Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on month £179.97

Outstanding Bets £4037.07

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=22


A Very frustrating day, full of near misses and a loss of £97

The single winner was in Rugby League, £44 from Castleford at 11/5 v Wigan

Losers

Cristera in the Tennis -£16

Yohio the warbler -£10

Wales and the draw -£45.

Buttler -£10


and the three cross-bars...

Hayley Tamaddon running up on DOI -£40, where we had a great run over several months

The Crufts runner up at 16-1 -£10, a great spot by our correspondent on the eclectic and ephemeral, canine and fashion included

and Bopara -£10 at 16-1

I was gutted by Bopara. Such a great price, traded at 1.04 on Betfair in running when he was 40* and got done by a tail ender in a dead match

The second game is on tuesday, and hopefully the inefficiency in the batsman sub-market pricing continues, with numbers 1-4 priced up as jollies and the value at 5,6,7 with all the early batsmen Strugglnig against the spin. Buttler I think, again

Its also a sixes ground. Small boundaries, good pitch, both sides got power hitters


Elsewhere Ings scored in Burnley's first win over Blackburn since 1979. we continue to have a chance of a scoop here with 12 games to go:

 23  McCormack    (Leeds)
 20  Ings     (Burnley)
 17  Nugent  (Leicester)
 17  Rhodes  (Blackburn)
 17  Vokes  (Burnley)


The Six Nations results more or less put paid to France winning the six nations. England go to Rome, will win and France will not beat Ireland by sufficient points to win on points difference, the first tie-breaker

[TightEnd]

Winners interview with a difference

Click to see full-size image.

Castleford win



Triple Crown



Oh Ravi.

Click to see full-size image.

Ings Ding Dong

Click to see full-size image.

2013 and 2014, same day a year apart (today)



Doral at Sunset



and what happens when centre forwards and itinerant managers jump the shark

Click to see full-size image.

[Tal]

Click to see full-size image.

Someone is interviewing a famous chess player, the same year as he played him in a simultaneous exhibition. He now manages a football team in England.

Fastest finger first.

[superwomble]

Can only see a bit of glasses on my phone so - Felix Magath?

[Tal]

Can only see a bit of glasses on my phone so - Felix Magath?

Genau!

http://en.chessbase.com/post/yes2chess-with-felix-magath

[Eso Kral]

As we backed the BOD bet with PP that I put on for Fred there was a bonus email on my return to work today.

Here was the betslip
Rugby Union
The Six Nations
Ireland v Italy
8th of March 2014 2:30 pm
To Score a Try in 80 min
Brian O'Driscoll @ 8/5 
Bet placed at 6th of March 2014 6:03 pm Total Stake £25.00
Bet type Single (To Win) Tax@Tax free 0
Number of lines 1 Total stake due £25.00
Stake per line £25.00 Freebets Redeemed £0.00
Channel Internet Total amount paid £25.00
Number of win lines 0   
Number of void lines 0 Returns £0.00
  Money Back Special £25.00
  Total Returns £25.00

And below is the lovely message from PP so Fred needs to add £25 back to the monthly P+L and obv Pops does not need to send to me now!

This bet has benefited from
our Brian O'Driscoll Goodwill Gesture.
You have received your stake of £25.00 back
 

[exstream]

Every* chelt race is an arb on ladbrokes atm.
Haven't checked all.

[Tal]

Every* chelt race is an arb on ladbrokes atm.
Haven't checked all.

Probably the worst day of the year to get your account closed.

[rfgqqabc]

Appears like £50.50 (each way too) max on each bizarrely. Gl tikay. Will my account survive betting them all at various stakes? Any particularly worth laying?

[Eso Kral]

Seems they knew I was placing it for Tikay

Hi Richard,
Yeeeeee-haw, it seems congratulations are in order. You either possess notable hacking skills or you've just got a few quid back from us.

Anyway, here's the deal - our Brian O'Driscoll Goodwill Gesture Money-Back Special has clicked which means that we've put real cash back into your pocket, or manbag, or whatever the hipsters carry these days.

[Chompy]

Poshies v Brizzle City tomorrow night.

Both teams need the points for different reasons and both are way better going forward than defending.

Brizzle have Sam Baldock and JET, both linked with Poshies at one time, taking on our fragile back line, and we have Britt, Ajose and Washington going at a back line that's conceded 58 in 35 matches.

This game usually produces goals. Posh won 4-2 at the weekend, Brizzle won 3-2.

Rec £20 over 4.5 goals @ 5-1 Hillies
Rec £10 over 5.5 goals @ 13-1 BMU

[Doobs]

Appears like £50.50 (each way too) max on each bizarrely. Gl tikay. Will my account survive betting them all at various stakes? Any particularly worth laying?

That means Tikay can get £5.05 on each which is above the new minimum!

To answer your question, I expect backing them all is pretty risky, I am sure a couple of people mentioned in the summer they had been restricted after taking up offers there.  

[Omm]

Poshies v Brizzle City tomorrow night.

Both teams need the points for different reasons and both are way better going forward than defending.

Brizzle have Sam Baldock and JET, both linked with Poshies at one time, taking on our fragile back line, and we have Britt, Ajose and Washington going at a back line that's conceded 58 in 35 matches.

This game usually produces goals. Posh won 4-2 at the weekend, Brizzle won 3-2.

Rec £20 over 4.5 goals @ 5-1 Hillies
Rec £10 over 5.5 goals @ 13-1 BMU

Over 4.5 11/2 BMU

[Bad Beat]

I'm pretty sure Tikay will never overcome his blindspot to betting multiples but the Ladbrokes 9am-10am offer is a good example of where you can have good multiples.

 The reason we should generally be wary of multiples is that all bets (theoretically) have an inherent advantage to the bookmaker (the overound) and we are multiplying that advantage.

 We can have good multiples when we can be 100% sure the advantage is with us, the problem is lot of measurement of who has the edge is subjective.

 The one exception is in UNDEROUND or OVERBROKE books where the bookmaker has a -ve advantage. If we can find these and multiply them together we will have a way bigger edge than doing them in singles. We will, of course, increase variance so we need to stake carefully to fit our bankroll, but that is another story.

 Every horse that Ladbrokes enhanced was -ev to them and +ev to us as witnessed by the Betfair prices. Therefore multiples would be great.

 Even Ladbrokes figured this out and the promotion was limited to singles only. No multiples.

 When Ladbrokes are refusing multiples from you then you know they are great bets.

 Just trying to break through...

[Omm]

Ruby Walsh evens top jockey with Hills Mobile. 1.86 on bf.