Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

I know we should be wary of recency biased overs, but Big Ben passing yards against the saints looks juicy.

(Steelers Media Manager) Dom Rinelli @drinelli

Most Passing Yards Per Home Game: Single-Season NFL History
Ben Roethlisberger 361.2 (2014)
Tony Romo 355.1 (2012)
Drew Brees 354.4 (2013)

New Orleans are poor against the pass, having improved against the run. They're in a division which flatters the stats a little, with Cam inconsistent and the Falcons having no OL.Can see Bell getting screen passes and the wideouts having fun in the deep. Line 290.5 with BadBlokes.

Thoughts?

Too Tipping Tal bloke, thank you.

Finished a smidge over...

435.

[tikay]

I know we should be wary of recency biased overs, but Big Ben passing yards against the saints looks juicy.

(Steelers Media Manager) Dom Rinelli @drinelli

Most Passing Yards Per Home Game: Single-Season NFL History
Ben Roethlisberger 361.2 (2014)
Tony Romo 355.1 (2012)
Drew Brees 354.4 (2013)

New Orleans are poor against the pass, having improved against the run. They're in a division which flatters the stats a little, with Cam inconsistent and the Falcons having no OL.Can see Bell getting screen passes and the wideouts having fun in the deep. Line 290.5 with BadBlokes.

Thoughts?

Too Tipping Tal bloke, thank you.

Finished a smidge over...

435.

Good job he had an injured hand.

[TightEnd]

Under 58 points required packers game

Thanks.

We want Packers to win as well, for our "Season" bets, yes?

Under 58 points.

Packers win.

I'll turn that into a poem so I can memorise it.

Yes

Pittsburgh loss is nasty for the AFC bets, though only one AFC North team won, the Bengals in farcical circumstances. the Buccs in field goal range to win have 12 men on the field...penalty takes them out of field goal range....groan

San Diego come back to beat the Ravens 34-33 it looks like, huge news for that bet if the Chiefs beat the Broncos

[Tal]

I know we should be wary of recency biased overs, but Big Ben passing yards against the saints looks juicy.

(Steelers Media Manager) Dom Rinelli @drinelli

Most Passing Yards Per Home Game: Single-Season NFL History
Ben Roethlisberger 361.2 (2014)
Tony Romo 355.1 (2012)
Drew Brees 354.4 (2013)

New Orleans are poor against the pass, having improved against the run. They're in a division which flatters the stats a little, with Cam inconsistent and the Falcons having no OL.Can see Bell getting screen passes and the wideouts having fun in the deep. Line 290.5 with BadBlokes.

Thoughts?

Too Tipping Tal bloke, thank you.

Finished a smidge over...

435.

Good job he had an injured hand.

Being miles behind always helps these bets.

[TightEnd]

josh gordon had 75 yards on 7 catches. just the 10 yard average

so much for the 15 targets. might have been an idea, lads....

hoyer was benched, which didn't help

[Tal]

Under 58 points required packers game

Thanks.

We want Packers to win as well, for our "Season" bets, yes?

Under 58 points.

Packers win.

I'll turn that into a poem so I can memorise it.

, the Bengals in farcical circumstances. the Buccs in field goal range to win have 12 men on the field...penalty takes them out of field goal range....groan

It was even more farcical than that. The officials didn't notice there were 12 men, despite there being 48 referees  on the pitch. The Bengals coach throws his challenge flag to make this point. However, he's not allowed to challenge the number of people on the field in the last two minutes of the game. No dice, then?

But the officials then decide they should have a look, now that it's been mentioned and duly count to 12.

So, even though Marvin Lewis isn't allowed to challenge, he brought something to the attention of the ofificals and they agreed with him. All it cost him was a timeout for a procedurally incorrect challenge. They go on to win the game.

Incredible.

[Tal]

JJ Watt gets a sack, strip and fumble recovery. Immediately then makes the catch in the endzone for another touchdown.

The man is an absolute beast.

Strip sack:



Touchdown!



The media must be running out of superlatives.

[exstream]

Dortmund lost again and sit bottom of the table.
They are 4/7 at home to Hoffenheim who are 7th in the table.
When is it time to back against them, are they playing awful? Will they still be short odds because of what team they 'were' and the money that gets put on them?

[Doobs]

Is that you trying to lay Fleur for a bag @ 2.5, Doobs?

Not me, it wouldn't cover it.  Would probably want a touch shorter anyway. 

Surprised Cowell sided against Stereo Kicks.  Thought the 9/4 Cheryl to lose all her acts first was home and hosed, but Chompy knew.

