Tips for Tikay

[Longy]

Assuming equal skill pretty sure it should be a lot longer. Somewhere in the region of 1/2 by estimates.

[Mark_Porter]

I really should just avoid trying to do even the most basic maths past 8pm

[jakally]

All three bookings bets went down today.

All relatively low bookings, and all one either way so we were in the right area with the bets.
The Portugal/USA game was a bit harsh, (Only one booking in the match, to USA), as the guy who got booked played the ball, and then there was a hack on Dempsey late on that the ref never saw.

[Kmac84]

All three bookings bets went down today.

All relatively low bookings, and all one either way so we were in the right area with the bets.
The Portugal/USA game was a bit harsh, (Only one booking in the match, to USA), as the guy who got booked played the ball, and then there was a hack on Dempsey late on that the ref never saw.

That game was a joke imo, 25 fouls.  I easily counted what I thought were 4 clear yellows.  Did they change the rules? 

[jakally]

All three bookings bets went down today.

All relatively low bookings, and all one either way so we were in the right area with the bets.
The Portugal/USA game was a bit harsh, (Only one booking in the match, to USA), as the guy who got booked played the ball, and then there was a hack on Dempsey late on that the ref never saw.

That game was a joke imo, 25 fouls.  I easily counted what I thought were 4 clear yellows.  Did they change the rules? 

In terms of the bets, can't really complain, as the refs reluctance to book players was the main reason they were backable in the first place.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £1218.36

Outstanding Bets £2795.45

Free bets £25 William Hill use by 27th

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=25

A loss of £32 yesterday

Winners at the Austrian Grand Prix

- Maldonad....o won the group of drivers in his bracket +£34

- More than 18 finishers +£34

losers

- Hulkenberg did not podiate -£5

- Kvyat's suspension failed, so no joy in that group -£15

- St Helens beat Castleford 38-16 -£20

- Losers in the yellow card bets -£60 with 2-1,2-1 and 1-0 being the counts in the three games. In the final game i thought for a long time that not even a WWE signature finishing move would get someone booked, such was the referee's leniency, but in the end one booking.

Click to see full-size image.

long term

- Rosberg is now odds on for the F1WDC, being 30 points ahead of Hamilton. Mercedes uncatchable for our constructors bvet pre-season. Bottas podiating for the first time confirmation of an emerging talent

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

- In the WC We have Belgium to win group H at evens and their late win and the superb performance of Algeria means Belgium win the group with a point on Thursday

Click to see full-size image.

- In baseball the Orioles beat the Yankees 8-0 to win their series 2-1,and the division leading blue jays lost

Click to see full-size image.

- the Royals lost narrowly to the mariners and the tigers won, so once again the Royals are chasing the lead of the AL Central  

Click to see full-size image.

- in cricket's LVCC2 Derbyshire restricted Kent to 259-8 Whilst the Headingley test match is brewing up to a fun finish. Sri Lanka can win.

Click to see full-size image.

- Meanwhile Treve "has probably pulled or tweaked muscles high up" so is out of action until September. must kill the win three group 1's in 2014 bet, but will await confirmation


Today the final round of group games at the WC

We are interested in Holland v Chile, would like Chile to avoid Brazil, and the Brazil/Croatia matches also have interests for us. We also have the third of three £5 free bets to use on the Brazil game. So far no joy on Paulinho and Oscar first goal-scorers, and will pin-stick later if there are no other suggestions

We also have £200 on the italy v urug draw at 23/10, which remains the best price available. plans are?

the usa-germany draw...gets both through, two german managers, trading at 5/2

[horseplayer]

Elko Born ‏@Elko_B  8m
Dutch media are convinced Holland will line up in a 5-3-2 formation against Chile tonight. The left wing-back? Dirk Kuyt.


Could be a very interesting game!

[Dubai]

Id dump the 200 off nearer off to break level or take a small loss, small downside high upside was argument behind bet anyway. Similar to price Germany USA draw is now was what I was anticipating if results went right

[hector62]

Morning Mr T2.

