Tips for Tikay

[swinebag22]

This market  used to start the season as a sell around the 380 mark (10 points a week)  when I used to back it (the days when manU were winning leagues), it made a tidy profiit just about every year.

 Haven't done this bet for a few years now but IMO City have been the sole reason for the higher mark. I would be interested in what the total was 2 seasons ago when they were scoring 6 every other week. They are looking potent this year and 460 may be in danger.

Whilst this looks like an auto sell, you need to sort your money management as a few right hammering and you could be looking at a big hit when the win is relatively small.

Without being an expert in anyway at converting spreads to fixed odds, selling  feels like backing a 1/3 shot. Not sure I want to do that over a season when I have no idea how much it could cost.

Just not a fan of spread betting anymore. I think the traders are top grade with very few exploitable edges. Plus I did my conkers in on cricket a while back.

[doubleup]

doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   kjeldsen   350/1   4   £2 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 even par slim chance of a place
doubleup   betfred   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   stenson   25/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 +4 dead money
doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Furyk   55/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 1 slim chance
doubleup   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top ROW Lee   16/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4 -4 in good shape, but RoW is a tough school
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 5   Martin   66/1   5     +4 not looking good       
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 10   Martin   28/1   5         +4 not looking good     
swinebag22   betfair   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Martin   590   5            +4 not looking good 
karabiner   betvictor   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   willetts   100/1   10   £5 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 +2 life support 
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   fowler   20/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 1 slim chance
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   matsuyama   45/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 -2 behind leaders
doobs   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   scott   33/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 4 miracle needed
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Asian    jaidee   14/1   20   £10 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 + 2 4 behind leading asians
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Continental euro   luiten   28/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3 + 8 bags packed, flight booked

[DungBeetle]

Freds Spreads               
Market   Action   Price   Stake   Current Mid   Current PL
Watford   Buy   35.5   10   35.75   2.5
Charlton   Buy   57.5   5   56.5   -5

            Total   -2.5

[tikay]

doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   kjeldsen   350/1   4   £2 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 even par slim chance of a place
doubleup   betfred   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   stenson   25/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 +4 dead money
doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Furyk   55/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 1 slim chance
doubleup   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top ROW Lee   16/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4 -4 in good shape, but RoW is a tough school
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 5   Martin   66/1   5     +4 not looking good       
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 10   Martin   28/1   5         +4 not looking good     
swinebag22   betfair   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Martin   590   5            +4 not looking good 
karabiner   betvictor   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   willetts   100/1   10   £5 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 +2 life support 
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   fowler   20/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 1 slim chance
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   matsuyama   45/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 -2 behind leaders
doobs   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   scott   33/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 + 4 miracle needed
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Asian    jaidee   14/1   20   £10 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 + 2 4 behind leading asians
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Continental euro   luiten   28/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3 + 8 bags packed, flight booked

Good work 2xUp, thanks for the update.

[DungBeetle]

The afternoon guys really got a bum deal in the golf yesterday - is it the same scenario today does anyone know?   i.e. windy in afternoon.

[Longines]

Had a spare 15 minutes:

Going for Goals market
2014/5 355 (1x8,4x6,6x5,19x4)
2013/4 440 (1x7,5x6,8x5,37x4)
2012/3 470 (1x8,1x7,3x6,11x5,27x4)
2011/2 495 (1x8,1x7,4x6,14x5,26x4)
2010/1 350 (1x7,4x6,8x5,24x4)

 

[doubleup]

^^
It was originally forecast to be windyish all the way through to this afternoon and then a lot calmer.  Also rain was forecast for this morning.  But it now looks like pretty much the same all day and no rain.


http://www.windfinder.com/weatherforecast/sheboygan_north_ave

[Jamier-Host]

I was expecting a much better performance from Brandle, but even so, I'm guessing he won't be 100/1 tomorrow morning. The sweat is still on, but Kelderman, Boom and van Avermaet are looking like the top 3.

He's actually 250/1 in one place (miles out of line with the others). Going back in?

