Tips for Tikay

[moonandback]

69 - 63 Duke  win  having been down 9 at one point in the 2nd half hit all sorts of shots down the stretch, great game and a really good win.

[Marky147]

Hope we're not being slowrolled, but the NFL Network scroll bar is saying


It's on the NFL homepage


'Rams DT Aaron Donald wins AP Defensive Rookie of the Year'

The Rams defensive tackle finished the 2014 season with 9 sacks.


I thought the awards ceremony started at 9pm ET?


Incred stuff, Rich 

[bobby1]

Hope we're not being slowrolled, but the NFL Network scroll bar is saying


It's on the NFL homepage


'Rams DT Aaron Donald wins AP Defensive Rookie of the Year'

The Rams defensive tackle finished the 2014 season with 9 sacks.


I thought the awards ceremony started at 9pm ET?


Incred stuff, Rich 

great call Rich, well done.

[MereNovice]

I don't follow men's tennis very closely but can anyone explain why Djokovic is 13/8 to serve more double faults than Murray in the final of the Australian Open?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/australian-open/mens/novak-djokovic-v-andy-murray/most-double-faults

In matches so far:

Murray 12 DF's in 582 service points, i.e. 1 DF every 48.5 points.
Djokovic 14 DF's in 532 service points, i.e. 1 DF every 38 points.

Obviously, Murray might be expected to serve more points if his service games are closer than those of Djokovic.
Also, it's a small sample size.

Still, 13/8 (a push if a tie) seems rather large to me.

Does Murray get double-fault-itis when playing Djokovic?
I haven't looked at any stats apart from this tournament.

[Bazzaboy]

Hope we're not being slowrolled, but the NFL Network scroll bar is saying


It's on the NFL homepage


'Rams DT Aaron Donald wins AP Defensive Rookie of the Year'

The Rams defensive tackle finished the 2014 season with 9 sacks.


I thought the awards ceremony started at 9pm ET?


Incred stuff, Rich 

great call Rich, well done.

This.

[Newportlad]

Aaron Rodgers wins the MVP award as well.

A couple of really good calls there Rich.

 

[tikay]

Hope we're not being slowrolled, but the NFL Network scroll bar is saying


It's on the NFL homepage


'Rams DT Aaron Donald wins AP Defensive Rookie of the Year'

The Rams defensive tackle finished the 2014 season with 9 sacks.


I thought the awards ceremony started at 9pm ET?


Incred stuff, Rich 

Gotcha!

Great stuff Tighty, thank you.

[TightEnd]

Another cycling bet
« Sent to: TightEnd on: Today at 03:35:03 AM »
   Reply with quote Reply Remove this message
Hello Tighty,

Another cycling bet I like in the GP Cycliste La Marseillaise later today. Don't want to go into details, but Kevin Reza @ 14/1 and Lloyd Mondory @ 28/1 each-way are both great value. Suggest £5 e/w on Mondory and Reza at buttermeup.

But have to get on before 11am Sunday morning.

Cheers, cheapwetsuit


GP Cycliste La Marseillaise 2015 Kevin Reza (EW) (Winner - Race) Odds: 14/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  97.50
GP Cycliste La Marseillaise 2015 Lloyd Mondory (EW) (Winner - Race) Odds: 28/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  185.00

E/W 1/4 1,2,3

[Doobs]

Tie break in the first set at the Aussie Open. 

Looks like it could be a really good game.

Come on the angry Scot.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month (February) £417.50

Outstanding Bets £3657.13

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=19

Saturday's completed bets in the January books

+£16 Serena Williams over 8 Aces in the Australian Open final

Click to see full-size image.

+£3.75 The Serena cover less the Sharapova bet

-£15 Global Power, pulled up at Ffos Las

Completed bets in February's books, confirmed after January was closed off

+£27 the first set of Murray-Djokovic has just gone to a tie-break at 11-4 despite 4 breaks of serve



+£400 Aaron Donald NFL Defensive rookie of the year, came in at 20-1. Nice to get a big price ante-post in after a few near misses

He got 25 of the 50 votes, 2nd had 18 ( C J Mosley)

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466462/article/aaron-donald-nets-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-honors



-£10 Odell Beckham was named offensive rookie of the year, so confirming Kelvin Benjamin as a loser

also, because some were on it even though i neglected to do it for the thread (why?)

