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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16358580 times)
Tal
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« Reply #86625 on: September 09, 2014, 07:08:38 AM »

Thanks Tal

Backed gd lk tonight all

Detroit routed the Giants last night on both sides of the ball. Kind of ruins any "total Xs" bets. We didn't win.

Per Bleacher Report:

"Detroit dominated the game from start to finish. The Lions defense held the Giants to 197 yards of total offense and only allowed the G-Men to convert on three of their 13 third downs. Eli Manning went 18 of 33 for 163 yards, throwing one touchdown and two interceptions"
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« Reply #86626 on: September 09, 2014, 07:17:01 AM »

When trying to embed you tube clips you need to change link so it's http not https, you can embed a secure link
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« Reply #86627 on: September 09, 2014, 08:20:27 AM »

Been talking to a good friend of mine who played pro football and recently played at conference level.

He knows that league well and likes Alfreton at home tomorrow night against Altrincham.

I know Alfreton is not the easiest place to go, especially in a mid week game and he says from experience Alfreton are always up for it against other part time teams.

The Altrincham lads are likely to have been working, then got a nasty trip across the Woodhead then down the M1, hardly ideal preparation especially when they are not getting results.

Alfreton have started very poorly but have signed 2 new centre forwards including Karl Hawley who will be a real threat at this level. They had 48% possession away at Barnet on Saturday, ended losing the game 2-1 but lead for a lot of the game and had a player sent off.

I've backed Alfreton at 7/4 and recommend £20 at that price.


We have Alan Alger doing non league football for us on Bettingemporium and he put this up early at 9/5. It's his biggest bet of the season so far for us. Maybe make it £40 for Fred although best price now 33/20. You can read Alan's write up for free here http://www.bettingemporium.com/tips/index/54

i split the difference on this

trying on the exchange to get £30 above 7/4

Altrincham are favourites, as of now.

Who am I to question the expertise of these kind of folk, but have to say really surprised by this.  I had an interest in the Barnet game on Saturday.  Alfreton had 48% yes, but only 2 shots on target all game!  They've only scored 4 goals all season, and haven't won a game since March 2014 - a run of 15 games.

Shipping in 42 in total and over 3 per game this season (although Grimsby scored 7 of them)  All I'm sure have been noted and them some by those above.  At home they've let in 2 - 3 - 3 so far.

Altrincham come in to the game having won for the first time in 3, so will be boyed by that too.

As a result of all this, and the feeling is for Alfreton, would expect a bigger price that 9.5/7/4?
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« Reply #86628 on: September 09, 2014, 08:23:31 AM »

These videos may be of interest to some of you.  The Philly Godfather is a typical yank BS tipster but he was connected to this guy Jim Battista who is now famous for doing time for his involvement in the Tim Donaghy case.  Donaghy was an NBA ref that was found to be betting on the games he was reffing and Battista was moving the money for him.  I first came across Battista when he was betting at a firm I was trading director for and his business on the NFL was the sharpest I ever came across so I can attest to the fact he is the real deal.  The punters he refers to that he moved for are The Computer which is Billy Walters (he has him absolutely spot on in my experience in how he describes him), the Englishman is Tony Bloom who a few of you know, The Greek is Spiro the guy I worked for for a few years in Jamaica although Spiro isnt the actual handicapper/originator and the Chinaman is a guy called Tran I assume based in LA.  If anyone is interested in reading more about it all Battista wrote a good book called Gaming the Game about it all

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8U4sAJqfEU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn1Edj257Hg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sqa765YWvJg



Very interesting stuff, cheers for posting, Stu.
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tikay
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« Reply #86629 on: September 09, 2014, 08:55:44 AM »


These are the Videos redarmi posted, suitably embedded.

I'm a bit busy right now, but will take a look later, they sound just the job.









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« Reply #86630 on: September 09, 2014, 09:30:22 AM »

Interesting videos

Thanks for posting
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« Reply #86631 on: September 09, 2014, 09:45:00 AM »

This made me smile

kechi @IkechiAnya  ·  24h
Lastly I SCORED PAST MANUEL NEUER 😱!!!! WOWWWW I CAN'T EVEN DO THAT ON FIFA 😂💯🙌⚽️🙏 #Godisgreat
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TightEnd
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« Reply #86632 on: September 09, 2014, 09:49:33 AM »

Been talking to a good friend of mine who played pro football and recently played at conference level.

He knows that league well and likes Alfreton at home tomorrow night against Altrincham.

I know Alfreton is not the easiest place to go, especially in a mid week game and he says from experience Alfreton are always up for it against other part time teams.

The Altrincham lads are likely to have been working, then got a nasty trip across the Woodhead then down the M1, hardly ideal preparation especially when they are not getting results.

Alfreton have started very poorly but have signed 2 new centre forwards including Karl Hawley who will be a real threat at this level. They had 48% possession away at Barnet on Saturday, ended losing the game 2-1 but lead for a lot of the game and had a player sent off.

I've backed Alfreton at 7/4 and recommend £20 at that price.


