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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16519140 times)
Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104265 on:
July 25, 2015, 05:59:27 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on July 25, 2015, 05:50:43 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on July 25, 2015, 05:48:39 PM
Very confused at to what happened in the Frank Spencer race.
First I got paid across several sites, then it was reduced, then I have just noticed it has been paid in full again.
Trust Spencer to be at the centre of it.
This happened to me on BMU.
Bookies on the course doing their nuts, because they paid out after getting weighed in signal.
Then they call a stewards, and declare Speculative Bid a NR, so everyone who backed it wants their dough back.
I had it in a double with Tanzeel, and 888 have settled that as a loser.
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BigAdz
Hero Member
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Posts: 8140
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104266 on:
July 25, 2015, 06:51:53 PM »
Quote from: Bazzaboy on July 25, 2015, 12:22:26 PM
David Templeton is 25/1 to be first scorer in Hibs v Rangers game. He is playing on the left of a front 3. I'd have said it was a palp but you can get it with Coral, PP and
Backed him first/last and any.
Was rather excited when I saw they scored 6.
Looks like you ran as well as me today Bazza.
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Peter-27
Hero Member
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Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104267 on:
July 26, 2015, 03:26:00 AM »
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:40:40 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:34:42 PM
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:30:34 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:08:06 PM
Just had a quick look at the post-FP3 markets, can't find anything to recommend at the moment.
FI seemed to go well in FP3 though, lets hope we can see them both competing in Q3 in a little while for our nice little position on the spreads...
Yep, that was largely expected when they got over their suspension issue.
As I said i'm an F1 noob, so forgive me for not possibly stating the obvious in some situations!!
What are your predictions for Nico and Sergio in qualifying and race this weekend?
No problem, I'm happy to explain things about F1.
I had expected Sergio to be on the cusp of Q3, and Nico to easily get into Q3. Both finished a little lower than that .. the lack of track time in FP2 is really hurting them.
As for the race, I don't expect this to be a problem. Set-up usually isn't so much of an issue here because the field spread is so large. It's a tough circuit technically, you're either quick or not. I expect a points finish for both cars.
Bets were terrible today, apologies. Hoping for better tomorrow! Will review the markets in the morning sometime.
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bunnydas8888
Sr. Member
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Posts: 336
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104268 on:
July 26, 2015, 04:07:42 AM »
Quote
No problem, I'm happy to explain things about F1.
How good would the Mclarens be if they had a decent engine inside of them? & will they be able to compete next year, or, will they still be having issues?
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MattyHollis
Sr. Member
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Posts: 839
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104269 on:
July 26, 2015, 10:06:32 AM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 26, 2015, 03:26:00 AM
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:40:40 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:34:42 PM
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:30:34 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:08:06 PM
Just had a quick look at the post-FP3 markets, can't find anything to recommend at the moment.
FI seemed to go well in FP3 though, lets hope we can see them both competing in Q3 in a little while for our nice little position on the spreads...
Yep, that was largely expected when they got over their suspension issue.
As I said i'm an F1 noob, so forgive me for not possibly stating the obvious in some situations!!
What are your predictions for Nico and Sergio in qualifying and race this weekend?
No problem, I'm happy to explain things about F1.
I had expected Sergio to be on the cusp of Q3, and Nico to easily get into Q3. Both finished a little lower than that .. the lack of track time in FP2 is really hurting them.
As for the race, I don't expect this to be a problem. Set-up usually isn't so much of an issue here because the field spread is so large. It's a tough circuit technically, you're either quick or not. I expect a points finish for both cars.
Bets were terrible today, apologies. Hoping for better tomorrow! Will review the markets in the morning sometime.
Yes 11th and 13th. Nico's was strange though - he was in the pits for the last 2 mins despite being 8/9th fastest at the time and did not come back out. Possibly cost himself Q3? They said there was no issues it was just the plan to do that?
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Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104270 on:
July 26, 2015, 10:10:40 AM »
Quote from: bunnydas8888 on July 26, 2015, 04:07:42 AM
Quote
No problem, I'm happy to explain things about F1.
How good would the Mclarens be if they had a decent engine inside of them? & will they be able to compete next year, or, will they still be having issues?
