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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16232891 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #86445 on: September 06, 2014, 10:23:32 PM »

Thoughts on Gibraltar vs Poland.

33/1 Gibraltar. Poland 1/12.  However (only checked whillz) 5/2 for Ledowoski to score 2 or more and Poland to win seems very big!

Thoughts to a recommendation of £20?

Gibraltar lost 4-1 to the faroe isles in March, they beat Malta last time out 1-0.

This will be their first ever competitive game.

Looks good 4/5 for 2 or more on paddy and if he scores 2 or more expect the win part anyways.

Betfair Sportsbook are 3/1 he scores 2 or more.  You need to start using oddschecker
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Waz1892
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« Reply #86446 on: September 06, 2014, 10:30:20 PM »

Thoughts on Gibraltar vs Poland.

33/1 Gibraltar. Poland 1/12.  However (only checked whillz) 5/2 for Ledowoski to score 2 or more and Poland to win seems very big!

Thoughts to a recommendation of £20?

Gibraltar lost 4-1 to the faroe isles in March, they beat Malta last time out 1-0.

This will be their first ever competitive game.

Looks good 4/5 for 2 or more on paddy and if he scores 2 or more expect the win part anyways.

Betfair Sportsbook are 3/1 he scores 2 or more.  You need to start using oddschecker

Normally do now when checking to post here, apologies, but did state only checked whillzs so was possible you'd get better.

Was just getting opinions on the bet
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a.sparrow
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« Reply #86447 on: September 06, 2014, 11:07:27 PM »

seems there's a £14 max on the 3/1, looks like a great price though
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #86448 on: September 06, 2014, 11:21:49 PM »

Thoughts on Gibraltar vs Poland.

33/1 Gibraltar. Poland 1/12.  However (only checked whillz) 5/2 for Ledowoski to score 2 or more and Poland to win seems very big!

Thoughts to a recommendation of £20?

Gibraltar lost 4-1 to the faroe isles in March, they beat Malta last time out 1-0.

This will be their first ever competitive game.

Looks good 4/5 for 2 or more on paddy and if he scores 2 or more expect the win part anyways.

Betfair Sportsbook are 3/1 he scores 2 or more.  You need to start using oddschecker

Tone Doobs, work on the tone.
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #86449 on: September 06, 2014, 11:50:30 PM »

Frampton a mile ahead after 8.  Martinez was down in the 5th but wasn't badly hurt and has recovered well and had a little success in the past couple of rounds.  The danger is like in the first fight that Martinez could walk on to one as he tires.
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #86450 on: September 07, 2014, 12:01:23 AM »

1 to go.  Just need to hear the final bell as Frampton must be a mile ahead on the cards.
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #86451 on: September 07, 2014, 12:05:11 AM »

Weighed in.

Brilliant performance from Frampton
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a.sparrow
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« Reply #86452 on: September 07, 2014, 12:09:14 AM »

Weighed in.

Brilliant performance from Frampton

Cheers Bazza, great tip.
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Doobs
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« Reply #86453 on: September 07, 2014, 12:46:16 AM »

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

Simonnatur crushing everywhere.  Good luck
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tikay
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« Reply #86454 on: September 07, 2014, 08:02:38 AM »

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

Amazing stuff!


http://www.espn.co.uk/golf/sport/site/golflive.html
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tikay
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« Reply #86455 on: September 07, 2014, 08:03:51 AM »

I like a bet tonight in the Frampton v Martinez fight.  They fought a year ago with Frampton picking up a stoppage win in the 9th round.  Martinez has since gone on and won a world title and defended it twice whereas Frampton has been marking time.  Despite winning the world title and defending it twice I don't think Martinez will bring anything different tonight than he did in the first fight he will be on the front foot and doing his best to make life uncomfortable for Frampton.

I backed Frampton on points in the first fight and remember being sat at the end of the 8th round having the fight 77-75 in Frampton's favour and the only danger I saw was Frampton's tank emptying.  I didn't see Martinez walking on to one and getting stopped.  I think Frampton is pretty special and although he will have some rough moments early on I think his superior technique will see him win the fight.  Despite the stoppage last time out there isn't a whole lot wrong with Martinez's chin and I like his chances of hearing the final bell.  As expected patriotic money has come for the Frampton KO which has seen Frampton points pushed out to 2/1 with the bookies but 3.3 is available as I type on Betfair. Recommend £40

Stunning, as ever, thanks Bazza.
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« Reply #86456 on: September 07, 2014, 09:18:05 AM »

Morning Mr T.

The rugby season has started and so far all the favourites have won. Today Exeter travel to newly promoted London Welsh, who play at Oxford. When they were last in the Premiership the Welsh won 6 games including this corresponding fixture and Fred was on them. Since the end of last season the Welsh have signed 25 new players, including Piiri Weepu the ex all Black. If they are to stand a chance of staying up then this is a game that they should target as a potential victory. Exeter have big injury problems and are missing their captain as well as their 2 England players.


I expect a close game with few points and at 5/2 we have to side with the Welsh.

Suggest £20 Welsh @ 5/2 with sporting bet but anything over 2-1 is good.
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« Reply #86457 on: September 07, 2014, 09:23:35 AM »

Thanks guys, was only looking at golf because PP had offered me 10 pounds at 7-1 enhanced on McIlroy. If things go well today it may cost them a bit more than that.
As for crushing, you can't have seen how my horses did yesterday 😢
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« Reply #86458 on: September 07, 2014, 09:31:32 AM »

Not sure if its been touched on as I'm not really upto date with Fred due to the indy ref taking up much of my time, and also moving house. 

But former Commercial Director at The Rangers was successful in having £620,000 (I think) ring fenced.  If rumours circulating are to be true this could be a final nail in the coffin, there is a share issue that ends next Frday in which they have tried to raise £4 million from, again it would seem uptake on this is slow.  Administration is not far round the corner. 

Hearts are currently around 6/5 on betfair to win the league.  I think Fred were on @ 7/2.   I can't believe I am cheering Hearts on. 
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T_Mar
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« Reply #86459 on: September 07, 2014, 09:39:50 AM »

Hi Guys, Maths quesxtion if you dont mind, probably been explained earlier in the thread so apologies if thats the case

If a selection is 2.5 on BF to come top 5 in a specific event (eg golf) and you want to work out the price for same selection to come top 3 in same event, is it as simple as doing the following

2.5 / 5 = 0.5
2.5 + 0.5 = 3
3 / 4 = 0.75
3 + 0.75 = 3.75

Thanks in advance
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