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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16374243 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #76335 on: May 03, 2014, 11:35:07 AM »

ok done that

Single Selections
15:50 TOORMORE (EW) (Horse Racing Outright) Odds: 9/1 Stake: 150.00 Possible Return:  993.75


what did you think of outstrip at 28-1 suggested yesterday as a lively, value, outsider?

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner, only godolphin horse in this
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #76336 on: May 03, 2014, 11:42:01 AM »

 I don't particularly fancy it and it's nowhere near as solid as Toormore but at 30-31 and less than 6/1 a place it is an arb at 28/1 with 1/4 123 so it is a bet.

 With these place terms  and the shape of the market you can easily find a few potential bets in the race.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #76337 on: May 03, 2014, 11:44:14 AM »

for arbboy

entirely your shout if you think superkev will be on pens. have no idea if sentiment plays a part

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arbboy
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« Reply #76338 on: May 03, 2014, 01:07:32 PM »

cheers tighty.  I had a small interest in phillips fgs and anytime.  Have been out all morning and just got back in.
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« Reply #76339 on: May 03, 2014, 02:07:17 PM »

Did some work the other day that related to already relegated clubs in the Championship playing the last game of the season.
Incidence of games with lots of goals was very high (over 3.5 goals in 9 out of the last 12 relevant matches versus ave 26% over 3.5 normally).

Didn't get time to stick it up, but notice that the Yeovil game is already there, and Barnsley v QPR is at 3 goals with time left.

Haven't got any league one knowledge, but can't see why the factors in play would be any different.
Think it's worth a punt on O3.5 in the Brentford/Stevenage (best 19/10 VC)  and Gillingham/Shrewsbury games (best 23/10 Lads).

Some of this will already be factored in so wouldn't go mad.... £25 each should do.
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« Reply #76340 on: May 03, 2014, 02:10:24 PM »

punchestown 3:45 cockney sparrow has to be a big each way punt at 6/1 top 2 1/4 odds  when he is 1.58 the place on betfair? fav 1/6 on and the rest of the 3 runners 40/1 40/1 and 50/1.

Not sure if you want to back something like this, but if you do then I'm pretty sure its a solid bet?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #76341 on: May 03, 2014, 02:14:45 PM »

Did some work the other day that related to already relegated clubs in the Championship playing the last game of the season.
Incidence of games with lots of goals was very high (over 3.5 goals in 9 out of the last 12 relevant matches versus ave 26% over 3.5 normally).

Didn't get time to stick it up, but notice that the Yeovil game is already there, and Barnsley v QPR is at 3 goals with time left.

Haven't got any league one knowledge, but can't see why the factors in play would be any different.
Think it's worth a punt on O3.5 in the Brentford/Stevenage (best 19/10 VC)  and Gillingham/Shrewsbury games (best 23/10 Lads).

Some of this will already be factored in so wouldn't go mad.... £25 each should do.

Ladbrokes


23/10
Over 3.5
Gillingham v Shrewsbury
Singles - Total goals - Over/Under 3.5
1 line @ £25.00 per line
Total Stake £25.00
Potential Return £82.50
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000599

BV

 Bet Receipt
Single Selections
Brentford v Stevenage Over 3.5 (Total Goals - Over/Under 3.5 - 90 Mins) Odds: 15/8 Stake: 25.00 Possible Return:  71.88
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arbboy
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« Reply #76342 on: May 03, 2014, 02:15:58 PM »

Super kev goes off after 65 mins and leics get a pen 10 mins later. zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
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TightEnd
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« Reply #76343 on: May 03, 2014, 02:16:40 PM »

punchestown 3:45 cockney sparrow has to be a big each way punt at 6/1 top 2 1/4 odds  when he is 1.58 the place on betfair? fav 1/6 on and the rest of the 3 runners 40/1 40/1 and 50/1.

Not sure if you want to back something like this, but if you do then I'm pretty sure its a solid bet?

I am not "up" on this

would it be considered dirty/account closer type of bet please?

opinions on the bet?
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« Reply #76344 on: May 03, 2014, 02:25:32 PM »

punchestown 3:45 cockney sparrow has to be a big each way punt at 6/1 top 2 1/4 odds  when he is 1.58 the place on betfair? fav 1/6 on and the rest of the 3 runners 40/1 40/1 and 50/1.

Not sure if you want to back something like this, but if you do then I'm pretty sure its a solid bet?

I am not "up" on this

would it be considered dirty/account closer type of bet please?

opinions on the bet?

Definately a dirty each way and possible account closer I would have thought, that's why I wasn't sure if you wanted to back it but thought id post as others may want to bet if they like it and hadn't noticed it
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #76345 on: May 03, 2014, 02:25:53 PM »

Great bet. Horrible account closer. In a shop I'd do it like a shot.
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« Reply #76346 on: May 03, 2014, 02:31:37 PM »

Great bet. Horrible account closer. In a shop I'd do it like a shot.

I have backed it with a firm i hate that are never top price on anything so don't give a shit if they close my account.
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tikay
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« Reply #76347 on: May 03, 2014, 02:32:10 PM »


Just woken up, checked the Watford and 'Boro scores.

Going back to bed now. It's probably all just a bad dream.

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TightEnd
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« Reply #76348 on: May 03, 2014, 02:32:43 PM »

ok i won't back it online on a tikay account, not my place to make that "call"

ty anyway, i am sure some shops will be pounded for those who are able
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« Reply #76349 on: May 03, 2014, 02:34:11 PM »


Just woken up, checked the Watford and 'Boro scores.

Going back to bed now. It's probably all just a bad dream.



at least you didn't have to press f5 for 95 minutes to sweat it. painful

useless shower of hornets.
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