Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Hills are 8-11 McCoy having no winners. If anyone can get on on behalf of thread, it's obv a max job.

hello

i'm frazzled this morning but tell me why its a max job?

[Chompy]

Oops, badly worded. I meant the 3-1 with BetSp is a max job.

[tikay]

Oops, badly worded. I meant the 3-1 with BetSp is a max job.

Gotcha.

Sadly, BSB limited us to a whole £5 note.

[Nico29]

pp go 3's mccoy winner today too

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/powerplay/cheltenham-countdown-specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=1188619

[Omm]

pp go 3's mccoy winner today too

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/powerplay/cheltenham-countdown-specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=1188619

And Betfair for those that can't go PP.

[Marky147]

Oops, badly worded. I meant the 3-1 with BetSp is a max job.

Gotcha.

Sadly, BSB limited us to a whole £5 note.

I got 25pence

[Omm]

pp go 3's mccoy winner today too

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/powerplay/cheltenham-countdown-specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=1188619

And Betfair for those that can't go PP.

Sorry was reading backwards

[TightEnd]

the £25 william hill free bet has to be used by tomorrow and is the last free ebt remaining from this week's endeavours

i will place it at 12.30pm on a gold cup horse

SILVINIACO CONTI 4
DJAKADAM 8
CONEYGREE 9
MANY CLOUDS 9
CARLINGFORD LOUGH 10
ROAD TO RICHES 10
HOLYWELL 10
bOBS WORTH 14
LORD WINDERMERE 16
sAM WINNER 25
BOSTON BOB 25
SMAD PLACE 20
ON HIS OWN 33
THE GIANT BOLSTER 33
HOUBLON DES OBEAUX 40
HOME FARM 100

vote, give opinions whatever and i will go with the majority

[BigAdz]

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.

At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...

I don't want to go down the same old roads again, but surely its maths, or its not?! One mans sentimental price is another mans valid price. Of those I suspect Ned,(who was second in this last year and laid out for it), and Carlingford are shorter but the rest are valid.

Sometimes seems that you make these things up to help meet your own reasoning.

Just saying like. .

Either way, from Nico's numbers its seems to be half decent, especially if its 8/11 the other way.

[TightEnd]

Cheltenham going change: Soft

[doubleup]

https://www.betfair.com/sport/?gaMod=featured&eventId=27088631&bseId=27088631&bssId=71139893&action=addSelection&bsmId=924.23084294&modules=betslip&bsmSt=1426253400000&isSP=false&bsUUID=4641b5536e727603eaff98881b13c7116ccdc1e6&xsrftoken=8bfb4be0-c366-11e4-a48e-a0369f0e8960&bsGroup=27088631-1426253400000

HTTP Status 403 - Possible XSRF detected.

type Status report

message Possible XSRF detected.

description Access to the specified resource has been forbidden.
Apache Tomcat/7.0.41

 

[Doobs]

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.

At these prices seems around evens, maybe even slightly odds on.

3's def very good.

Have it at 53% chance at these prices. About 10/11.

Think 3/1 is fine, but those prices are sentimental ones.  Eg his horse should never be 9/2 in the last.  It may win obviously but a horse like that should really be 8/1 or so.  It could be a handicap Rick but we have seen those types starting at 7/1 or 10/1 earlier in the week.  

We should be thinking of backing up the truck and laying...

I don't want to go down the same old roads again, but surely its maths, or its not?! One mans sentimental price is another mans valid price. Of those I suspect Ned,(who was second in this last year and laid out for it), and Carlingford are shorter but the rest are valid.

Sometimes seems that you make these things up to help meet your own reasoning.

Just saying like. .

Either way, from Nico's numbers its seems to be half decent, especially if its 8/11 the other way.

So you think 2 or 3 are likely too short but that when I say the same I am making it up?

3/1 is fine as I said, just the maths isn't as compelling as it would be if all the prices were set assuming this wasn't McCoys last Cheltenham.

Anyway I think we both agree, so nothing to see here. 

[tikay]

the £25 william hill free bet has to be used by tomorrow and is the last free ebt remaining from this week's endeavours

i will place it at 12.30pm on a gold cup horse

SILVINIACO CONTI 4
DJAKADAM 8
CONEYGREE 9
MANY CLOUDS 9
CARLINGFORD LOUGH 10
ROAD TO RICHES 10
HOLYWELL 10
bOBS WORTH 14
LORD WINDERMERE 16
sAM WINNER 25
BOSTON BOB 25
SMAD PLACE 20
ON HIS OWN 33
THE GIANT BOLSTER 33
HOUBLON DES OBEAUX 40
HOME FARM 100

vote, give opinions whatever and i will go with the majority

I'm not overly fussed Rich, but if pressed I'd go for Many Clouds, so we can join the (hoped for) celebrations, half of Fred are on it, & we are not.

[tikay]

Onve again, a short interruption to proceedings for my daily article Next Door, it has a bit of spam, but there's a nice little Gold Cup story included which may interest those who love the traditions of today's Gold Cup.

It's my day job, gotta be done, so I'm grateful for all clickers.   

Thanks.

http://bit.ly/1BAotQ8

[bookiebasher]

Going change at Cheltenham , soft , good to soft in places.

Many clouds around the winning post.

Miles behind Tighty as usual.