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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16520598 times)
Doobs
Hero Member
Online
Posts: 16734
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80355 on:
June 16, 2014, 12:28:34 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 16, 2014, 11:50:03 AM
Quite like the look of Emmannuel Emenike FGS tonight
Was Nigeria's top goalscorer in qualifying, only played the last three games
12 last season for Fenerbache, 1 in 2 for Spartak before that
Golden boot in 2013 African Cup of Nations with Nigeria won, he scored 4 goals and missed the final
looks like he'll be on free kicks
beware of you tube highlights packages, but...
he has motivation to do well
http://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/476559/Man-City-Everton-and-Spurs-locked-in-battle-for-Fenerbahce-s-Emmanuel-Emenike
nigeria have to win this, as bosnia looked useful
u2.5 is 1.6 for the game, which implies comparatively little goal threat from iran (queiroz plays 4-4-1-1, or did in qualifying), scored 8 total in 8 games in qualifying and have no goals in 4 of the last 5 games (friendlies included)
we are on nigeria top african nation
6/1 betfair sportsbook marginally beats betfair (very thin market)
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/iran-v-nigeria/first-goalscorer
If you want to use that for the free bet, that is fine. The market looks thin, but there is money lined up for him.
I was looking at Toormore for the St James Palace. I was hping to get some each way value, but that possibility has probably gone. He has beat The Grey Gatsby this season, and might have been on the bad side in the 2000 Guineas (finished behind Australia on that side and was eased at the end (already beaten)). Obviously the 2000 was one of the hotter runs of this race, and the connections still seem to believe in the horse. It isn't that close to Betfair though so your bet is likely better.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Nico29
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2412
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80356 on:
June 16, 2014, 12:28:49 PM »
Coral have a few world cup enhanced offers everyday for a max of £20.
I can only get a tenner on each time(fred prob will be similar) but still think they are worth doing.
Most of them are arbs in liquid markets and therefore are almost always +ev bets.
Today I like two of the three on offer.
Nigeria to win to nil@11/4
-is 3.4 to lay on exchange.
Germany to win and btts@7-2.
This is a general 5-2 shot and people are asking for 7-2 minus comish on the exchange.
Today's ladbrokes £10 offer is Germany@8-1 on the outright, from 5pm-till the first goal is scored in that game. Fred will be offered a pound from previous experiences I gather, but def worth it for those that can. (7.4 to lay on exchange)
«
Last Edit: June 16, 2014, 12:30:21 PM by Nico29
»
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horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80357 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:06:31 PM »
pp have settled the 100/1 backers a loser as well
Presumably he was already offered then but be good if someone else who was lucky enough to get a screenshot could confirm that
thank you
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arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80358 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:10:54 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 16, 2014, 01:06:31 PM
pp have settled the 100/1 backers a loser as well
Presumably he was already offered then but be good if someone else who was lucky enough to get a screenshot could confirm that
thank you
He was always quoted as one of 3 named Spurs player alongside TD and TP. Pretty insane how bad we have run on the MVP market. He was literally the only player who could win it who would beat us.
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horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80359 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:13:43 PM »
ty
never mind good shout none the less
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80360 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:23:06 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 16, 2014, 12:28:34 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 16, 2014, 11:50:03 AM
Quite like the look of Emmannuel Emenike FGS tonight
Was Nigeria's top goalscorer in qualifying, only played the last three games
12 last season for Fenerbache, 1 in 2 for Spartak before that
Golden boot in 2013 African Cup of Nations with Nigeria won, he scored 4 goals and missed the final
looks like he'll be on free kicks
beware of you tube highlights packages, but...
he has motivation to do well
http://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/476559/Man-City-Everton-and-Spurs-locked-in-battle-for-Fenerbahce-s-Emmanuel-Emenike
nigeria have to win this, as bosnia looked useful
u2.5 is 1.6 for the game, which implies comparatively little goal threat from iran (queiroz plays 4-4-1-1, or did in qualifying), scored 8 total in 8 games in qualifying and have no goals in 4 of the last 5 games (friendlies included)
we are on nigeria top african nation
6/1 betfair sportsbook marginally beats betfair (very thin market)
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/iran-v-nigeria/first-goalscorer
If you want to use that for the free bet, that is fine. The market looks thin, but there is money lined up for him.
I was looking at Toormore for the St James Palace. I was hping to get some each way value, but that possibility has probably gone. He has beat The Grey Gatsby this season, and might have been on the bad side in the 2000 Guineas (finished behind Australia on that side and was eased at the end (already beaten)). Obviously the 2000 was one of the hotter runs of this race, and the connections still seem to believe in the horse. It isn't that close to Betfair though so your bet is likely better.
ok will await team news
hoping you and the racing team have some things in store for us for Ascot!
