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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16469282 times)
DungBeetle
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« Reply #100290 on: May 01, 2015, 11:39:21 AM »

Is Murphy really wearing rust coloured trousers and a gold waistcoat or are my eyes deceiving me!??
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tikay
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« Reply #100291 on: May 01, 2015, 11:41:38 AM »

I think Hawkins is struggling a little with his tip. He miscued a shot yesterday and when the camera closed in I noticed that there's not much of the tip left and he would be loath to replace it at this stage.

He's not cuing his screw shots with much confidence consequently and I think that Murphy might run out an easy winner in this match.

There's no liquidity in the +6.5 frames market on betty or I'd be all over it.

Great call - just mopped up on the last 2 frames buying Murphy points supremacy.

oioi, old Ralphy knows his snooker.
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tikay
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« Reply #100292 on: May 01, 2015, 11:42:15 AM »


+£100 Over 1.5 running backs taken in the first round of the draft

this was the biggest certainty ever posted on this thread, two were gone before the first half of the round was over



Fingers crossed plenty got on, great stuff.

Thought we were dreadfully unlucky not to get at least 2 draws in the darts.

I had my entire B365 balance, 545 euro, on between the 2 bets.
Nice one Tighty Smiley

Awesome!
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« Reply #100293 on: May 01, 2015, 11:42:25 AM »

I think Hawkins is struggling a little with his tip. He miscued a shot yesterday and when the camera closed in I noticed that there's not much of the tip left and he would be loath to replace it at this stage.

He's not cuing his screw shots with much confidence consequently and I think that Murphy might run out an easy winner in this match.

There's no liquidity in the +6.5 frames market on betty or I'd be all over it.


Is that because its a cert??!!


Murphdog looking awesome. Go Dog.

13/8 for the final? U still offering that Argue?

My prices for a Trump Murphy final still are 8/13 13/8 (not Murphy in the final) to 100%.  I was never offering 13/8 Murphy for a bet that was my price to 100%.  I don't offer bets with no margin for myself as i would have to get a job to pay for my drink habit.  My prices for a bet would be 8/15 trump 11/8 Murphy in the same way any bookmaker who makes an event 8/13 13/8 or 62/38% would then price it up.  11/8 Murphy will be top end i would imagine if they do play in the final but i would be happy to lay it for decent money.  PM me if you want a bet.    Come on Adz you are better than that.  You can't go into Lolbrokes and bet to 100% on an event commission free.   Grin

Let's not get too carried away here.  As Ralph says Hawkins is struggling both with his tip and having 3 brutal long matches in the earlier rounds.  Murph is beating nothing here.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2015, 12:06:26 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #100294 on: May 01, 2015, 12:01:15 PM »

Is Murphy really wearing rust coloured trousers and a gold waistcoat or are my eyes deceiving me!??

It's a suit apparently but he's not dazzled us with the jacket yet.

He also appeared to be wearing spats yesterday with his other outfit.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2015, 12:03:42 PM by Karabiner » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #100295 on: May 01, 2015, 12:07:42 PM »

Is Murphy really wearing rust coloured trousers and a gold waistcoat or are my eyes deceiving me!??

It's a suit apparently but he's not dazzled us with the jacket yet.

He also appeared to be wearing spats yesterday with his other outfit.

I think he has looked rather dapper throughout.



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« Reply #100296 on: May 01, 2015, 12:26:58 PM »

I've laid a bit of 2.02 Murphy in lieu of a place bet as I'm only on him to win.

That seems short enough and will look like a bargain if Trump prevails.
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« Reply #100297 on: May 01, 2015, 12:28:32 PM »

Ha, Will Hill outside the Lindo wing this morning.

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« Reply #100298 on: May 01, 2015, 12:37:16 PM »

Leicester 2/7 to stay up Hills Recommend £105.  Can't have the bosses forward book being below £4k for too long!  Money sitting around not making more money is criminal. Grin

This really is a cracking bet.  Obviously under on bf and bet365/spreadex are 4/1 leics to go down so for the arbing nits out there just take the 2% risk free commission free if you like giving ev away to the shrewder books who are happy to lay the 4/1.  Spreads have Leics in for half a point less than Villa (Leics have better GD as well) so effectively they should be close to the same price to stay up.  Villa are 1/7 Leics are 2/7 to stay up.  Hull in for 1/2 point more than villa (1 point more than Leics) on the spreads and they are 1/20 to stay up.  All the run ins are built into the spread points quotes at this stage of the season so it is a no brainer bet on all accounts.

