Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Been a while since I've put a MMA bet up but if I remember correctly it's a winning sport for us, albeit with a tiny sample, so I thought I may as well start throwing the odd one up here again. I absolutely detest the thought of people losing money backing my stuff so please keep stakes small.

The bet is for Soa Palelei to win in the 1st round of his fight this Friday (UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Bisping) with Walt Harris and it can be backed at 7/4 with 888, Unibet and 32red according to Oddschecker. Actually, do we have any of those? If not, one of the main stream operators may open at the same price as the week goes on. Victor goes 11/10 which is my kind of feeling of the right price.

http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/soa-palelei-v-walt-harris/round-betting

As a background to my MMA betting, I've been a fan of the sport for many years and have watched thousands of fights, and previously wrote for one of the top UK MMA sites, as well as my work with Betpal. It's still a developing sport and I feel I perhaps have a small edge in knowledge which allows me to pick out some decent bets.

Palelei and Harris are heavyweights, a funny division with very few real quality fighters, and neither of these guys are likely to be challenging the upper echelons of the division any time soon. In fact, Harris was recently released before winning one fight outside the UFC to make his return.

Anyway, that's all mumbo jumbo. Palelei is a worthy favourite, and as short as 4/9 in places. He was won all of his 21 career wins inside the distance so my opinion was that if looking to back the Australian we should look at the sub markets: evens to win by TKO/KO and the aforementioned 7/4 to win in the first round. He has won 17 times by TKO/KO and 16 times in the 1st round throughout his career so that alone has me favouring the R1 bet at the prices. Plus, he's not renowned as the most blessed cardiovascular-wise so if it escapes the first round he may be in trouble.

Harris is a better athlete who has a fair amount of power himself but not technically superb so I see the fight playing out with Palelei taking the American down when he goes for a power strike early and from there Palelei will use his superior ground game to work himself into a position to do damage with his vicious ground and pound. Palelei cuts weight to make the 265lb limit so good luck getting him off you.

The fight is something like 8/13 to finish in the first round so like the 7/4 for Palelei to be the one to do it. Recommend £30.

Morning Scott, & thanks.

We had some difficulty getting on, but managed to get £19.35 on @ 13/8 with PP which is, in itself, quite a result.

Is this televised?

BET PLACED

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £146.87

Outstanding Bets £4311.26

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A loss of £100 on Sunday

-£50 closing off the Peterborough top six position

-£50 Lola elminated from X-Factor, in the top girl category for which she was the bet as the wild card

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ongoing positions

- Rooney no goals for Man U, and he is some distance behind Aguero and Costa in the golden boot standings.

10 - Aguero 9 - Costa 7 - Berahino, Sanchez 6 - Pelle, Sakho 5 - Austin, Chadli, Ulloa

No goals for Lamela either for Tottenham, who reserves his goalscoring form for cup competitions

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- Another peerless performance from Hamilton, this time at the US Grand Prix. His fifth win in a row, tenth this season and he became the winning most British F1 driver ever. 24 points ahead with two races to go, he still might lose the title due to double points in the final race in Abu Dhabi

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- Ricciardo finished ahead of Bottas in the race for 3rd in the drivers championship. We are still live in that 20-1 bet, but a forlorn hope really

- Basketball. Sunday's relevant results, two losses on two ante post positions

Sacramento Kings 98 LA Clippers 92

Toronto Raptors 102 Miami Heat 107

- NFL

- Our conference and superbowl bet the Philadelphia Eagles won at the Texans 31-21 to go to the head of the NFC East. A collar bone injury to quarterback Nick Foles has ruled him out for a month, but back up Sanchez came in and performed well. Iportantly, he performed far better than Dallas back up Weeden in their loss to the seriously impressive Arizona Cardinals, a loss that was significant for the Eagles



- In the same game lesean McCoy rushed for over a hundred yards and a touchdown

- Ben Roethlisberger broke an NFL record with 6 touchdowns, making it 12 in two games as conference and superbowl bet the Steelers beat divisional rivals the Ravens last night. A very close and tough division this, and a stretch to claim that any team not the Broncos/Patriots/Colts will be the AFC Conference winner, but the Steelers form is encouraging

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- How to explain the Chargers losing 37-0 at the Dolphins? A loss was unsurprising, the scale of it eye-opening. Especially if you want Miami to tank, and quick.iThe Broncos loss in New England last night does though keep the fight for the AFC West open for our bet

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- that fight is now a three way race with the KC Chiefs coming up on the rails, helped by another jamaal charles touchdown