We have Alan Alger doing non league football for us on Bettingemporium and he put this up early at 9/5. It's his biggest bet of the season so far for us. Maybe make it £40 for Fred although best price now 33/20. You can read Alan's write up for free here http://www.bettingemporium.com/tips/index/54

i split the difference on this

trying on the exchange to get £30 above 7/4

Altrincham are favourites, as of now.

this was matched overnight at 2.82
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« Reply #86633 on: September 09, 2014, 09:57:13 AM »

Aussie Rules

Knockout time in the Aussie rules finals. The game i am looking at is Fremantle v Port Adelaide. Although Fremantle at home is a bit of a fortress, Port Adelaide are absolutely flying at the moment and are on a roll. I watched Port dismantle Carlton a few weeks ago, and last week made the form side in the league at the moment (Richmond 8 wins in a row) look ordinary. Indeed the game was all over at quarter time (42 - 7). This game will be close, Port narrowly losing at Fremantle 4 weeks ago when poised to win. A big loss for Fremantle from that game is the loss of Valentine (man of the match) and stopping the hard running Port team will be difficult. Its obviously a gamble but 2.5 to win with bf looks a bet. Suggest 20 quid . Gl all
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« Reply #86634 on: September 09, 2014, 10:04:31 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £82.51

Outstanding Bets £4480.15

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=29


No bets completed yesterday

The Switzerland to top group E bet at 5/2 got off to the perfect start with a 2-0 home defeat to England. Bets aside, nice to see counter-attacking football from England

 Click to see full-size image.


We have a bet on the San Diego Chargers to win the AFC West and they lost their first game, surprisingly, 18-17 to the Arizona Cardinals. Not ideal when you have Denver, who won't lose many games, to get past to win the division



In baseball a key series started, the first of six games between the Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers that will decide the AL Central. We are of course on the 7/1 underdogs, two games ahead going into the matches. In the first, the Tigers won 9-5. The Royals need to split this series, and if they don't will struggle to close out the division so this was a disappointing start

In the AL East the Baltimore Orioles continue to close in on the division, beating the Boston Red Sox 4-0 to go 10 games ahead with only 19 to play

 Click to see full-size image.


News from France that Frankie Dettori has been jocked off Treve. We have a variety of bets, Arc related mostly, on Treve who is coming back from injury....to win the arc, to win the arc by 2+ lengths, to win three group 1's in 2014. I think she has a prep race this weekend coming up

 Click to see full-size image.


I didn't see our Vuelta KOM man feature at all in yesterday's mountain stage, won by Ryder Hesjedal, nor did he finish in the top 55 over 9 minutes behind the winner. Yates presumably is out of the running now?

 Click to see full-size image.


Today the Quarter finals of the FIBA Basketball world cup. Turkey-Lithuania and Slovenia-USA are our games, in the same half of the draw

 Click to see full-size image.


After failing a drug test less than 18 months ago, Marin Clic won the US Open in the first final without one of the big three and Murray since 2005



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TightEnd
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« Reply #86635 on: September 09, 2014, 10:17:00 AM »

Our Indyref bet is as follows

29-Aug   arbboy   ladbrokes   sept-2014   misc.   independence referendum   Yes 45-50%   7/2   50

this is currently trading at 11/8, offered in one place

 http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/scottish-independence/yes-vote-percentage


the last few days have seen a big close up in the polls

 Click to see full-size image.


- On Saturday night the YouGov poll put Yes ahead for the first time, 51-49



- later that evening Panelbase released as follows

Yes: 44% No: 48% Undecided: 8% Excluding undecideds Yes: 48% No: 52%

- In the Sunday times, economist david smith highlighted the big momentum in the yes vote

 Click to see full-size image.


- Over the weekend, the Westminster Unionist parties decided to launch "devo-max" in attempts to sway undecideds back

- last night the TNS Poll put Yes on 38%, up six points on the company’s previous poll in late July and early August, while No are just marginally ahead on 39%. (Don’t Knows, always relatively high in TNS BMRB’s polls, are unchanged at 23%.)

That No lead is so small that once the Don’t Knows are eliminated, Yes and No are both on 50% (as is also the case of we only look at those who say they are ‘certain or very likely’ to vote). This represents an eight point swing to Yes, and is by far and away the highest Yes vote recorded by TNS in any of their polls.

- and the Press has been really ramping it up this morning



 Click to see full-size image.


 Click to see full-size image.



and for us English, if you took the Scottish MPs away in 2010, the Conservatives would have had a majority of 20

 Click to see full-size image.



so, its all to play for. Momentum with Yes, into 2/1, No 4/9

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/scottish-independence/referendum-outcome


(there, don't shout at me, nice neutral report)
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TightEnd
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« Reply #86636 on: September 09, 2014, 10:24:40 AM »

Aussie Rules

Knockout time in the Aussie rules finals. The game i am looking at is Fremantle v Port Adelaide. Although Fremantle at home is a bit of a fortress, Port Adelaide are absolutely flying at the moment and are on a roll. I watched Port dismantle Carlton a few weeks ago, and last week made the form side in the league at the moment (Richmond 8 wins in a row) look ordinary. Indeed the game was all over at quarter time (42 - 7). This game will be close, Port narrowly losing at Fremantle 4 weeks ago when poised to win. A big loss for Fremantle from that game is the loss of Valentine (man of the match) and stopping the hard running Port team will be difficult. Its obviously a gamble but 2.5 to win with bf looks a bet. Suggest 20 quid . Gl all

Hello and welcome

you have a PM (username), in case you are confused

don't think we've bet Aussie Rules before, so this is tremendous news as i now get to follow a new sport

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« Reply #86637 on: September 09, 2014, 10:29:10 AM »

that was interesting

tikay, your money is now in the Australian Wallet. should save you a few bob


Back    Your
Odds    Your
Stake    Your
Profit
Port Adelaide Power    2.5    £20.00    £30.00
Ref: 4212202054
Bet placed: 10:04 09-Sep-14
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« Reply #86638 on: September 09, 2014, 10:33:58 AM »

geoff123 not quite so amusing....
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« Reply #86639 on: September 09, 2014, 10:34:41 AM »

http://www.birminghammail.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/wolves-kenny-jackett-dismisses-mario-7739531

1.01 landed!
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