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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16101770 times)
tikay
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« Reply #106545 on: September 05, 2015, 07:14:00 PM »

Carlisle 3 - 2 Barnet    Asamoah 63:29'

irrespective of result (we need carlisle and BTTS), a really nice call Rick.

Thanks Tighty. Nice to find TFT a winner.

Good work Rick, thank you.
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« Reply #106546 on: September 05, 2015, 08:11:36 PM »

Post-qualifying bet suggestions:

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with SkaiBet and DaddyPower. Sergio starts 7th, he needs one retirement ahead really. With the exception of his team mate, there is little threat from behind. Suggest £25 in total (be wary that I have suggested this bet previously, you guys might already have money on it).

Group D (NAS/ERI/BUT/ALO): Marcus Ericsson @ 5/4 with Get365 and WilliamMill. Bit confusing to know who starts where tomorrow with 10 penalties for 7 drivers. I think Nasr starts 11th, and Ericsson 13th. Marcus should be considered the favourite over his team mate due to his previous F1 experience round this track more than anything. Suggest £20 (if you're not on it already). Interestingly, I think it's Will Stevens who splits the two Sauber's in 12th - his best grid spot ever.

Podium Finish: Valtteri Bottas @ 6/1 with CaddyPower. Good price, especially given Mercedes reliability concerns. Worth a fiver.

Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?

For others (not TFT, who don't have Cwin), these two markets provide some value also:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-double-points-finish -> NO. I'm putting on £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-total-finishers -> No Car. I'm putting on a cheeky £2.50.
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« Reply #106547 on: September 05, 2015, 08:28:33 PM »

"Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?"


its 7/1 bar lewis

either lay him at 1.3 (£100 liability £30) or pick a winner...vettel/kimi presumably..if you think rosberg can't win
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« Reply #106548 on: September 05, 2015, 09:43:07 PM »

"Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?"


its 7/1 bar lewis

either lay him at 1.3 (£100 liability £30) or pick a winner...vettel/kimi presumably..if you think rosberg can't win

That's £10 on Vettel then! Smiley
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« Reply #106549 on: September 05, 2015, 11:02:50 PM »

Boxing is back on sky tonight and the bookies have gone 1/8 on the previously discussed prospect Isaac Lowe, so there's no bet there.

It's the Martin Murray fight I've got my eye on. It's hard to fathom how his skinny fat patsy of an opponent will last the full 12 rounds.  

Rec £100 on Murray by stoppage @ 8/13 with Choral.

i think i may have missed this price?

this is the right market, 4/9 best?

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/martin-murray-v-jose-miguel-torres/method-of-victory

Hi Tighty, my phone died just after posting. That's the correct market. Take the full £100 at 4/7 with Vic.  

Even the layman can see this is a complete mismatch as per the weigh in video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Idv15SkE_Tk. Understandably the public are betting on the KO but I doubt their staking high enough.




Top work again mcglashan. And Isaac just won English title couldn't be happier for the lad
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« Reply #106550 on: September 06, 2015, 09:59:37 AM »

"Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?"


its 7/1 bar lewis

either lay him at 1.3 (£100 liability £30) or pick a winner...vettel/kimi presumably..if you think rosberg can't win

That's £10 on Vettel then! Smiley

Mercedes just confirm a leak from the cooling system caused an issue with Nico's original power unit - it was not the actual unit itself. Lewis should be fine. However, 7/1 is still good for Vettel to win considering Rosberg will struggle today.
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« Reply #106551 on: September 06, 2015, 11:09:09 AM »

A profit of £51 yesterday

+£57 Murray stopping Torres in the fifth

+£34 Carlisle and BTTS in their 3-2 win

-£40 Rosberg pole position

month to date +£16

outstanding £3552

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit?pli=1#gid=29

carlisle



murray

 Click to see full-size image.


record equaller.

 Click to see full-size image.


not a good RWC Warm up

 Click to see full-size image.


where's nico?



wigan came back from 2-1 down at chesterfield to win 3-2 with two goals in the last 5 mins



obstructing the field

 Click to see full-size image.


smith top scorer, cummins top wicket-taker

 Click to see full-size image.



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« Reply #106552 on: September 06, 2015, 11:15:37 AM »



A profit on the day - well done lads, & a full Tighty report, photos & everything, thanks Rich.

Can you summarise our Monza F1 positions please?


Thought the dismissal of Stokes was a bit naughty. I hope such antics don't creep into Test Matches. It's ok in pyjama stuff I guess, but not in the real game please.
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« Reply #106553 on: September 06, 2015, 11:17:47 AM »

italian grand prix points finish   verstappen   11/8   15            
italian grand prix    rosberg   3/1   40            £20 e/w 1/4 1,2
italian grand prix pole position   rosberg   11/4   40   0   N   -40   £20 e/w 1/4 1,2
italian grand prix top six finish   perez   6/5   10            
italian grand prix top six finish   hulkenberg   11/10   10            
Italian Grand Prix Points Finish   ericsson   7/2   10            

verstappen got a load of penalties and a drive through for the engine cover issue, and starts last

ericsson got a three place grid penalty for blocking huljkenberg and starts 13th

perez and hulkenberg start top ten

because of all the penalties, mclaren start higher than where they qualified

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« Reply #106554 on: September 06, 2015, 11:26:48 AM »

Post-qualifying bet suggestions:

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with SkaiBet and DaddyPower. Sergio starts 7th, he needs one retirement ahead really. With the exception of his team mate, there is little threat from behind. Suggest £25 in total (be wary that I have suggested this bet previously, you guys might already have money on it).

