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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16570415 times)
fatcatstu
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« Reply #108015 on: October 16, 2015, 03:37:41 AM »

176 yards in the first half for Ryan, 14-7 down at , so we need 120 more yards in the 2nd half chasing the game. Atlanta have pretty much moved the ball at will, but lost a few silly fumbles that have cost them, but will help us.

Freeman on 55 yards at half time, so should come in on the overs there too.
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108016 on: October 16, 2015, 04:35:17 AM »

Freeman up to 100 yards, so that one is locked in!

Ryan on 229 yards, we need the ball back quickly a couple of times here....
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108017 on: October 16, 2015, 05:14:58 AM »

wow, looks like Ryan has fallen 1 yard short!!! Owch!
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Tal
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« Reply #108018 on: October 16, 2015, 07:07:29 AM »

The running back, Devonta Freeman, led the team in passing targets, which is a bit of a surprise. Jones received the first two passes of the game and reports suggest there were no issues with his hamstring at all.

All told, pretty frustrating that he only converted six of his ten targets for receptions. He dropped one in the fourth quarter to beat the 6.5. If the Ladbrokes odds compiler is still up, just think how much money you missed out on by panicking, mate!

The Saints defense looks on the stats like it outperformed expectations.
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« Reply #108019 on: October 16, 2015, 10:10:10 AM »

Morning tighty.

I think there is a bit of value in the Bath bet for the league. I think Northampton are entering a period of change and it may be between bath and saracens. Obviously the key area will be injuries and international call ups but I would rather be on bath at 7 to 2 than saracens.

I also think that Argentina are a bet at 7 to 4 to beat Ireland. Losing both o'mahony and o'brien is huge and changes the way they will play, and is far more important than o'connell and sexton whose replacements did pretty well against france.

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TightEnd
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« Reply #108020 on: October 16, 2015, 10:37:05 AM »

The running back, Devonta Freeman, led the team in passing targets, which is a bit of a surprise. Jones received the first two passes of the game and reports suggest there were no issues with his hamstring at all.

All told, pretty frustrating that he only converted six of his ten targets for receptions. He dropped one in the fourth quarter to beat the 6.5. If the Ladbrokes odds compiler is still up, just think how much money you missed out on by panicking, mate!

The Saints defense looks on the stats like it outperformed expectations.

the saints concentrated on taking away Julio, double teams, rolling a safety over etc. it largely worked because ryan was sacked 5 times and didn't ever have much time to set and throw. the run blockign was much better than the pass blocking

this left the game wide open for the run. devonta only had 13 carries and rushed for 100. the atlanta running backs together rushed for over 150
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108021 on: October 16, 2015, 10:43:06 AM »

Morning tighty.

I think there is a bit of value in the Bath bet for the league. I think Northampton are entering a period of change and it may be between bath and saracens. Obviously the key area will be injuries and international call ups but I would rather be on bath at 7 to 2 than saracens.

I also think that Argentina are a bet at 7 to 4 to beat Ireland. Losing both o'mahony and o'brien is huge and changes the way they will play, and is far more important than o'connell and sexton whose replacements did pretty well against france.



Argentina Ireland v Argentina Winner
7/4
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £55.00


     Bet placed, its reference is 537/579

Bet ref: 537/579 £20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Aviva Premiership - Outright
Grand Final Winner
   Bath   7/2   
Total stake   £ 20.00
Estimated return   £ 90.00
Full stake   £ 20.00
Full estimated return   £ 90.00
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AlunB
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« Reply #108022 on: October 16, 2015, 11:13:43 AM »

Morning tighty.

I think there is a bit of value in the Bath bet for the league. I think Northampton are entering a period of change and it may be between bath and saracens. Obviously the key area will be injuries and international call ups but I would rather be on bath at 7 to 2 than saracens.

I also think that Argentina are a bet at 7 to 4 to beat Ireland. Losing both o'mahony and o'brien is huge and changes the way they will play, and is far more important than o'connell and sexton whose replacements did pretty well against france.



