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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16388079 times)
ripple11
Hero Member
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Posts: 6313
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108675 on:
November 05, 2015, 03:17:33 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on November 05, 2015, 12:21:22 PM
Quote from: ripple11 on November 04, 2015, 11:46:26 AM
Do we fancy a bet on the November nine?
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=66296.0
RickBFA suggests Camel's "mate" Steinberg at 15/2.
as rfgqqabc says 15/2 e/w with B Vic looks a decent sweat.
If you call taking about 5 grand off me playing HU SNGs a matey thing to do, I suppose he's my mate
ahhh maybe not then.....but that makes 15/2 look a great price
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Rubbish2407
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1221
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108676 on:
November 05, 2015, 05:39:38 PM »
Quote from: Tonji on November 05, 2015, 12:09:12 PM
Noticed on my twitter feed
Eric Willemsen @eWilmedia 29m29 minutes ago
Longest unbeaten streak in sports? Hypo loses 1st domestic #handball game after 384 straight wins since 22/3/1993.
First mention of womens handball on Fred for one of the biggest betting sports in Europe.
Hypo Niederösterreich
Click to see full-size image.
Not actually true Tonjii. We bet the Swedish Women's team in the Olympics which was a winner (one of the very few I've put up).
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"The Full Eso Kral": To back every possible outcome in an event and lose whatever happens.
Keith Hawkins 10/01/2014
BorntoBubble
Hero Member
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Posts: 5887
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108677 on:
November 05, 2015, 06:11:18 PM »
Thoughts on laying man united at the weekend?
Around about 1.35 I believe on the exchanges.
Struggling to score at the moment.
Champions league on Tuesday
Christmas party on Wednesday so not a great deal of time to prepare.
I propose a lay of £100 to lose £35.
I thought they would be around 1.5 for this game before looking at the prices
Thoughts?
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108678 on:
November 05, 2015, 06:31:26 PM »
Quote from: BorntoBubble on November 05, 2015, 06:11:18 PM
Thoughts on laying man united at the weekend?
Around about 1.35 I believe on the exchanges.
Struggling to score at the moment.
Champions league on Tuesday
Christmas party on Wednesday so not a great deal of time to prepare.
I propose a lay of £100 to lose £35.
I thought they would be around 1.5 for this game before looking at the prices
Thoughts?
they are home to west brom, for those like me who were wondering
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-west-brom/winner
my comment having watched west brom last weekend is that this is not a ruthlessly efficient Pulis side
they took the lead at home, immediately stuck two holding midfielders ten yards in front of the centre backs, tried to hold it and still conceded three goals
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108679 on:
November 05, 2015, 07:09:08 PM »
I can't look beyond Sebastien Buemi for the Putrajaya ePrix. 6/5 on Ladbrokes is the only price I can find. Suggest a big-ish bet (£100 for me).
Simona de Silvestro's price is crazy, she is 200/1 when she should be 16/1 (like her team mate). Not worth betting on though, it just won't happen. The Renault e.dams cars are too quick.
«
Last Edit: November 05, 2015, 07:14:22 PM by Peter-27
»
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TheDazzler
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1481
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108680 on:
November 05, 2015, 07:14:18 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 05, 2015, 06:31:26 PM
Quote from: BorntoBubble on November 05, 2015, 06:11:18 PM
Thoughts on laying man united at the weekend?
Around about 1.35 I believe on the exchanges.
Struggling to score at the moment.
Champions league on Tuesday
Christmas party on Wednesday so not a great deal of time to prepare.
I propose a lay of £100 to lose £35.
I thought they would be around 1.5 for this game before looking at the prices
Thoughts?
they are home to west brom, for those like me who were wondering
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-west-brom/winner
my comment having watched west brom last weekend is that this is not a ruthlessly efficient Pulis side
they took the lead at home, immediately stuck two holding midfielders ten yards in front of the centre backs, tried to hold it and still conceded three goals
WBA have been funny this year.
The Pulis defensive effect has been in evidence but only some of the time.
They have kept clean sheets in 6 of 11 league matches and WBA have kept the most clean sheets in the Prem since Pulis has arrived with 16. He basically does a bit better than 1 in 2. He did the same with Stoke and Palace, as we know.
So 6 in 11 is good.
But they have also been very leaky on occasion and have conceded 3 goals four times this season. Remarkably all of those have come at home, vs City, Chelsea, Everton, Leicester.
They have kept 4 out 5 clean sheets on the road, vs Watford, Stoke, Villa, Norwich.