- The Bengals conceding 23 points at home to the Jags unhelpful for fading hopes of the "concede least points" bet



- Aaron Donald recorded a key 9 yard sack of Colin Kaepernick in the upset of the day, the Rams beating the 49ers 13-10

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Other bets, Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Aaron Rodgers on bye weeks

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £13.13

Outstanding Bets £4051.26

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32


A profit of £160 yesterday, with the William Hill "hottest month of the year" bets for July settled




ongoing positions

Crystal Palace's 3-1 loss at home to Sunderland a blow to the various bets for top half etc

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relegation odds currently:

Burnley 1/7 QPR 5/6 Palace 7/4 Sunderland 15/8

Andrew Luck became the 4th player in NFL history to throw for 3,000 yards in the first 9 games of the season in the Colts win last night over the Giants and the first player in NFL history with at least 350 passing yards in 5 straight road games. He heads the NFL for passing yards.



- basketball

Division bet Dallas Mavericks 118 Boston Celtics 113

The Mavs were up 67-41 at halftime. It's first time in team history with 3 straight games scoring 65+ pts in the first half. They then led by 31 points. Over last 15 seasons, teams were 1-1,056 when trailing by 31, and the Celtics nearly came back, losing by only 5.



NBA Championship bet LA Clippers 107 Utah Jazz 101



amongst our various player basketball bets

- Rajon Rondo is now the 1st player since Magic Johnson in 1983 w/ at least 35 assists & 25 rebounds in his team's 1st 3 games of a season, and we have him for top assists this season



- rookie bet Nerlens Noel is 1st starting center w/ at least 5 Assists & 5 Steals and only 1 Rebound in a game since steals became official in 1973.

Here he is in action ble.ac/1tV90pV 

Meanwhile i spotted a masterclass in football reporting. you've got a word count to fill about a 0-0

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with a great pay off line

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[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £13.13

Outstanding Bets £4070.61

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

No bets completed yesterday


Watford's 2-1 loss at Birmingham was disappointing and pushed them down to 3rd in the table. It remains extremely tight though, four point seperate the top 8

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Bamford scored again for Mddlesborough, his second of the week but remains some way behind Leadbitter, who scored another two last night, in the race for Mddlesborough golden boot

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No goals for the likes of Deeney, Vetokele and Michael Smith who played last night

In basketball the Cleveland Cavaliers got blown out 101-82 in Portland

LeBron James scored 11 points, his lowest total since 12/5/08  and just the 16th time in his career he's scored 11 or fewer. The game marked the 1st time since 12/3/03 - LeBron's rookie season - that he scored only 2 points over the last 3 quarters of the game.

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better news for the Toronto raptors who beat Okalhoma city 100-88

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elsewhere

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[tikay]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

[Tal]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Much better than the last bloke.

[tikay]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Much better than the last bloke.

Ha!

I thought yours was very good actually. How long that take, 5 mins?

[Tal]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Much better than the last bloke.

Ha!

I thought yours was very good actually. How long that take, 5 mins?

[Chompy]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Absolutely. Some of us appreciate the work that goes into these.

[horseplayer]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Absolutely. Some of us appreciate the work that goes into these.

[bookiebasher]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Absolutely. Some of us appreciate the work that goes into these.

When I get to the office in the morning , sod work , the most important issue is to read the daily report , love em.

Thanks for doing them Rich

[Tonji]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Absolutely. Some of us appreciate the work that goes into these.

indeed, morning coffee not quite the same.

[tikay]

Good work Rich, thank you - I really missed those Reports, & I'm sure I'm not alone in that.

Absolutely. Some of us appreciate the work that goes into these.

When I get to the office in the morning , sod work , the most important issue is to read the daily report , love em.

Thanks for doing them Rich

Work?

Thought you were a bookie?


Here's Jim after a day's "work".

[bookiebasher]

I would have needed all that cash to pay out if Arsenal had held on to their 3-0 lead.

One guy had a £100 acc on 10 teams to make £6500 and Arsenal , unfortunately  , let him down

I presume they must have traded at 1.01 on betfair for huge sums.

They were the only team starting odds on who failed to win in the Champions League.

[tikay]

I would have needed all that cash to pay out if Arsenal had held on to their 3-0 lead.

One guy had a £100 acc on 10 teams to make £6500 and Arsenal , unfortunately  , let him down

I presume they must have traded at 1.01 on betfair for huge sums.

They were the only team starting odds on who failed to win in the Champions League.

It was an IMMENSE draw for the Bookies.

Arsene? Angel of the South.

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