Main dangers Sunderland are in for 3.5 points less than Leics and have worse GD as well.  Sunderland brutal run in.  Away to Everton/Ars/Chelski.  Home to Soton.  Key game is home to Leics.  Leics don't lose that the bet is effectively weighed in.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/to-stay-up

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football-domestic/premier-league/mm4.uk.meeting.4719890/premier-league-points-2014-2015
« Last Edit: May 01, 2015, 12:44:48 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #100299 on: May 01, 2015, 12:44:11 PM »

Starting to feel sorry for Hawkins, the harder he tried the worse it gets, and Murphy is not missing a thing.

Would love to see a Murphy - Bingham final, that'd be a cracker.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2015, 12:46:09 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #100300 on: May 01, 2015, 12:45:18 PM »


Starting to feel sorry for Hawkins, the harder he tried the worse it gets, and Murhy is not missing a thing.

I always feel sorry for Hawkins.
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« Reply #100301 on: May 01, 2015, 12:51:32 PM »

Leicester 2/7 to stay up Hills Recommend £105.  Can't have the bosses forward book being below £4k for too long!  Money sitting around not making more money is criminal. Grin

This really is a cracking bet.  Obviously under on bf and bet365/spreadex are 4/1 leics to go down so for the arbing nits out there just take the 2% risk free commission free if you like giving ev away to the shrewder books who are happy to lay the 4/1.  Spreads have Leics in for half a point less than Villa (Leics have better GD as well) so effectively they should be close to the same price to stay up.  Villa are 1/7 Leics are 2/7 to stay up.  Hull in for 1/2 point more than villa (1 point more than Leics) on the spreads and they are 1/20 to stay up.  All the run ins are built into the spread points quotes at this stage of the season so it is a no brainer bet on all accounts.

Main dangers Sunderland are in for 3.5 points less than Leics and have worse GD as well.  Sunderland brutal run in.  Away to Everton/Ars/Chelski.  Home to Soton.  Key game is home to Leics.  Leics don't lose that the bet is effectively weighed in.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/to-stay-up

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football-domestic/premier-league/mm4.uk.meeting.4719890/premier-league-points-2014-2015

Ugh

I am concerned about tomorrow

Very little recovery time after Wednesday (we are the early game saturday), Newcastle didn't have a game

Huth is a major injury, really makes a difference to the defence

it all changes if we lose tomorrow
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« Reply #100302 on: May 01, 2015, 12:54:03 PM »

Leicester 2/7 to stay up Hills Recommend £105.  Can't have the bosses forward book being below £4k for too long!  Money sitting around not making more money is criminal. Grin

This really is a cracking bet.  Obviously under on bf and bet365/spreadex are 4/1 leics to go down so for the arbing nits out there just take the 2% risk free commission free if you like giving ev away to the shrewder books who are happy to lay the 4/1.  Spreads have Leics in for half a point less than Villa (Leics have better GD as well) so effectively they should be close to the same price to stay up.  Villa are 1/7 Leics are 2/7 to stay up.  Hull in for 1/2 point more than villa (1 point more than Leics) on the spreads and they are 1/20 to stay up.  All the run ins are built into the spread points quotes at this stage of the season so it is a no brainer bet on all accounts.

Main dangers Sunderland are in for 3.5 points less than Leics and have worse GD as well.  Sunderland brutal run in.  Away to Everton/Ars/Chelski.  Home to Soton.  Key game is home to Leics.  Leics don't lose that the bet is effectively weighed in.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/to-stay-up

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football-domestic/premier-league/mm4.uk.meeting.4719890/premier-league-points-2014-2015

Ugh

I am concerned about tomorrow

Very little recovery time after Wednesday (we are the early game saturday), Newcastle didn't have a game

Huth is a major injury, really makes a difference to the defence

it all changes if we lose tomorrow

Don't worry the maths talks.  Get the cash on!  It is sitting idle!  Worrying about beating Newcastle!!!  lolzz.  When was the last time they got a point in a game?  Take the Leics blinkers off and stick it down to me.  I will take the strain.

Typo in original post.  Spreads got Sunderland in from 2.5 points less than Leics not 3.5 as originally quoted.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2015, 01:08:08 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #100303 on: May 01, 2015, 12:58:32 PM »

If you thought the party leaders got a raw deal last night, I'd suggest having a look at Nigel Pearson's press conference today on the BBC website.
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« Reply #100304 on: May 01, 2015, 01:09:36 PM »

anyone got any views on Derby at the weekend?  I found a lovely spot on them but just want people's views/team news/motivation etc etc.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/derby-v-reading/winner
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