So they've conceded goals against strong scoring teams and kept clean sheets against weak scoring teams.
Where do United fall? Well even though much has been made of their lack of goals they are in the top half for goals scored. But they are essentially joint bottom in shots taken;
http://www.whoscored.com/Regions/252/Tournaments/2/Seasons/5826/Stages/12496/TeamStatistics/England-Premier-League-2015-2016
It's a shot shy team against a team that is adept at keeping clean sheets. It has 0-0 written all over it for me.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108681 on:
November 05, 2015, 07:34:10 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on November 05, 2015, 07:09:08 PM
I can't look beyond Sebastien Buemi for the Putrajaya ePrix. 6/5 on Ladbrokes is the only price I can find. Suggest a big-ish bet (£100 for me).
Simona de Silvestro's price is crazy, she is 200/1 when she should be 16/1 (like her team mate). Not worth betting on though, it just won't happen. The Renault e.dams cars are too quick.
I put the maximum permitted on
Single
2015 Putrajaya - Race 2 Formula E
Sebastien Buemi
Race winner
Odds: 6/5
1 line at £41.47
Total stake for this bet: £41.47
Potential return: £91.23
Time: 05/11/2015 18:46:54
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000999
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
BorntoBubble
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5887
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108682 on:
November 05, 2015, 07:38:09 PM »
Quote from: TheDazzler on November 05, 2015, 07:14:18 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 05, 2015, 06:31:26 PM
Quote from: BorntoBubble on November 05, 2015, 06:11:18 PM
Thoughts on laying man united at the weekend?
Around about 1.35 I believe on the exchanges.
Struggling to score at the moment.
Champions league on Tuesday
Christmas party on Wednesday so not a great deal of time to prepare.
I propose a lay of £100 to lose £35.
I thought they would be around 1.5 for this game before looking at the prices
Thoughts?
they are home to west brom, for those like me who were wondering
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-west-brom/winner
my comment having watched west brom last weekend is that this is not a ruthlessly efficient Pulis side
they took the lead at home, immediately stuck two holding midfielders ten yards in front of the centre backs, tried to hold it and still conceded three goals
WBA have been funny this year.
The Pulis defensive effect has been in evidence but only some of the time.
They have kept clean sheets in 6 of 11 league matches and WBA have kept the most clean sheets in the Prem since Pulis has arrived with 16. He basically does a bit better than 1 in 2. He did the same with Stoke and Palace, as we know.
So 6 in 11 is good.
But they have also been very leaky on occasion and have conceded 3 goals four times this season. Remarkably all of those have come at home, vs City, Chelsea, Everton, Leicester.
They have kept 4 out 5 clean sheets on the road, vs Watford, Stoke, Villa, Norwich.
So they've conceded goals against strong scoring teams and kept clean sheets against weak scoring teams.
Where do United fall? Well even though much has been made of their lack of goals they are in the top half for goals scored. But they are essentially joint bottom in shots taken;
http://www.whoscored.com/Regions/252/Tournaments/2/Seasons/5826/Stages/12496/TeamStatistics/England-Premier-League-2015-2016
It's a shot shy team against a team that is adept at keeping clean sheets. It has 0-0 written all over it for me.
Its funny you should mention the 0-0.
I backed this at 11/1
Lay United at 1.35 I think it was.
And over 3.5 Goals @5/2 which is with SkyBet so no good for TFT.
United really dont create many chances I really think its going to be a good spot to oppose them in the next few weeks as I dont think markets adjust quickly enough.
LVG seems to be happy with no letting the opposition score and grinding teams down for 60/70 minutes. Then you have to hope you create a chance, which United just aren't at the moment.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108683 on:
November 05, 2015, 07:41:49 PM »
before we go any further, tikay is in Hispaniola until mid week next week and left some admin housekeeping behind. unless he sees this
so we won't be able to lay anything at the moment
things like west brom and the draw or 0-0 are fine on fixed odds but we aren't funded on the exchange at the moment
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
nuros
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 318
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108684 on:
November 05, 2015, 09:46:31 PM »
Really like the 0-0 at 11s, to me that or a 1-0 man u win are the most likely results, surprised the bookies make 0-0 the 6th fav. Also like Newcastle to beat Bournemouth away at 12/5 on baldfred and bmu. Newcastle have been v good the last few weeks, SUnderland game was a strange 0-3 defeat (tho they always seem to lose against Sunderland lately) and it was only some Butland heroics that stopped them beating Stoke. On the other hand Newcastle have only scored 1 away goal in the PL this season in the 6-1 loss to city, however in recent weeks they've been much improved (most shots on goal and second most shots in the box behind arsenal in the last 2 weeks tho with 0 goals!) and with Bournemouths frailty at the back (so many "errors leading to goals" in the last few weeks) and their lack of options going forward without Wilson I think this is a good bet even taking into account that Boruc may return for Bournemouth (late fitness test), rec £25 unless there's any objections!