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Nico29
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2412
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80361 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:25:30 PM »
Anyone else shocked that Germany are evens tonight?
Gen thought they'd be a 4/5-5/6 shot, max maybe 10/11.
Feel that perhaps the Ronaldo factor is being over factored into the market.
He's recovering from an injury, the rest of their side isn't anywhere near that level.
Germany have a really good side with no real stand outs but a fantastic team.
Hoping someone will convince me otherwise so that I won't go crazy here, but it just seems too big.
Thoughts appreciated.
«
Last Edit: June 16, 2014, 01:28:00 PM by Nico29
»
Logged
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80362 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:26:50 PM »
Quote from: Nico29 on June 16, 2014, 12:28:49 PM
Coral have a few world cup enhanced offers everyday for a max of £20.
I can only get a tenner on each time(fred prob will be similar) but still think they are worth doing.
Most of them are arbs in liquid markets and therefore are almost always +ev bets.
Today I like two of the three on offer.
Nigeria to win to nil@11/4
-is 3.4 to lay on exchange.
Germany to win and btts@7-2.
This is a general 5-2 shot and people are asking for 7-2 minus comish on the exchange.
Today's ladbrokes £10 offer is Germany@8-1 on the outright, from 5pm-till the first goal is scored in that game. Fred will be offered a pound from previous experiences I gather, but def worth it for those that can. (7.4 to lay on exchange)
Germany To Win & Both Teams To Score7/2Germany v Portugal - 16/06/2014
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£45.00
Single
Nigeria To Win To Nil11/4Iran v Nigeria - 16/06/2014
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£37.50
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Return: £82.50
ok both done for the restricted £10er
Ghana v USA Mon 11:00pm UK
Gyan To Score Anytime & Ghana To Win
4/1
was the third match special with coral
that looks a tough game to call to me.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Nico29
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2412
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80363 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:28:58 PM »
Yeah didn't particularly love the Gyan bet.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80364 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:30:55 PM »
Quote from: Nico29 on June 16, 2014, 01:25:30 PM
Anyone else shocked that Germany are evens tonight?
Gen thought they'd be a 4/5-5/6 shot, max maybe 10/11.
Feel that perhaps the Ronaldo factor is being over factored into the market.
He's recovering from an injury, the rest of their side isn't anywhere near that level.
Germany have a really good side with no real stand outs but a fantastic team.
Hoping someone will convince me otherwise so that I won't go crazy here, but it just seems too big.
Thoughts appreciated.
interested in seeing who is up front for germany. 1 striker in the squad, a multitude of false nines in the squad.....
i thought they would be slightly odds on too
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80365 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:34:09 PM »
Germany very hard to evaluate
The defence worries me as does the squad depth now the Bender brothers and a few others have not made it.
Also more and more stories about the Bayern/Dortmund divide which is not a positive.
Portugal despite never seemingly being fancied tend to find a way to do well in these big tournaments, Think one man team is harsh Ronaldo will have to play well for them to go beyond quarters though you suspect.
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youthnkzR
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2408
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80366 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:39:17 PM »
@Nico - I think you've failed to take The Portuguese squads personalised hotel rooms into account.
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Chompy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 11503
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80367 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:49:47 PM »
Actually, going to rebuff myself on the Golden Boot market.
The potential downside is not massive, but the potential upside wouldn't be great either.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Ironside
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 41946
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80368 on:
June 16, 2014, 01:58:23 PM »
germany have been drifting all day when i woke this morning it was 1.9 dont know if there have been any rumours about teams news
but it was rumoured ronaldo was struggling to make portugal team yesterday so markets could be over correcting again now it looks more likely he will start
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
Jono3131
Full Member
Offline
Posts: 115
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #80369 on:
June 16, 2014, 02:06:52 PM »
Quote from: Nico29 on June 16, 2014, 12:28:49 PM
Coral have a few world cup enhanced offers everyday for a max of £20.
I can only get a tenner on each time(fred prob will be similar) but still think they are worth doing.
Most of them are arbs in liquid markets and therefore are almost always +ev bets.
Today I like two of the three on offer.
Nigeria to win to nil@11/4
-is 3.4 to lay on exchange.
Germany to win and btts@7-2.
This is a general 5-2 shot and people are asking for 7-2 minus comish on the exchange.
Today's ladbrokes £10 offer is Germany@8-1 on the outright, from 5pm-till the first goal is scored in that game. Fred will be offered a pound from previous experiences I gather, but def worth it for those that can. (7.4 to lay on exchange)
Can both of these be done in shop or just online?
Logged
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