Argentina Ireland v Argentina Winner
7/4
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £55.00


     Bet placed, its reference is 537/579

Bet ref: 537/579 £20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Aviva Premiership - Outright
Grand Final Winner
   Bath   7/2   
Total stake   £ 20.00
Estimated return   £ 90.00
Full stake   £ 20.00
Full estimated return   £ 90.00

Hattrick for Imhoff please. Was so tilting he had that try disallowed in the Namibia game. Was never a forward pass.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108023 on: October 16, 2015, 11:17:11 AM »

not as tilting as milner-skudder not being selected for the georgia game.....came back with 2 v georgia though.
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AlunB
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« Reply #108024 on: October 16, 2015, 11:19:35 AM »

not as tilting as milner-skudder not being selected for the georgia game.....came back with 2 v georgia though.

Ha! Yeah I've got him too. Imhoff not playing against Namibia was way more tilting for me.
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« Reply #108025 on: October 16, 2015, 12:14:52 PM »

Alun just let me know this one

Ladbrokes money back up to £25 first try scorer bets in the rwc quarter finals if the northern hemisphere team scores first

this (northern hemisphere team scoring first) would be an underdog for wales, france and especially scotland but an ireland penalty first scoring play is as short as even money for the argentina game

you can get 10-1 the field first try scorer (imhoff, earls, d kearney all decent shouts)

the downside is the try expectation for that game would be lower than the other three games
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superwomble
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« Reply #108026 on: October 16, 2015, 01:10:19 PM »

I can't see the first try scorer market on Lads, any ideas please?

Also, it is a refund for anytime tryscorer bets too if that helps.
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AlunB
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« Reply #108027 on: October 16, 2015, 01:19:13 PM »

I can't see the first try scorer market on Lads, any ideas please?

Also, it is a refund for anytime tryscorer bets too if that helps.

Think you need to opt in. Ireland and Argentina teams not announced yet so won't be tryscorer markets up yet I assume

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/promotions/money-back-rugby-world-cup-quarter-finals/
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superwomble
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« Reply #108028 on: October 16, 2015, 01:29:49 PM »

Ah yes, can see the markets for tomorrow's games, cheers.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #108029 on: October 16, 2015, 01:37:43 PM »

Brisk Bella loves the rails and I think there's still a touch of value in her 6/4 (B365) for tonight. Drawn in 1 is ideal and the belief is she hits the front and runs something like a 24:10 to win.  Her consistent ability to drop under the 3:80 sectional means I can't see her not leading. Shiraz in T2 strikes me as more of a 3:85 sectional type at Romford meaning Bella will have the rails to herself. Spray Tan in 3 prefers 4 or 5 and will likely move off which won't be ideal for Millwards Katy, who is a good bitch but hasn't been finding the early at Romford to repeat her sub 24-sec performances. Traps 5 and 6 only look to come into consideration if there was a worthy bias. Bella to make all @ 6/4 in the 9:56.

Second Romford bet is Jolly Ranger in the 9:24 at a best priced 5/2 with the same firm. Bolshoi Booze has been one of my favourites to follow in recent times at Romford and has a good draw in this race with 5 unseeded inside including railer Pinpoint Lad in 5 but I've been looking to oppose him and tonight looks a good night, not because of the particularly strong race but because I believe Ranger has his beating. Booze hasn't been producing the 3:60 sectionals and whilst still pacy early looks more likely to show a 3:75 which IMO isn't going to fully clear Ranger who can do similar or a few spots worse. Ranger the faster dog and is more capable of going near 24secs than Boozy currently. Drawn the right side of Zoos Boom Boom this week too, with a slow away dog in his inside. Jolly Ranger to go round with Bolshoi Booze and prove faster along the rails.

Although it's 365, try £20 on each and a Pavarotti double at the prices above.
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