just bumping this one for thoughts and dependent on our position in Australia.

Still the standout for the win bet and also, oddschecker has Perez podium finish at best price 7/1. We would be getting 10/1 here.

I like the podium finish bet, sorry I missed the earlier post

Realistically he's not the winner, but top three might well be an option if the place only is available

In that case, recommend £10 Perez to Podium at 7/1 (Betfair FO, 365, PP, BV)

  I think the differential between him and Hulkenberg is bigger than 11/2 to 7/1.  Not sure there is any value with the bookies on either though. 


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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #70163 on: March 07, 2014, 07:42:09 PM »

Just found this.  Looked thru the last few pages and hadn't seen anything.  Could be of use to the thread

An absolute ridiculous offer from Bet Bright http://tiny.cc/BetBright30 That's an affiliate link as I'm not sure it's available direct

They're offering a £30 RISK FREE bet on the Imperial Cup & a £20 free bet for the first day of the Festival.

so you:

1. sign up
2. Deposit £30
3. Stick £30 on a horse in the Imperial Cup (3.15 sandown)
4. If it wins, great! If it loses you get the £30 back as CASH and can withdraw it.
5. On Tuesday they'll give you a £20 free bet for Cheltenham


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sonour
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« Reply #70164 on: March 07, 2014, 07:48:50 PM »

Tighty.

If you are going to back 1st try scorers in Super League then look to do it with Betfred. They offer double the odds if your player scores again, and treble for a hatrick. Very good value on wingers in games you think will be high scoring.

thank you, didn't know that!

Unfortunately Betfred typically go bottom price on all FGS when they have this offer on. In this case 11/2 against a top price of 8/1.
With the football DOuble Delight they typically boost one FGS 30 mins before kick off. I don't know if it is the same with Rugby. Typically the boost is from bottom to middle price.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #70165 on: March 07, 2014, 08:01:22 PM »

Tighty.

If you are going to back 1st try scorers in Super League then look to do it with Betfred. They offer double the odds if your player scores again, and treble for a hatrick. Very good value on wingers in games you think will be high scoring.

thank you, didn't know that!

Unfortunately Betfred typically go bottom price on all FGS when they have this offer on. In this case 11/2 against a top price of 8/1.
With the football DOuble Delight they typically boost one FGS 30 mins before kick off. I don't know if it is the same with Rugby. Typically the boost is from bottom to middle price.

SpreadEx are 10/1. You may have to ring them up but you can get on.
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sonour
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« Reply #70166 on: March 07, 2014, 08:02:21 PM »

Tighty.

If you are going to back 1st try scorers in Super League then look to do it with Betfred. They offer double the odds if your player scores again, and treble for a hatrick. Very good value on wingers in games you think will be high scoring.

thank you, didn't know that!

Unfortunately Betfred typically go bottom price on all FGS when they have this offer on. In this case 11/2 against a top price of 8/1.
With the football DOuble Delight they typically boost one FGS 30 mins before kick off. I don't know if it is the same with Rugby. Typically the boost is from bottom to middle price.

Actually 11/2 against a top pice of 10/1 so you're getting nearly double for the 1st try scorer.
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« Reply #70167 on: March 07, 2014, 08:13:01 PM »

Just found this.  Looked thru the last few pages and hadn't seen anything.  Could be of use to the thread

An absolute ridiculous offer from Bet Bright http://tiny.cc/BetBright30 That's an affiliate link as I'm not sure it's available direct

They're offering a £30 RISK FREE bet on the Imperial Cup & a £20 free bet for the first day of the Festival.

so you:

1. sign up
2. Deposit £30
3. Stick £30 on a horse in the Imperial Cup (3.15 sandown)
4. If it wins, great! If it loses you get the £30 back as CASH and can withdraw it.
5. On Tuesday they'll give you a £20 free bet for Cheltenham




Search harder, 2 pages back Wink
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #70168 on: March 07, 2014, 08:33:31 PM »

BOD fans, Betfair sportsbook go 13-1 first try in his farewell to egg chasing testimonial against the Italians....best price 10-1 elsewhere PLUS they double the price for a second try n treble for a hattrick, £25 max for the offer. Car bonnet.

Ps gone under paul george points in tonight's Indiana game, he's playing terribley of late n has a dodgy back, ice packed after training, not for Fred but if anyone fancies a lil punt
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #70169 on: March 07, 2014, 08:38:25 PM »

More multiples though, more multiples Wink

Haha, this.

And Head Iton Tom at Romford tonight.

Feel like crying. Had a chunk at 6/1 and gets his legs trampled on leading round the last.
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