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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16368086 times)
tikay
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« Reply #94620 on: February 01, 2015, 10:51:28 PM »
Quote from: nuros on February 01, 2015, 10:47:41 PM
Quote from: tikay on February 01, 2015, 10:41:49 PM
Quote from: Newportlad on February 01, 2015, 10:26:45 PM
Superbowl bet

As Tighty has mentioned previously, if New England win the toin coss, they like to defer (ie receive the ball at the start of the 2nd half). This means that they will kick off.  Seattle are much more likely to choose to receive the kick off if they win the toin coss.  Therefore odds are heavier for New England to kick off the game.
Red shouty man currenty has both teams at 10/11.      

IMO This should be a max bet on New England to kickoff.

Thanks Shaz.

Spooky.

I did exactly that bet 10 minutes ago, Phil sent me a text with the same suggestion and logic.

I only had £22 (I'm a nit) with Ladbrokes, @ 10/11.

That bet now transfers to FRED.

BET PLACED.

Not sure I am brave enough to max it, though the maths suggest it is great value.

Any other view as to having another bet, maybe another £33?

from that write up shouldnt it be a bet on seattle?

No, far more likely that Patriots kick off.

Patriots will (likely) kick off if they win the toss.

Seattle will (likely) elect to receive if they win the toss thing.

That's my read, anyway.
« Last Edit: February 01, 2015, 10:53:44 PM by tikay » Logged
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« Reply #94621 on: February 01, 2015, 10:54:45 PM »
Ok thx, I'm obviously misunderstanding something there as t ome it sounds like NE will choose to start 2nd half rather than 1st if they win the toss whereas seattle would choose to start 1st half if they win the toss, does the kick off mean 2nd half? or is it after a scoring play?
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« Reply #94622 on: February 01, 2015, 10:56:15 PM »
Oh oops ignore me I was getting confused between the kick off and receive and mixing them up, I get it now, thx! Smiley
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« Reply #94623 on: February 01, 2015, 10:58:37 PM »
Quote from: tikay on February 01, 2015, 10:41:49 PM
Quote from: Newportlad on February 01, 2015, 10:26:45 PM
Superbowl bet

As Tighty has mentioned previously, if New England win the toin coss, they like to defer (ie receive the ball at the start of the 2nd half). This means that they will kick off.  Seattle are much more likely to choose to receive the kick off if they win the toin coss.  Therefore odds are heavier for New England to kick off the game.
Red shouty man currenty has both teams at 10/11.     

IMO This should be a max bet on New England to kickoff.

Thanks Shaz.

Spooky.

I did exactly that bet 10 minutes ago, Phil sent me a text with the same suggestion and logic.

I only had £22 (I'm a nit) with Ladbrokes, @ 10/11.

That bet now transfers to FRED.

BET PLACED.

Not sure I am brave enough to max it, though the maths suggest it is great value.

Any other view as to having another bet, maybe another £33?

As it happens, I am already maxed (£22) with Mr Shouty,
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« Reply #94624 on: February 01, 2015, 11:14:19 PM »
Want £33 of mine?
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« Reply #94625 on: February 01, 2015, 11:15:55 PM »
Hang on. Wasn't this discussed at length on the Sky Poker show and the panel was unanimous that both teams would defer?

Makes way more sense for Seattle to pressure Brady first up with the various members of the 12th man fired up.
« Last Edit: February 01, 2015, 11:18:52 PM by Tal » Logged
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« Reply #94626 on: February 01, 2015, 11:44:15 PM »
Quote from: BorntoBubble on February 01, 2015, 11:14:19 PM
Want £33 of mine?

Very kind of you Callium, but think we will settle for the £22 we have, as Tal Bloke reckons he watched some TV Show which thought otherwise. You'd think I would have remembered that, but to be fair, it was 4 days ago.
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« Reply #94627 on: February 01, 2015, 11:44:28 PM »
Blue hoodie anyone?
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« Reply #94628 on: February 01, 2015, 11:45:59 PM »
Quote from: Tal on February 01, 2015, 11:44:28 PM
Blue hoodie anyone?

Think we swerved that bet.
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« Reply #94629 on: February 01, 2015, 11:47:10 PM »
Quote from: tikay on February 01, 2015, 11:44:15 PM
Quote from: BorntoBubble on February 01, 2015, 11:14:19 PM
Want £33 of mine?

Very kind of you Callium, but think we will settle for the £22 we have, as Tal Bloke reckons he watched some TV Show which thought otherwise. You'd think I would have remembered that, but to be fair, it was 4 days ago.

Cheesy

It's a flip at worst, so no harm done.
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« Reply #94630 on: February 01, 2015, 11:54:39 PM »
Quote from: Tal on February 01, 2015, 11:15:55 PM
Hang on. Wasn't this discussed at length on the Sky Poker show and the panel was unanimous that both teams would defer?

Makes way more sense for Seattle to pressure Brady first up with the various members of the 12th man fired up.

I have donated a bullseye of ev to lads then!!!!!!!
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« Reply #94631 on: February 01, 2015, 11:54:57 PM »
124.8. National anthem over.
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« Reply #94632 on: February 01, 2015, 11:56:51 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on February 01, 2015, 11:54:57 PM
124.8. National anthem over.

Where's that time from?
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« Reply #94633 on: February 01, 2015, 11:58:06 PM »
Seattle deferred.
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« Reply #94634 on: February 01, 2015, 11:58:55 PM »
Quote from: Newportlad on February 01, 2015, 10:26:45 PM
Superbowl bet

As Tighty has mentioned previously, if New England win the toin coss, they like to defer (ie receive the ball at the start of the 2nd half). This means that they will kick off.  Seattle are much more likely to choose to receive the kick off if they win the toin coss.  Therefore odds are heavier for New England to kick off the game.
Red shouty man currenty has both teams at 10/11.     

IMO This should be a max bet on New England to kickoff.

We have us a winner. I think.
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