I backed Sri Lanka yesterday and I think they still look a decent price. I know you are loathe to suggest things when you are in charge but if you like the 11/4 that is about I am happy to risk  TK's £20 on them. If you like the price then maybe go for a bit more.

[DungBeetle]

Think Berlocq is under rated against Stakhovsky today (or more likely Stakhovsky is over-rated).

Stakhovsky managed to lose to world 475 Pavic on grass last week, although he did have a couple of solid wins against Brands and Pospicil at Queens.  His clay season was a disappointment before that.

I assume Stakhovsky is a 2/7 shot because:

1) The market assumes Berlocq is poor on grass
2) Punters remember Stak beating Federer at Wimbledon
3) Head to head is 3-0 Stakovsky

I think we should take a small chance on 5/2 Berlocq given that the court differentials aren't as big as they used to be and Berlocq (ranked 40ish) is simply a better player than Stakovsky (ranked 90).  In terms of the head to heads, the large majority of the sets were pretty close, so I think we can risk discounting this small sample size.

£10 on Berlocq at 5/2 to get Wimbledon up and running for me.  Stakhovsky is the more likely winner, but he's never a 2/7 shot.

I also note that Matosevic is 2/1 underdog to Verdasco today.  On the face of it this seems likely to be of interest, but I haven't looked in much detail

[TightEnd]

the chap who was recommended yesterday put this up this morning


Ian DW @sportdw

Think Joao Sousa at 4/1 to beat Wawrinka is one of my favourite bets in the 1st round at Wimbledon...


any thoughts?

[DungBeetle]

4/1 doesn't seem big enough to me.  Wawa played some very strong matches at Queens before getting thrashed by Dimitrov.  Took out Matosevic with something to spare.

[DungBeetle]

Wawa also smashed Querry, and Querry is no mug on grass.

[TightEnd]

Think Berlocq is under rated against Stakhovsky today (or more likely Stakhovsky is over-rated).

Stakhovsky managed to lose to world 475 Pavic on grass last week, although he did have a couple of solid wins against Brands and Pospicil at Queens.  His clay season was a disappointment before that.

I assume Stakhovsky is a 2/7 shot because:

1) The market assumes Berlocq is poor on grass
2) Punters remember Stak beating Federer at Wimbledon
3) Head to head is 3-0 Stakovsky

I think we should take a small chance on 5/2 Berlocq given that the court differentials aren't as big as they used to be and Berlocq (ranked 40ish) is simply a better player than Stakovsky (ranked 90).  In terms of the head to heads, the large majority of the sets were pretty close, so I think we can risk discounting this small sample size.

£10 on Berlocq at 5/2 to get Wimbledon up and running for me.  Stakhovsky is the more likely winner, but he's never a 2/7 shot.

I also note that Matosevic is 2/1 underdog to Verdasco today.  On the face of it this seems likely to be of interest, but I haven't looked in much detail

 Placed (matched)
Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Stakhovsky v Berlocq
Carlos Berlocq Match Odds    3.7    £10.00    
£27.00
Ref: 38597276352M Matched: 10:53 23-Jun-14

its a tough draw for matosevic, but would definitely give him a squeak on queens form

 Placed (matched)
Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Matosevic v Verdasco
Marinko Matosevic Match Odds    2.94    £5.00    
£9.70
Ref: 38597322714M Matched: 10:55 23-Jun-14

[TightEnd]

Morning Mr T2.

I backed Sri Lanka yesterday and I think they still look a decent price. I know you are loathe to suggest things when you are in charge but if you like the 11/4 that is about I am happy to risk  TK's £20 on them. If you like the price then maybe go for a bit more.

arrgghh

new ball in 7 overs time, make it through that and set 220+ and i reckon its an even money game.

england bowled poorly yesterday, but mgiht not today

thats the gamble

anyway....

Test Series / England v Sri Lanka (2nd Test) / Match Odds    Sri Lanka    Back    38597382202    23-Jun-14
10:57         3.75    13.33       3.75    23-Jun-14 10:58

trying to get £20 matched

5/2 best in the fixed odds market, seen a bit of support