Hard to say, but I personally don't believe they have a great chassis either. With a Mercedes engine, I suspect they would be around where Williams are now.
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 26, 2015, 10:06:32 AM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 26, 2015, 03:26:00 AM
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:40:40 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:34:42 PM
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 25, 2015, 01:30:34 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 25, 2015, 01:08:06 PM
Just had a quick look at the post-FP3 markets, can't find anything to recommend at the moment.
FI seemed to go well in FP3 though, lets hope we can see them both competing in Q3 in a little while for our nice little position on the spreads...
Yep, that was largely expected when they got over their suspension issue.
As I said i'm an F1 noob, so forgive me for not possibly stating the obvious in some situations!!
What are your predictions for Nico and Sergio in qualifying and race this weekend?
No problem, I'm happy to explain things about F1.
I had expected Sergio to be on the cusp of Q3, and Nico to easily get into Q3. Both finished a little lower than that .. the lack of track time in FP2 is really hurting them.
As for the race, I don't expect this to be a problem. Set-up usually isn't so much of an issue here because the field spread is so large. It's a tough circuit technically, you're either quick or not. I expect a points finish for both cars.
Bets were terrible today, apologies. Hoping for better tomorrow! Will review the markets in the morning sometime.
Yes 11th and 13th. Nico's was strange though - he was in the pits for the last 2 mins despite being 8/9th fastest at the time and did not come back out. Possibly cost himself Q3? They said there was no issues it was just the plan to do that?
Strategy; tyre saving. Given the high track temperatures that are expected for the race, tyre management will be crucial. The pain he took at the end of Q2 should come back to help him during the race as he has a new set of softs available.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104271 on:
July 26, 2015, 10:48:26 AM »
a loss of £28 yesterday
winners
Sagan green jersey +£50, cannot be caught
Suzi's Connoseiur +£12 each way
losers
Team Sky -£20
Hulkenberg Q3 -£15 (the exchange bets did not match, fortunately)
Snow Sky -£40
One word more -£15
back to normal service tomorrow
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104272 on:
July 26, 2015, 11:04:11 AM »
All the F1 markets are very well priced this weekend, I've had to get a bit creative.
Winning Margin -
11-15.999 Seconds @ 13/2 with Blose. Field spread is usually large at the Hungaroring due to the technical nature of the track, suggest £10.
Group B (RIC/BOT/MAS/KVY) -
Valtteri Bottas @ 2/1 with VetBictor. Good bet with the Red Bull engine troubles, 2/1 is too high. Valtteri might even be able to do this on pace alone. Suggest £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/hungarian-grand-prix/group-b
Also, not a recommendation, but if you wanted to take a punt, 15/13 for a safety car with Blose looks good to me. Actually, certain firms have "no" at EVS, so there is a possible freeroll there if you want it.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104273 on:
July 26, 2015, 11:21:21 AM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 26, 2015, 11:04:11 AM
All the F1 markets are very well priced this weekend, I've had to get a bit creative.
Winning Margin -
11-15.999 Seconds @ 13/2 with Blose. Field spread is usually large at the Hungaroring due to the technical nature of the track, suggest £10.
Group B (RIC/BOT/MAS/KVY) -
Valtteri Bottas @ 2/1 with VetBictor. Good bet with the Red Bull engine troubles, 2/1 is too high. Valtteri might even be able to do this on pace alone. Suggest £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/hungarian-grand-prix/group-b
Also, not a recommendation, but if you wanted to take a punt, 15/13 for a safety car with Blose looks good to me. Actually, certain firms have "no" at EVS, so there is a possible freeroll there if you want it.
we're closed at bwin i am afraid since our football/basketball/tennis exploits of april-june
Race Markets Valtteri Bottas (Group B - Race) Odds: 2/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return: 30.00
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
hector62
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2359
Homo doctus is se semper divitias habet
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104274 on:
July 26, 2015, 11:44:15 AM »
Morning Tighty.
Lots of superleague today and I have a bet for us in the Castleford v Warrington game. It is hard to be certain how this game will pan out as Warrington need the points, but they have a cup semi final next week and preserving bodies may be more important. With wet weather around that too will play a key role. I suspect that preserving bodies will actually turn out to be the key factor and expect Castleford to win, but the rain will affect the total points somewhat. We backed Ben Currie last time and he obliged for us and I see no reason to abandon him as Ladbrokes have a great price of 3-1. He has scored 10 tries in his last 12 games and crucially he takes the ball only 1 pass out, so the wet weather may help him.
