Tips for Tikay

[MereNovice]

who do you think will win the bottom half now?

Radwanska comfortably (but so do the bookies).

The other three didn't sparkle today.

[TightEnd]

the first glance of the cardiff pitch for wednesday

due another cut tomorrow which will remove the green tinge.

looks like to could be a belter and then its down to the weather to see if any overhead conditions aid the bowlers



we have no ashes positions, but that can change if anyone has any ideas on markets for either side like top bowlers, top batsman, and the first test etc etc etc

[nellberg]

ashes wise, i know we hummed and harred about it a bit, but there was some support for starc top aussie wicket taker? no harris has clearly up the situation somewhat, as starc johnson and hazlewood will now play the majority if not all tests barring injury. Out of the 3 i'd certainly favour starc, will swing the new ball and if its a dry summer then he'll get reverse swing against our tail. for the rest i'm boringly obvious, smith and root with the bat and can't see value in eng bowling. man of series maybe? smith 8/1 starc 12/1. most likely two if/when oz win

[HutchGF]

the first glance of the cardiff pitch for wednesday

due another cut tomorrow which will remove the green tinge.

looks like to could be a belter and then its down to the weather to see if any overhead conditions aid the bowlers



we have no ashes positions, but that can change if anyone has any ideas on markets for either side like top bowlers, top batsman, and the first test etc etc etc

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/test/top-australia-batsman

Not a lot of value in the best Aussie batsmen prices I can see. Steve Smith a worthy favourite for the Aussies at 3.25 with beteveryday, can't really see past him especially as he's now batting at 3. Not sure it's a juicy enough price to bother with.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/test/top-england-batsman

Top England batsman is slightly more encouraging. Root is clearly and correctly priced up as the favourite, but I was encouraged by Cook's return to form against NZ and fancy his grittiness to be potentially the deciding factor against such a high quality attack. Available at 4.8, but would take down to 4.5, I recommend £20.

Adam Lyth is quoted at an astonishing 10.5 on the exchange despite his recent century against NZ. Anyone have any further thoughts on that? Seems very high for someone who will open in all 5 tests barring injury.

Awaiting the other cricket punters opinions of course.

[hector62]

Evening Tighty.

I agree with the previous posters. I was going to recommend we back Cook as top England bat and Smith to be man of the series.

I read your piece on betpal and agree with most of it. How about considering Lyon as top series wicket taker rather than top Aussie as I still only see this series going the way of Australia?

[HutchGF]

Evening Tighty.

I agree with the previous posters. I was going to recommend we back Cook as top England bat and Smith to be man of the series.

I read your piece on betpal and agree with most of it. How about considering Lyon as top series wicket taker rather than top Aussie as I still only see this series going the way of Australia?

I think it may be closer than people think. It will be interesting to see how effective Starc and Johnson are in English conditions; I think this will be the deciding factor. Both teams have proven runs in their line-ups, although I hope England play a proper spinner and not persist with the Ali experiment. He has to warrant a place in the top 6 and be an extra bowler, not one of the main 4 in my humble opinion. In that sense he has fallen significantly behind Stokes after the NZ series.

[nellberg]

Cook was boosted to 6/1 at badbrokes today, not sure if that's still kicking around? was 6/1 Clarke also, which makes less appeal

[HutchGF]

Cook was boosted to 6/1 at badbrokes today, not sure if that's still kicking around? was 6/1 Clarke also, which makes less appeal

Snap their hands off at 6/1. Probably allowed 50p-ish.

[nellberg]

Cook was boosted to 6/1 at badbrokes today, not sure if that's still kicking around? was 6/1 Clarke also, which makes less appeal

Snap their hands off at 6/1. Probably allowed 50p-ish.

haha, was in-shop, think 20 max. not sure if ongoing into tomorrow or just a special for today

[tikay]

Am a bit busy right now, but I really think if we can spot some value in the Test series, we should have an interest.

[Karabiner]

Novak down two sets to love but still 4/5 on betty

[Peter-27]

Good stuff Peter.

I would say that 93% of the time you are one of the top 8% tipsters on TFT.

Good stuff Peter.

I would say that 93% of the time you are one of the top 8% tipsters on TFT.

Good stuff Peter.

I would say that 93% of the time you are one of the top 8% tipsters on TFT.

i would like to put up an arguement that its more like 92% of the top 11%

Haha, thanks 

Not the best results for the TFT F1 bets today, but I still make it a £7 profit haha! 

Good news for the Force India spread bet though! 7th & 9th in the race on a track with a non-optimsed car is EPIC. They WILL get podiums towards the end of the season. Sporting Index are willing to give me £760 to stop the season points bet now - NO CHANCE! 

Is the £760 the value of closing the bet now or have they actually contacted you to try and "do a deal"?

Value of closing the bet now

Not the best results for the TFT F1 bets today, but I still make it a £7 profit haha! 

Good news for the Force India spread bet though! 7th & 9th in the race on a track with a non-optimsed car is EPIC. They WILL get podiums towards the end of the season. Sporting Index are willing to give me £760 to stop the season points bet now - NO CHANCE! 

Nice work again. One thing that worries me about your selections is how you sometimes come across sounding like a "fan" of Force India rather than an impartial reviewer. We know someone who talks of Crystal Palace in a similar way

Don't get me wrong, I have a tidy spread position due to your recommendation, just checking you're not getting carried away!

Perfectly reasonable thought process. I don't hide the fact that I'm a fan of Force India, and Williams to a certain extent (as an ex-employee), but I make all my bets based on facts. Force India are just on an upward trajectory, but still viewed by the bookies as a midfield team - means they're great value right now.

Not the best results for the TFT F1 bets today, but I still make it a £7 profit haha! 

Good news for the Force India spread bet though! 7th & 9th in the race on a track with a non-optimsed car is EPIC. They WILL get podiums towards the end of the season. Sporting Index are willing to give me £760 to stop the season points bet now - NO CHANCE! 

Nice work again. One thing that worries me about your selections is how you sometimes come across sounding like a "fan" of Force India rather than an impartial reviewer. We know someone who talks of Crystal Palace in a similar way

Don't get me wrong, I have a tidy spread position due to your recommendation, just checking you're not getting carried away!

About that...

I assume some teams are more bet on by the casual punters than others, irrespective of their performance? McLaren and Ferrari would be the obvious ones. Is there a knock on effect on the prices as a result (so, if the money is going on Ferrari, assuming the bulk is going on the Mercs, the bookies have to push the price of the Williamses out)?

Is Force India one of those teams or is there a lot of Indian money going on them?

Interesting comment .. do you think McLaren and Ferrari are bet on more? Isn't there an argument that "casual" fans won't really bet on the sport, the majority of the money will come from hardcore fans and they will surely have enough knowledge to not just lump on the historical "big teams".

Despite being one of the most supported teams (due to population size more than anything), Force India won't be bet on that much purley because gambling is illegal in the majority of India.

[Newportlad]

There is a betting market for The Ashes.  Ground with the most runs.
Cardiff is the outsider of the 5 at 5/1.  Given that the pitch is set up for 5 days, why should this be the outsider?

[Doobs]

Peter,  am not going to copy the whole post, but much of the time there is a match fixing scandal in cricket, "Indian bookmakers" are mentioned.  Whilst it may be illegal, I guesss those that want to bet big find a way.  Having said this, I can't remember ever thinking Force India cars were too short, so guessing this doesn't affect Formula 1.  

[Marky147]

Novak down two sets to love but still 4/5 on betty

You are very good, Ralph