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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16358281 times)
tikay
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« Reply #106950 on: September 17, 2015, 09:04:59 PM »

You cannot be serious.

Just awful.

(Not you, Tighty)

Spurs one down, I assume?
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« Reply #106951 on: September 17, 2015, 09:37:41 PM »

You cannot be serious.

Just awful.

(Not you, Tighty)

Spurs one down, I assume?

On me 'ead Son to the rescue it would appear.
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« Reply #106952 on: September 17, 2015, 09:50:32 PM »

You cannot be serious.

Just awful.

(Not you, Tighty)

Spurs one down, I assume?

On me 'ead Son to the rescue it would appear.

It's like a Who Can Defend Most Like a Sunday Division Seven Team competition.
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« Reply #106953 on: September 17, 2015, 09:56:27 PM »

You cannot be serious.

Just awful.

(Not you, Tighty)

Spurs one down, I assume?

On me 'ead Son to the rescue it would appear.

It's like a Who Can Defend Most Like a Sunday Division Seven Team competition.

Stolen from Facebook:

Spurs playing Qarabag in the Europa League tonight. If you've not heard of them before, they're a small club from North London.
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« Reply #106954 on: September 17, 2015, 10:03:58 PM »

You cannot be serious.

Just awful.

(Not you, Tighty)

Spurs one down, I assume?

On me 'ead Son to the rescue it would appear.

It's like a Who Can Defend Most Like a Sunday Division Seven Team competition.

Stolen from Facebook:

Spurs playing Qarabag in the Europa League tonight. If you've not heard of them before, they're a small club from North London.

Grin

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« Reply #106955 on: September 17, 2015, 10:18:11 PM »

Here's the latest QPR European photo:

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #106956 on: September 17, 2015, 10:40:54 PM »

Never in doubt. Ish.
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« Reply #106957 on: September 17, 2015, 10:55:23 PM »

i quite like the look of the under tonight in the nfl

Thursday night game, not much time to prepare and game plan for this after week 1. play sunday, film monday, practice tuesday, travel wednesday for the broncos. travel back overnight sunday, film monday, practice tues and weds chiefs

denver are set up for the running game and a really good looking defense this year. have to be less reliant on manning's arm, which in his last season looks much weaker (and did though probably injury related second half of last year)

C J Anderson is questionable too, their main running back

KC arent too explosive either, though with maclin and kelce they have more points in them than last season.

they too are a strong defensive team, and justin houston will be getting in manning's face round a rookie tackle

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/denver-broncos-at-kansas-city-chiefs/total-points

not sure if talwise and the nfl lads agree, but this is where i was coming from
Saw the line open at 46 now at 41.5.Love your reasoning but 41.5 seems very low to me for an unders bet but I'm not an expert by any stretch.

Sorry. Busy week for me so I've only just seen this. Sound reasoning to me, Tighty.

I like the Broncos tonight to win a low scoring match. Alex Smith doesn't seem to like throwing outside and that means the elite corner partnership of denver will love man coverage. They need to stop Kelce in the slot but I expect they will be ready for him.

On offense, Denver can't be that bad again but winning at Arrowhead is hard, so running the ball and the clock will be paramount to success.

That's how I see it anyway. Cue 70 point game.

taken a little bit of the under

Under 42.5 Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Total Points
20/21
Total Stake: £21.00
Potential Returns: £40.95


Yeah, I still like the bet, but everyone seems to be forgetting a certain Mr Charles for Kansas??

But yeah, got unders written all over this, Broncos could be a horrific team to watch this year!
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« Reply #106958 on: September 17, 2015, 10:57:13 PM »

Singapore GP - Pre-Practice Bets:

Sorry for the lateness, came online as soon as I could!

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 4/1 with SkaiBet. This is becoming a regular bet it seems. They're way under-rated for their car and development rate. Both drivers were quick in Hungary (pre-retirements), a track with similar characteristics to Singapore, therefore I expect a similar result this weekend. Not to mention that Force India have a big upgrade package for this race. Suggest £25 on each. I can only see the price going down as the weekend progresses, so get on it ASAP.