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TheDazzler
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1481
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108685 on:
November 05, 2015, 10:30:03 PM »
Regarding the WBA defence, the four times they conceded 3 goals, Chris Brunt, a midfielder converted to be a left back, faced Navas (Man City) who played well and got an assist. Then he faced Pedro (Chelsea) who had his best game so far and got a goal and assist. Then he faced Deulofeu (Everton) who tore him apart and got 2 assists. And then he faced Mahrez (Leicester) who scored 2 goals.
Brunt is the weak link in that defence and I still can't believe in 2 windows Pulis hasn't gotten a proper LB. The United RW vs Brunt is a key battle.
Brunt will likely be facing Mata at the weekend. Good player that Mata is, he hasn't the pace of the 4 wingers that gave Brunt such problems. Mata is always looking to cut inside and Brunt will be happy if he does.
Cue United win 9 goal thriller (actually this fixture was 4-4 a couple of years ago)!
If I was Van Gaal, I think I'd play Lingard there.
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BorntoBubble
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5887
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108686 on:
November 06, 2015, 12:15:17 AM »
Quote from: TheDazzler on November 05, 2015, 10:30:03 PM
Regarding the WBA defence, the four times they conceded 3 goals, Chris Brunt, a midfielder converted to be a left back, faced Navas (Man City) who played well and got an assist. Then he faced Pedro (Chelsea) who had his best game so far and got a goal and assist. Then he faced Deulofeu (Everton) who tore him apart and got 2 assists. And then he faced Mahrez (Leicester) who scored 2 goals.
Brunt is the weak link in that defence and I still can't believe in 2 windows Pulis hasn't gotten a proper LB. The United RW vs Brunt is a key battle.
Brunt will likely be facing Mata at the weekend. Good player that Mata is, he hasn't the pace of the 4 wingers that gave Brunt such problems. Mata is always looking to cut inside and Brunt will be happy if he does.
Cue United win 9 goal thriller (actually this fixture was 4-4 a couple of years ago)!
If I was Van Gaal, I think I'd play Lingard there.
Can you message him that please. It would be a great plan, but I dont think he will.
The reason why ive backed Over 3.5 is for the reason IF United ever break a team down early I think it could be a big scoring game.
But at the moment they seem content to wait until 60 minutes. If you are content tyo wait to 60 minutes to start pressing more than it makes 0-0 1-0 results etc so much more likely
Agree with points above that I cannot work out how 0-0 is 6th fav result.
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"ace high"
http://plascolwyn.co.uk/
- 9 Bed Self Catering Holiday let in Snowdonia, North Wales Pm for more details.
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tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108687 on:
November 06, 2015, 12:40:49 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 05, 2015, 07:41:49 PM
before we go any further, tikay is in Hispaniola until mid week next week and left some admin housekeeping behind. unless he sees this
so we won't be able to lay anything at the moment
things like west brom and the draw or 0-0 are fine on fixed odds but we aren't funded on the exchange at the moment
Sorted.
In case anyone gets the wrong end of the stick, I'm NOT on holiday - I'm
working
.
I do hope I make myself quite clear.
«
Last Edit: November 06, 2015, 01:09:09 AM by tikay
»
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Stopsleyhatter
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 393
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108688 on:
November 06, 2015, 08:31:17 AM »
No touchdown for Gio I'm afraid.Im gonna stop second guessing Hue Jackson..
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Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #108689 on:
November 06, 2015, 08:59:08 AM »
Quote from: tikay on November 06, 2015, 12:40:49 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 05, 2015, 07:41:49 PM
before we go any further, tikay is in Hispaniola until mid week next week and left some admin housekeeping behind. unless he sees this
so we won't be able to lay anything at the moment
things like west brom and the draw or 0-0 are fine on fixed odds but we aren't funded on the exchange at the moment
Sorted.
In case anyone gets the wrong end of the stick, I'm NOT on holiday - I'm
working
.
I do hope I make myself quite clear.
These social functions take an awful lot of preparatory work.
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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