Tips for Tikay

[simonnatur]

I saw that my old friend Billy Horschel (He of the million$ tip) finished 3rd in Texas and I read somewhere that the course was set up somewhat similar to Masters. He was also one of the most popular bets @ 80-1 when I looked at Oddschecker this morning.
Used a couple of free bets on him and Spieth.  Not a recommend, just a punt.

[Larry David]

Oosty is coming back to form,I think all the 80/1 has been snapped up, a good season ahead for Louis if his back problems stay away.

[Larry David]

Morning Mr T's.

Sorry I wasn't around yesterday as the tennis was particularly lucrative, although I did get Tomiced yet again later in the day!

I think we  can have a dabble at getting Nishikori beaten today. He leads Troicki 2-1 in the h to h but Troicki did win their only meeting on a hard court. Nishikori's last 2 games have been a bad loss to Lopez and then a facile win over an abject Youhzny. When you go against Nishikori you know you will get chances to break, as his serve is the weakest part of his game. I would back Troicki at 4-1 but we can get 5's at betvictor.

Suggest £10 Troicki @ 5-1 with victor.

Has arbboy eloped with Larrry?

Elope during Atp/Wta Miami,I don't think so.

Good luck with your bet, I don't think it matters much if Nishikori serves below 40% as Troicki doesn't have a prayer of beating Nishikori from the back of the court unless he just can't be arsed.  You probably will get a run for your money as Kei likes to put himself in holes before deciding to play.  I was going to advise 2-1 Nishikori but you beat me to it   

Suarez navarro not being the fav v Radwanska is puzzling.

I have 4 for a Lucky 15

Janowicz 6/4
Suarez navarro 13/10
Petkovic  9/5
Venus Williams 4/5 (Nap) All 4 lose I will never post again which would bring great delight to many.

It this is no good single on Suarez navarro 13/10,courts look perfect and Radwanska couldn't hit her way out of a paper bag.

[TightEnd]

More info on Duke/Kentucky especially the Vegas angle

http://espn.go.com/chalk/story/_/id/12584853/kentucky-wildcats-odds-favorite-win-title-complete-perfect-season

[mondatoo]

Just me who's surprised that it's 1/3 the fight goes the distance in Floyd vs Manny fight ?

Looks a good price to me with both there recent records : Manny hasn't stopped anyone since 2009 (10 fights) whilst Floyd hasn't since 2011 (6 fights), and that stoppage was pretty unconventional to say the least.

[Chompy]

A lot of bookmakers are now NRNB for the National and a lot of them still have Shutthefrontdoor at 8-1.

I'm not sure I'd agree with Hill's PE roffler about McCoy money forcing this one down to 4-1 or lower but there's absolutely no downside, if we're prepared to empty a pillow case into Betty on the day (£3,000) and lay a big chunk back.

In that case I suggest £500 at 8-1 (with 365, baldy, 888, BettySp, Betway).

[TightEnd]

A lot of bookmakers are now NRNB for the National and a lot of them still have Shutthefrontdoor at 8-1.

I'm not sure I'd agree with Hill's PE roffler about McCoy money forcing this one down to 4-1 or lower but there's absolutely no downside, if we're prepared to empty a pillow case into Betty on the day (£3,000) and lay a big chunk back.

In that case I suggest £500 at 8-1 (with 365, baldy, 888, BettySp, Betway).

can i refer that up please?

would need money into betty sp now and then

[class]

I, being the ice cream that I am, have found a site offering odds of 10/3, for England to win their remaining 5 group E games. The fixtures are as follows:-

Slovenia (a)
San Marino (a)
Switzerland (h)
Estonia (h)
Lithuania (a)

The obvious difficult match is the next, Slovenia away, but if this can be negotiated I feel the next 4 are pretty much plain sailing. I'd imagine the San Marino, Estonia and Lithuania games would all have England as big odds on, and the other too as maybe 4/7, 8/15 region?