Group D (NAS/ERI/BUT/ALO): Marcus Ericsson @ 5/4 with Get365 and WilliamMill. Bit confusing to know who starts where tomorrow with 10 penalties for 7 drivers. I think Nasr starts 11th, and Ericsson 13th. Marcus should be considered the favourite over his team mate due to his previous F1 experience round this track more than anything. Suggest £20 (if you're not on it already). Interestingly, I think it's Will Stevens who splits the two Sauber's in 12th - his best grid spot ever.

Podium Finish: Valtteri Bottas @ 6/1 with CaddyPower. Good price, especially given Mercedes reliability concerns. Worth a fiver.

Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?

For others (not TFT, who don't have Cwin), these two markets provide some value also:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-double-points-finish -> NO. I'm putting on £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-total-finishers -> No Car. I'm putting on a cheeky £2.50.

the only one of these i can do is group d

and the best price is now evens

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/group-d
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« Reply #106555 on: September 06, 2015, 11:32:00 AM »



A profit on the day - well done lads, & a full Tighty report, photos & everything, thanks Rich.

Can you summarise our Monza F1 positions please?


Thought the dismissal of Stokes was a bit naughty. I hope such antics don't creep into Test Matches. It's ok in pyjama stuff I guess, but not in the real game please.

Tightly what were your thoughts on the stokes dismissal?
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« Reply #106556 on: September 06, 2015, 11:41:10 AM »



A profit on the day - well done lads, & a full Tighty report, photos & everything, thanks Rich.

Can you summarise our Monza F1 positions please?


Thought the dismissal of Stokes was a bit naughty. I hope such antics don't creep into Test Matches. It's ok in pyjama stuff I guess, but not in the real game please.

Tightly what were your thoughts on the stokes dismissal?

I'm not Tighty, but I am a qualified cricket umpire (for your league, actually!) and I wouldn't have given it. He's taking evasive action IMO.
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« Reply #106557 on: September 06, 2015, 11:44:41 AM »



A profit on the day - well done lads, & a full Tighty report, photos & everything, thanks Rich.

Can you summarise our Monza F1 positions please?


Thought the dismissal of Stokes was a bit naughty. I hope such antics don't creep into Test Matches. It's ok in pyjama stuff I guess, but not in the real game please.

Tightly what were your thoughts on the stokes dismissal?

I'm not Tighty, but I am a qualified cricket umpire (for your league, actually!) and I wouldn't have given it. He's taking evasive action IMO.

by the letter of the law he's out, but full speed he has 0.3 seconds, if intentional, to react and deflect the ball.

its then a bit of a mockery to throw the decision to a third umpire who reviews the decision in slow motion and decides from there

review it at full speed and see if he meant it. He didn't.
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« Reply #106558 on: September 06, 2015, 11:45:20 AM »

Post-qualifying bet suggestions:

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with SkaiBet and DaddyPower. Sergio starts 7th, he needs one retirement ahead really. With the exception of his team mate, there is little threat from behind. Suggest £25 in total (be wary that I have suggested this bet previously, you guys might already have money on it).

Group D (NAS/ERI/BUT/ALO): Marcus Ericsson @ 5/4 with Get365 and WilliamMill. Bit confusing to know who starts where tomorrow with 10 penalties for 7 drivers. I think Nasr starts 11th, and Ericsson 13th. Marcus should be considered the favourite over his team mate due to his previous F1 experience round this track more than anything. Suggest £20 (if you're not on it already). Interestingly, I think it's Will Stevens who splits the two Sauber's in 12th - his best grid spot ever.

Podium Finish: Valtteri Bottas @ 6/1 with CaddyPower. Good price, especially given Mercedes reliability concerns. Worth a fiver.

Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?

For others (not TFT, who don't have Cwin), these two markets provide some value also:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-double-points-finish -> NO. I'm putting on £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-total-finishers -> No Car. I'm putting on a cheeky £2.50.

the only one of these i can do is group d

and the best price is now evens

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/group-d

I'd still do it at evens.
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« Reply #106559 on: September 06, 2015, 11:52:22 AM »

Post-qualifying bet suggestions:

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with SkaiBet and DaddyPower. Sergio starts 7th, he needs one retirement ahead really. With the exception of his team mate, there is little threat from behind. Suggest £25 in total (be wary that I have suggested this bet previously, you guys might already have money on it).

Group D (NAS/ERI/BUT/ALO): Marcus Ericsson @ 5/4 with Get365 and WilliamMill. Bit confusing to know who starts where tomorrow with 10 penalties for 7 drivers. I think Nasr starts 11th, and Ericsson 13th. Marcus should be considered the favourite over his team mate due to his previous F1 experience round this track more than anything. Suggest £20 (if you're not on it already). Interestingly, I think it's Will Stevens who splits the two Sauber's in 12th - his best grid spot ever.

Podium Finish: Valtteri Bottas @ 6/1 with CaddyPower. Good price, especially given Mercedes reliability concerns. Worth a fiver.

Tighty, I like your idea from before, where was the market to bet on "the field" at 7/1?

For others (not TFT, who don't have Cwin), these two markets provide some value also:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-double-points-finish -> NO. I'm putting on £10.
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/mercedes-total-finishers -> No Car. I'm putting on a cheeky £2.50.

the only one of these i can do is group d

and the best price is now evens

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/group-d

I'd still do it at evens.

Bottas podium is 6/1 with tonnes of bookies right now:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/italian-grand-prix/podium-finish
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