Click to see full-size image.

he got 31 of the 50 votes, JJ Watt 13

ongoing bets

football

Premier League

Stoke City up to 9th with a Jonathan Walters hat-trick, Jon Walters is the first PL player to score a perfect hat-trick (left foot, right foot, head) since Nolan & Lukaku on 19/05/13

Click to see full-size image.

top ten bet Newcastle 11th after a 3-0 win at Hull

Click to see full-size image.

West Brom relegation bet looks live again after the home loss to Spurs, now 15th 3 points off the bottom 3

Click to see full-size image.

West Ham 8th after losing at Anfield

Click to see full-size image.

Crystal Palace home loss to Everton unwelcome



Leicester loss at Manchester United expected

Click to see full-size image.

Championship

Fulham lost 2-1 at Blackburn, now 15th 11 points off the top six

in frustrating news Middlesborough got yet another penalty this season, to win at Brentford, pushing Leadbitter further ahead of Bamford in the top scorer bet

Click to see full-size image.

League One

Peterborough won again, two in a row since dropping their captain, with a Harry Beautyman goal. Now 11th, so tantalisingly close to the top half whilst still being in the bottom half which either suits or doesn't suit depending which bet you are looking at

Click to see full-size image.

Doncaster drew away so in the most important bet, a £220 match bet between the two Peterborough are ahead again, by a point

League Two

No sooner had we noticed that Newport were going well than they have lost three in a row, yesterday 1-0 at home to Shrewsbury

Conference

Relegation bet Dover had been top of the form league since November but lost yesterday 1-0 at Lincoln

Scottish Championship

Hearts won 4-1 at Alloa, and remain in great shape to win the division 16 points ahead of Rangers

Click to see full-size image.

Bundesliga

returned from its winter break

Mainz beat Paderborn 5-0, and needing them to finish in the top 4 this is the league table...



NCAA Basketball

As we heard overnight Duke had a big win at number 2 ranked Virginia 69-63 to go to a 18-3 record



NBA

Dallas Mavs beat Orlando 108-93

Toronto Raptors beat Washington 120-116

Cleveland Cavs beat Minnesota 106-90

LA Clippers beat San Antonio Spurs 105-85

Portland lost 95-88 to Milwaulkee



 

[arbboy]

I'd so like to find something but it's not easy for me as a) i know nothing about NFL and b) I know very little about betting really but....

In the last 10 Super Bowls, the second half has been the highest scoring half 8 out of 10 years.  For quarter scoring, Q3 has been the highest the most at 5 times, Q4 4 times and Q1 1 time.

Worth noting or not really?

Tiny sample size but amazing how the most likely quarter to be the highest scoring (2nd qtr) hasn't won once in ten years on your stats.  Not sure if there is anything statastically significant we can read into it though.  Great stat find though.

[TightEnd]

I'd so like to find something but it's not easy for me as a) i know nothing about NFL and b) I know very little about betting really but....

In the last 10 Super Bowls, the second half has been the highest scoring half 8 out of 10 years.  For quarter scoring, Q3 has been the highest the most at 5 times, Q4 4 times and Q1 1 time.

Worth noting or not really?

It makes intuitive sense, teams start superbowls conservatively, don't want to get too far behind by turning the ball over etc

teams adjust their game plans at half time, defenses tire a bit, the team that is behind opens up a bit etc etc

as i suggested yesterday under first half, and unders i will see also what is around to favour the second half when i collate the superbowl stuff later

  

[tikay]

+£400 Aaron Donald NFL Defensive rookie of the year, came in at 20-1. Nice to get a big price ante-post in after a few near misses

What a wonderful spot that was, thank you.

[Graham C]

Thanks. I thought it was intriguing that the 3rd quarter was the highest odds (9/2) when it was the highest scoring quarter 5 out of 10 times.
I did take the unders first half (and a few others) thank you

[TightEnd]

One bet to add

-£9 Aaron Rdgers comeback player of the year

As we saw, he won MVP

Gronkowski won Comeback player of the year with 37 of the 50 votes

(Rolando McClain 7, Jeremy Maclin 7, Kyle LOLrton 1)

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466440/article/rob-gronkowski-wins-comeback-player-of-the-year