[MattyHollis]

This market  used to start the season as a sell around the 380 mark (10 points a week)  when I used to back it (the days when manU were winning leagues), it made a tidy profiit just about every year.

 Haven't done this bet for a few years now but IMO City have been the sole reason for the higher mark. I would be interested in what the total was 2 seasons ago when they were scoring 6 every other week. They are looking potent this year and 460 may be in danger.

Whilst this looks like an auto sell, you need to sort your money management as a few right hammering and you could be looking at a big hit when the win is relatively small.

Without being an expert in anyway at converting spreads to fixed odds, selling  feels like backing a 1/3 shot. Not sure I want to do that over a season when I have no idea how much it could cost.

Just not a fan of spread betting anymore. I think the traders are top grade with very few exploitable edges. Plus I did my conkers in on cricket a while back.

445, with the best result being 7-0 that Man City beat Norwich (50 points). A lot of 4's being scored that season too.

[TightEnd]

West Ham are a big price to win tomorrow aren't they?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-leicester/winner

Leicester were extremely flattered against Sunderland, who didn't defend for 30 minutes, allowed two small strikers free headers for two goals and conceded a penalty. in particular the introduction of Kaboul into that back 5 was hilarious to watch, absolutely no understanding whatsoever.

Ranieri went back to 4-4-2 for the first game and what has been lost in all the talk about what a good result it was was how vulnerable we looked at the back. could have conceded in the first five minutes, conceded two poor goals in the second half

he might well go 3-5-2 against west ham and play on the counter trying to break fast because we do have plenty of pace in the side (schlupp, albrighton, mahrez, vardy) but i was surprised west ham weren't closer to odds-on

just me?

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

Any time you or Chompy oppose your own team is good enough for me. Suggest we get on whilst the price is there.

[DungBeetle]

West Ham are a big price to win tomorrow aren't they?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-leicester/winner

Leicester were extremely flattered against Sunderland, who didn't defend for 30 minutes, allowed two small strikers free headers for two goals and conceded a penalty. in particular the introduction of Kaboul into that back 5 was hilarious to watch, absolutely no understanding whatsoever.

Ranieri went back to 4-4-2 for the first game and what has been lost in all the talk about what a good result it was was how vulnerable we looked at the back. could have conceded in the first five minutes, conceded two poor goals in the second half

he might well go 3-5-2 against west ham and play on the counter trying to break fast because we do have plenty of pace in the side (schlupp, albrighton, mahrez, vardy) but i was surprised west ham weren't closer to odds-on

just me?

I agree - there has been too big an over reaction to Sunderland being all at sea for 30 mins in all markets.  I picked it up in the Leicester long term stuff, but looks like it has also translated to this match as well.

[FUN4FRASER]

West Ham are a big price to win tomorrow aren't they?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-leicester/winner

Leicester were extremely flattered against Sunderland, who didn't defend for 30 minutes, allowed two small strikers free headers for two goals and conceded a penalty. in particular the introduction of Kaboul into that back 5 was hilarious to watch, absolutely no understanding whatsoever.

Ranieri went back to 4-4-2 for the first game and what has been lost in all the talk about what a good result it was was how vulnerable we looked at the back. could have conceded in the first five minutes, conceded two poor goals in the second half

he might well go 3-5-2 against west ham and play on the counter trying to break fast because we do have plenty of pace in the side (schlupp, albrighton, mahrez, vardy) but i was surprised west ham weren't closer to odds-on

just me?

Yes and Yes..Couldn't agree more Rich  ,Kaboul is a liability

On the West Ham front I think a good way to be with them is on The Asian Handicap

Backing West Ham at 0 is effectively draw no bet so I suggest £55 at 7/11 ( which is a tad under 4/6) with Chandler

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-leicester/asian-handicap

[TightEnd]

thanks

i had just done the following when i saw your post

15 Aug 2015 - West Ham v Leicester - Match Betting
Tip It

West Ham @ 13/10

Stake : £43.85
Estimated Returns : £
100.85

[exstream]

west ham are odds against to beat newly promoted bournemouth who spin have doing worse than leicester, same thing?