Suggest Ben Currie anytime £15 @ 3-1 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104275 on:
July 26, 2015, 12:02:57 PM »
we were limited on this, a bit unexpectedly
your bets (1)
Single - Castleford Tigers v Warrington Wolves
Ben Currie (Warrington Wolves) - |Anytime Try Scorer|
Odds: 3/1
1 lines at £10.00 per line
Total Stake for this bet: £10.00
Potential Return:£40.00
Time : 26/7/2015-11:21
Receipt No:O/142640973/0000950
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104276 on:
July 26, 2015, 12:26:36 PM »
I've put on a £5 spread bet, selling on Kvyat/Massa at 2.
Good spot in my opinion. It's 10 points to whoever finishes ahead (should certainly be Massa, barring retirement), and then 2 points per positional difference. Would recommend it
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MattyHollis
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 839
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104277 on:
July 26, 2015, 01:34:22 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 26, 2015, 12:26:36 PM
I've put on a £5 spread bet, selling on Kvyat/Massa at 2.
Good spot in my opinion. It's 10 points to whoever finishes ahead (should certainly be Massa, barring retirement), and then 2 points per positional difference. Would recommend it
So by selling at 2 Kyvat is basically getting 2 points to start with plus or minus however the race pans out?
Should Massa finish ahead one place then we win 10 points overall? Should Kyvat win by one place we lose a total of 14 points?
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DungBeetle
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4147
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104278 on:
July 26, 2015, 01:40:21 PM »
Would seem a shame not to have Tikay looking at Watford results for the 3rd year on the trot, so I've been looking at the handicap markets.
It seems no matter how many established top European league players Watford buy their relegation odds remain unchanged. The Spread firms are spitting on them allowing you to buy at 35 points! Handicap market seems most fun way to play at 15/1 they get a walloping 48 point start. I am piling in the spread but for handicap I can see them finishing between 10th and 15th which should win with that start. Recommend £50 for the season sweat.
To clarify squad, they have all of last years players (Vydra, Deeney, Abdi, Angella, Cathcart all signed 4/5 year renewal contracts). They've declined to pursue Guediora after his loan (which surprised me) and sold McGugan (who didn't play).
The additions:
An entire new defence of Holebas, Prodl, Britos, Nyom. All regulars in top league teams last year (Roma, Bremen, Napoli, Granada). Defence was unquestionably our soft spot last year. These provide competition for Paredes, Cathcart, Angella, Layun, Hoban.
New defensive midfield unit in Capoue (Spurs) and Behrami (Hamburg). Backed up by Watson.
New attacking midfield options in Jurado (Spartak Moscow) and Beghuis (AZ Alkmar). To complement Abdi/Vydra/Forrestieri/Anya/Dyer (back in favour)
Attack left unchanged. Flores will play 4-2-3-1 with the 1 being Deeney, with Ighalo and Vydra available to support or fill in in the "3" behind him.
I suspect there will be one more signing.
I don't see this as a relegation squad and think they will score goals at this level. I cannot fathom why this squad is still behind Norwich, Sunderland and Bournemouth in the betting.
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DungBeetle
Hero Member
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Posts: 4147
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #104279 on:
July 26, 2015, 01:42:07 PM »
Quote from: MattyHollis on July 26, 2015, 01:34:22 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 26, 2015, 12:26:36 PM
I've put on a £5 spread bet, selling on Kvyat/Massa at 2.
Good spot in my opinion. It's 10 points to whoever finishes ahead (should certainly be Massa, barring retirement), and then 2 points per positional difference. Would recommend it
So by selling at 2 Kyvat is basically getting 2 points to start with plus or minus however the race pans out?
Should Massa finish ahead one place then we win 10 points overall? Should Kyvat win by one place we lose a total of 14 points?
Kyat is fav. If Massa wins by 1 place you win 14 points. If Kyat wins by a place it's a 10 point loss. Beware retirements with this bet as one guy can win by 15 places. Looks good bet though I agree.
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