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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16328988 times)
JohnCharver
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« Reply #108630 on: November 02, 2015, 11:08:54 PM »

Ryan Moore must be a bet in the melbourne cup. He knows snow sky pretty well and surely could have gotten options at shorter prices, last year he just walked onto the winner. Would be stoute all over if he stepped up in distance and improved again (Im sure I heard stoute say 1m6f was all he would ever run over but here he is over 2m). Got to be worth a shot at 50/1 on 365.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #108631 on: November 02, 2015, 11:15:41 PM »

Guys, bit confused here:

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1-formula-1-season-markets/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can sell Mercedes at 718. They're currently on 617 with a maximum of 86 available (2 races) .. what am I missing? 

The spread quotes were based on 20 race schedule. There was no German GP so only 19 races therefore totals will be pro rated up.

Guys, bit confused here:

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1-formula-1-season-markets/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can sell Mercedes at 718. They're currently on 617 with a maximum of 86 available (2 races) .. what am I missing? 

The spread quotes were based on 20 race schedule. There was no German GP so only 19 races therefore totals will be pro rated up.

So will that apply to our Force India and McLaren season spreads too, Bazza ?

Yeah it will.

Just to be clear. You mean that whatever points Force India finish on (let's say 130 for the sake of argument), will be bumped up for the missing race? I assume they will divide by 19 to get the average for one race and then add that on? So 130 would become 136.8?

Is this right? This may change my strategy.

Either way, I had decided to wait until FP1 in Brazil plays out.
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CatfordFISH
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« Reply #108632 on: November 03, 2015, 01:39:36 AM »

Man City away at Aston Villa are 1/2 gotta be a big price after villas performance this evening plus Silva should be back to play some part in the game
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108633 on: November 03, 2015, 10:28:04 AM »

PADDYPOWER GOLD CUP
Sat 14th Nov Cheltenham.
Kings Palace is going to be near the top of the handicap, but he is prob a graded horse in a handicap.
Has won 4 times at cheltenham, longer trips but they should go a good gallop.
Generally jumps well, was only 4/1 for the RSA chase when he over jumped and stretched .
The PIPES (mainly Martin but heyho its the same thing  Smiley  ) love to target this race and they have won it 9 times since 1996.
They also have few more entered, but think its worth taking a small bit of 9/1 Bet365, (not that big on bfair)
Worth £20 ?

you didn't say win or each way, so i assume win

£20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Paddy Power Gold Cup
Antepost Outright
   Kings Palace   9/1   
Total stake   £ 20.00
Estimated return   £ 200.00
Full stake   £ 20.00
Full estimated return   £ 200.00
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108634 on: November 03, 2015, 10:30:54 AM »


Really think it may be worth looking at the best price available for a Stoke home win over Chelsea on Saturday. (3/1 atm on syk).

It is a game Chelsea should win but with the growing problems  for the manager, it might be a value punt.

Rumours today that it could be Mourinho's last game anyway (win or lose). Plus reports that some players (hazard etc) do not wish to try/play for him anymore.

Edit - The game is live on SS1 @ 5.30pm. This could benefit Chelsea players actually as they would know the 'world' were watching and may improve individual performances.

well i suppose this will be the start of the turn for Chelsea now...

Stoke Stoke v Chelsea Winner
3/1
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £60.00
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108635 on: November 03, 2015, 10:33:57 AM »

Ryan Moore must be a bet in the melbourne cup. He knows snow sky pretty well and surely could have gotten options at shorter prices, last year he just walked onto the winner. Would be stoute all over if he stepped up in distance and improved again (Im sure I heard stoute say 1m6f was all he would ever run over but here he is over 2m). Got to be worth a shot at 50/1 on 365.

a 50-1 winner of this overnight i see

 Click to see full-size image.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108636 on: November 03, 2015, 10:34:48 AM »

Man City away at Aston Villa are 1/2 gotta be a big price after villas performance this evening plus Silva should be back to play some part in the game

we want to back them at 1/2 away? is this value?
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Doobs
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« Reply #108637 on: November 03, 2015, 11:10:10 AM »

Ryan Moore must be a bet in the melbourne cup. He knows snow sky pretty well and surely could have gotten options at shorter prices, last year he just walked onto the winner. Would be stoute all over if he stepped up in distance and improved again (Im sure I heard stoute say 1m6f was all he would ever run over but here he is over 2m). Got to be worth a shot at 50/1 on 365.

a 50-1 winner of this overnight i see

 Click to see full-size image.


Jockey seems a bit feisty, you don't often hear people telling everyone else to get stuffed after winning.

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/report/701269/prince-lands-cup-shocker

Guess she was copping some flack before hand?

Congratulations to her. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #108638 on: November 03, 2015, 11:14:54 AM »

Hi Tighty, yes win bet for the ppower gold cup race, he is entered in the Hennessy so just small win bet best option, imo.
If they stick on as they normally do would think be about 5-6/1 at the off.
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« Reply #108639 on: November 03, 2015, 01:13:08 PM »


Really think it may be worth looking at the best price available for a Stoke home win over Chelsea on Saturday. (3/1 atm on syk).

It is a game Chelsea should win but with the growing problems  for the manager, it might be a value punt.

Rumours today that it could be Mourinho's last game anyway (win or lose). Plus reports that some players (hazard etc) do not wish to try/play for him anymore.

Edit - The game is live on SS1 @ 5.30pm. This could benefit Chelsea players actually as they would know the 'world' were watching and may improve individual performances.

well i suppose this will be the start of the turn for Chelsea now...

Stoke Stoke v Chelsea Winner
3/1
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £60.00


Possibly. However, Chompy's bet of Capello next Chelsea Manager (which I am on too) has been backed in from 20/1 to 4/1. There maybe plans in place if/when he loses this match.
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DropTheHammer
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« Reply #108640 on: November 03, 2015, 02:03:03 PM »

Doesn't it only take about £50 of bets at each bookie to move these next manager markets significantly?
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arbboy
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« Reply #108641 on: November 03, 2015, 02:04:07 PM »

Doesn't it only take about £50 of bets at each bookie to move these next manager markets significantly?

Take the zero off for most firms at prices bigger than evens.
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arbboy
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« Reply #108642 on: November 03, 2015, 04:55:37 PM »

big outside cray this afternoon
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arbboy
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« Reply #108643 on: November 03, 2015, 05:30:48 PM »

big outside cray this afternoon

Getting stronger and stronger by the race.

Standard 1-2-3 combo tricast arrives to cool things off.  Bit of trouble in the race so wouldn't worry too much going forward.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2015, 05:56:40 PM by arbboy » Logged
JohnCharver
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« Reply #108644 on: November 03, 2015, 06:24:22 PM »

Ryan Moore must be a bet in the melbourne cup. He knows snow sky pretty well and surely could have gotten options at shorter prices, last year he just walked onto the winner. Would be stoute all over if he stepped up in distance and improved again (Im sure I heard stoute say 1m6f was all he would ever run over but here he is over 2m). Got to be worth a shot at 50/1 on 365.

a 50-1 winner of this overnight i see

 Click to see full-size image.


Jockey seems a bit feisty, you don't often hear people telling everyone else to get stuffed after winning.

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/report/701269/prince-lands-cup-shocker

Guess she was copping some flack before hand?

Congratulations to her. 

Was a cracking story, a decent raid for the europeans aswell (bar frankie).

Bet the bookies absolutely cleaned up from the aussies, no way they back one with a sheila on.
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