Could somebody please show me the error of my ways, and tell me this is an ice cream bet.

Cheers.

[TightEnd]

I, being the ice cream that I am, have found a site offering odds of 10/3, for England to win their remaining 5 group E games. The fixtures are as follows:-

Slovenia (a)
San Marino (a)
Switzerland (h)
Estonia (h)
Lithuania (a)

The obvious difficult match is the next, Slovenia away, but if this can be negotiated I feel the next 4 are pretty much plain sailing. I'd imagine the San Marino, Estonia and Lithuania games would all have England as big odds on, and the other too as maybe 4/7, 8/15 region?

Could somebody please show me the error of my ways, and tell me this is an ice cream bet.

Cheers.

tell us what odds you think they are to win the individual games

then work it out as a five fold multiple

my guess was

Slovenia (a) 8/11
San Marino (a) 1/10
Switzerland (h) 4/6
Estonia (h) 1/4
Lithuania (a) 1/2

any of those estimates might be wrong

that is an 11/2 multiple, though

but put your prices in and work from there

(or tell me and i will work it out)

[nellberg]

given stensons poor record at the masters, is he worth opposing in the "top continental european" market? only bv have priced it up, he's a 13/8 shot. the rest don't exactly stand out as great bets though ...

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-continental-euro

[Larry David]

Langer 33/1. Not sure who you oppose Stenson with if you are wanting a bet in this,Kaymer such a straight hitter but not totally suited to Augusta.

[TightEnd]

for arbboy please


"Considerable time was spent on Sunday's season-ending NBA Insiders show on ESPN Radio detailing how Nikola Mirotic, Nerlens Noel and Elfrid Payton have combined to give Andrew Wiggins some much-welcomed ROY competition. Wiggins, though, does lead all rooks with 25 20-point games."

article refers

http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/12513676/bpi-rankings-say-elfrid-payton-deserves-rookie-year-honors-andrew-wiggins

its one view, and wiggins remains extremely short on the exchange, the only current live quote

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/basketball/market?id=1.114461250


but i thnk this is what marky was referring to a few days ago

[Mark_Porter]

Suarez navarro not being the fav v Radwanska is puzzling.

I have 4 for a Lucky 15

Janowicz 6/4
Suarez navarro 13/10
Petkovic  9/5
Venus Williams 4/5 (Nap) All 4 lose I will never post again which would bring great delight to many.

It this is no good single on Suarez navarro 13/10,courts look perfect and Radwanska couldn't hit her way out of a paper bag.

Good stuff, thank you. Two to go.

[Larry David]

No probs, hope you stuck an acca on the 4 also.  Played Suarez in-play but not Venus,didn't get price I wanted on her as she was fairly in control. Fairly easy for Suarez once she warmed up,world beater if she believed it herself.

Keep thinking I have missed a key point on Petkovic, was thinking 5/6 v 5/6 on these courts.  Time will tell,good luck with other two

[arbboy]

for arbboy please


"Considerable time was spent on Sunday's season-ending NBA Insiders show on ESPN Radio detailing how Nikola Mirotic, Nerlens Noel and Elfrid Payton have combined to give Andrew Wiggins some much-welcomed ROY competition. Wiggins, though, does lead all rooks with 25 20-point games."

article refers

http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/12513676/bpi-rankings-say-elfrid-payton-deserves-rookie-year-honors-andrew-wiggins

its one view, and wiggins remains extremely short on the exchange, the only current live quote

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/basketball/market?id=1.114461250


but i thnk this is what marky was referring to a few days ago

The lump at 1.04 is mine btw on bf.  I can't see Wiggins not getting it.  The last week or so he has pumped in 2 or 3 decent games stats wise.  The Magic kid can barely shoot.  Would be amazed if he or Noel got it tbh.  Wiggins has been consistent all season and improved as the season goes on and is the talent for the future out of his draft.  Seems very hard he doesn't win it imo.