Practice One, Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez at 4/1 with BeWin. Same as above. Usually I try to avoid similar bets like these, because if they are slow in practice, chances are they will be in the race too. However, 4/1 is too much value to miss out on. If we just do the practice bets for now, the 4/1 on the previous suggestion will be gone. Again, suggest £25 on each.

To Reach Q3 - Pastor Maldonado @ 9/4 with Ladbrookes. Betting on Maldonado is always a risk because of his likelihood of destroying the car. However, Pastor is always very quick on street circuits and 9/4 represents value - if he can get through the session with all four wheels pointing in the same direction that is. Suggest £20.

Podium Finish - Sebastian Vettel @ EVS with Willeam Hills. What? EVS. What?! £50.

Tried to be a bit more aggressive with my stake suggestions in line with recent comments. Feel free to scale up/down as required! Smiley

Slightly lower prices are acceptable for all these bets apart from the Vettel one BTW - just a message for those who are restricted by certain bookies.
« Last Edit: September 17, 2015, 10:59:51 PM by Peter-27 » Logged

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« Reply #106959 on: September 17, 2015, 10:59:18 PM »

Here's the latest QPR European photo:

 Click to see full-size image.


Lies.

We made the quarter finals that year, that's the second round programme.

Plus we were in the UEFA Cup in about 1985 when we set the record for getting knocked out after holding the biggest first leg advantage.

So there.
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« Reply #106960 on: September 17, 2015, 11:38:35 PM »

I think we should be on Nico Rosberg e/w with chorals at 100/30 (third 1-2) for the singapore grand prix.  He obviously isn't as quick as Lewis, but we get him each way and we get 10/9 him finishing top 2 which is clearly too big.  He has top 2'd 8 from 12 this season and been a bit unlucky, so guess 1/2 isn't far off the right price.  You give a bit back on the win price as betfair has him at 4/1 and that doesn't feel far from right.  He also gets an upgraded engine this race as the last one had a fault. 

Suggest £45 e/w with chorals.  Don't take less than 3/1.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #106961 on: September 18, 2015, 08:05:09 AM »

I think we should be on Nico Rosberg e/w with chorals at 100/30 (third 1-2) for the singapore grand prix.  He obviously isn't as quick as Lewis, but we get him each way and we get 10/9 him finishing top 2 which is clearly too big.  He has top 2'd 8 from 12 this season and been a bit unlucky, so guess 1/2 isn't far off the right price.  You give a bit back on the win price as betfair has him at 4/1 and that doesn't feel far from right.  He also gets an upgraded engine this race as the last one had a fault. 

Suggest £45 e/w with chorals.  Don't take less than 3/1.

Over evens for second place is a max. bet really, so I agree Smiley
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« Reply #106962 on: September 18, 2015, 09:36:24 AM »

Singapore GP - Pre-Practice Bets:

Sorry for the lateness, came online as soon as I could!

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 4/1 with SkaiBet. This is becoming a regular bet it seems. They're way under-rated for their car and development rate. Both drivers were quick in Hungary (pre-retirements), a track with similar characteristics to Singapore, therefore I expect a similar result this weekend. Not to mention that Force India have a big upgrade package for this race. Suggest £25 on each. I can only see the price going down as the weekend progresses, so get on it ASAP.

Practice One, Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez at 4/1 with BeWin. Same as above. Usually I try to avoid similar bets like these, because if they are slow in practice, chances are they will be in the race too. However, 4/1 is too much value to miss out on. If we just do the practice bets for now, the 4/1 on the previous suggestion will be gone. Again, suggest £25 on each.

To Reach Q3 - Pastor Maldonado @ 9/4 with Ladbrookes. Betting on Maldonado is always a risk because of his likelihood of destroying the car. However, Pastor is always very quick on street circuits and 9/4 represents value - if he can get through the session with all four wheels pointing in the same direction that is. Suggest £20.

Podium Finish - Sebastian Vettel @ EVS with Willeam Hills. What? EVS. What?! £50.

Tried to be a bit more aggressive with my stake suggestions in line with recent comments. Feel free to scale up/down as required! Smiley

Slightly lower prices are acceptable for all these bets apart from the Vettel one BTW - just a message for those who are restricted by certain bookies.