[Marky147]

Is that you trying to lay Fleur for a bag @ 2.5, Doobs?

Not me, it wouldn't cover it.  Would probably want a touch shorter anyway. 

Surprised Cowell sided against Stereo Kicks.  Thought the 9/4 Cheryl to lose all her acts first was home and hosed, but Chompy knew.

So did most of Betfair!

First time this series that the money has been wrong... 70 of the 90k was on Lauren.

[TightEnd]

Quality game that

We get the unders, and more importantly we must have a great shot at a deep play off run with the Packers for our conference and superbowl bets

[MereNovice]

November 2014 Figures

Closed bets: 89
Amount wagered: £2,941.06
Profit/loss: £481.78
ROI: 16.38%

Number of "sports" bet on: 13
Most popular: Misc. (28),  Football (15), Horses (14), Formula1 (14).
Most profitable: Misc. (£938.89), Formula1 (£155.00),  Chess (£49.20) - the only 3  winning "sports" this month
Least profitable: Horses (-£334.37), Tennis (-£90.00), Football (-£83.49)

Number of tipsters: 26 including 1 new tipster.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 4,097
Amount wagered: £125,612.81
Profit/loss: £4,583.55
ROI: 3.65%

Number of "sports" bet on: 32
Most popular:  Horses(1,025), Football (997), Golf (348), Cricket(255).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   2,623.46   30,955.76   8.47   997
Misc.   1,593.36   4,941.18   32.25   121
Baseball   1,037.20   1,726.00   60.09   37
...
RU   -411.14   4,071.87   -10.10   207
Formula1   -420.27   1,898.39   -22.14   101
Golf   -451.08   9,425.84   -4.79   348


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 162


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 49

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      2,510.40   4,515.45   55.60   115
Ladbrokes      2,428.45   15,431.31   15.74   525
WilliamHill      1,404.83   22,201.94   6.33   724
...
PaddyPower      -520.15   7,663.64   -6.79   360
Coral      -591.44   7,684.40   -7.70   270
BetFred      -1,219.83   9,485.27   -12.86   318


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


If any crusty old sods are wondering why the report is late this month, it's because I was waiting for the result of the NE @ GBP game before finalising the figures.

[tikay]

Quality game that

We get the unders, and more importantly we must have a great shot at a deep play off run with the Packers for our conference and superbowl bets

Yup, enjoyed that, and we have a lovely sweat with the Packers.

[tikay]

November 2014 Figures

Closed bets: 89
Amount wagered: £2,941.06
Profit/loss: £481.78
ROI: 16.38%

Number of "sports" bet on: 13
Most popular: Misc. (28),  Football (15), Horses (14), Formula1 (14).
Most profitable: Misc. (£938.89), Formula1 (£155.00),  Chess (£49.20) - the only 3  winning "sports" this month
Least profitable: Horses (-£334.37), Tennis (-£90.00), Football (-£83.49)

Number of tipsters: 26 including 1 new tipster.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 4,097
Amount wagered: £125,612.81
Profit/loss: £4,583.55
ROI: 3.65%

Number of "sports" bet on: 32
Most popular:  Horses(1,025), Football (997), Golf (348), Cricket(255).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   2,623.46   30,955.76   8.47   997
Misc.   1,593.36   4,941.18   32.25   121
Baseball   1,037.20   1,726.00   60.09   37
...
RU   -411.14   4,071.87   -10.10   207
Formula1   -420.27   1,898.39   -22.14   101
Golf   -451.08   9,425.84   -4.79   348


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 162


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 49

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      2,510.40   4,515.45   55.60   115
Ladbrokes      2,428.45   15,431.31   15.74   525
WilliamHill      1,404.83   22,201.94   6.33   724
...
PaddyPower      -520.15   7,663.64   -6.79   360
Coral      -591.44   7,684.40   -7.70   270
BetFred      -1,219.83   9,485.27   -12.86   318


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


If any crusty old sods are wondering why the report is late this month, it's because I was waiting for the result of the NE @ GBP game before finalising the figures.

Thank you Vince, efficient and timely as ever.

[Chompy]

Efficient? November finished over an hour ago!

Look at those Misc. bets crushing! More Misc. profits to come in December too. It's definitely the future.

Stdd aftertiming obv but I looked at every X Factor market for tonight's show earlier and swept the lot. Didn't back any of them though.

Andrea to be the first given as safe tonight was one of them. Funny how often the big hitter who's been in the bottom two the week before is the first name called the week after.