Is evens Vettel that out of line - isn't he going effectively for one spot if the Mercs go well as expected?   8/12 podiums so far this season so maybe a spotof value but don't see price as outrageously wrong? 
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« Reply #106963 on: September 18, 2015, 09:46:54 AM »

Singapore GP - Pre-Practice Bets:

Sorry for the lateness, came online as soon as I could!

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 4/1 with SkaiBet. This is becoming a regular bet it seems. They're way under-rated for their car and development rate. Both drivers were quick in Hungary (pre-retirements), a track with similar characteristics to Singapore, therefore I expect a similar result this weekend. Not to mention that Force India have a big upgrade package for this race. Suggest £25 on each. I can only see the price going down as the weekend progresses, so get on it ASAP.

Practice One, Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez at 4/1 with BeWin. Same as above. Usually I try to avoid similar bets like these, because if they are slow in practice, chances are they will be in the race too. However, 4/1 is too much value to miss out on. If we just do the practice bets for now, the 4/1 on the previous suggestion will be gone. Again, suggest £25 on each.

To Reach Q3 - Pastor Maldonado @ 9/4 with Ladbrookes. Betting on Maldonado is always a risk because of his likelihood of destroying the car. However, Pastor is always very quick on street circuits and 9/4 represents value - if he can get through the session with all four wheels pointing in the same direction that is. Suggest £20.

Podium Finish - Sebastian Vettel @ EVS with Willeam Hills. What? EVS. What?! £50.

Tried to be a bit more aggressive with my stake suggestions in line with recent comments. Feel free to scale up/down as required! Smiley

Slightly lower prices are acceptable for all these bets apart from the Vettel one BTW - just a message for those who are restricted by certain bookies.

Is evens Vettel that out of line - isn't he going effectively for one spot if the Mercs go well as expected?   8/12 podiums so far this season so maybe a spotof value but don't see price as outrageously wrong? 
It was shorter on Betfair when I looked. I expect that at least some of the time a Mercedes goes wrong.  I do think it is just a reflection of where we are.  Mercedes>>Ferrari>>everything else on a circuit like this?  Vettel obv best Ferrari driver too.

That Perez top 6 bet was available on hills last night and they are a bit better than Shy for thread. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #106964 on: September 18, 2015, 10:49:06 AM »

Singapore GP - Pre-Practice Bets:

Sorry for the lateness, came online as soon as I could!

Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez both at 4/1 with SkaiBet. This is becoming a regular bet it seems. They're way under-rated for their car and development rate. Both drivers were quick in Hungary (pre-retirements), a track with similar characteristics to Singapore, therefore I expect a similar result this weekend. Not to mention that Force India have a big upgrade package for this race. Suggest £25 on each. I can only see the price going down as the weekend progresses, so get on it ASAP.

Practice One, Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez at 4/1 with BeWin. Same as above. Usually I try to avoid similar bets like these, because if they are slow in practice, chances are they will be in the race too. However, 4/1 is too much value to miss out on. If we just do the practice bets for now, the 4/1 on the previous suggestion will be gone. Again, suggest £25 on each.

To Reach Q3 - Pastor Maldonado @ 9/4 with Ladbrookes. Betting on Maldonado is always a risk because of his likelihood of destroying the car. However, Pastor is always very quick on street circuits and 9/4 represents value - if he can get through the session with all four wheels pointing in the same direction that is. Suggest £20.

Podium Finish - Sebastian Vettel @ EVS with Willeam Hills. What? EVS. What?! £50.

Tried to be a bit more aggressive with my stake suggestions in line with recent comments. Feel free to scale up/down as required! Smiley

Slightly lower prices are acceptable for all these bets apart from the Vettel one BTW - just a message for those who are restricted by certain bookies.

Is evens Vettel that out of line - isn't he going effectively for one spot if the Mercs go well as expected?   8/12 podiums so far this season so maybe a spotof value but don't see price as outrageously wrong? 

At Singapore, he should be placing 3rd a good 80% of the time. EVS is obviously 50-50 so I would say it's outrageously wrong  Tongue
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