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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16470198 times)
JohnCharver
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« Reply #109035 on: November 14, 2015, 10:58:31 PM »

Yep, mccoy deff helped, although p.scu did a good job too. He was deff years ahead of time with training methods.

deffo and lost the biggest supporter owner in NH of the time david johnson.

Is it not pretty similar to the hannon situation on the flat? The jnrs were probably running it in all but name.

David Pipe still has quite a few big money buyers involved but they wouldnt tolerate their horses being flogged to bits during the season, the way martin pipe was allow with certain johnson horses. Nicholls kind of still does this- throws away festival hopes for earlier success.

He probably makes more money over the year farming the big saturday races with triers every week than saving them for the festivals when everyone is trying.

...which means his horses are the ones most likely to be handicapped correctly at the big festivals.

This is the point they dont pay 6 figures for french mudbloods and irish p2ps to scoop a saturday prize, which hamstrings david pipe compared to martin pipe backed by johnson.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #109036 on: November 15, 2015, 12:57:05 PM »

NFL thoughts for today chaps?


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Peter-27
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« Reply #109037 on: November 15, 2015, 01:09:44 PM »

Pre-Race Bets:

Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton @ 7/5 with the exchange. Price is too good to turn down. How rare is it to get 7/5 on Lewis this season? Suggest £50.

Winning Margin:
11-15.999 Seconds @ 7/1 with BeeWin. This scenario is unlikely, but not 7/1 unlikely. Suggest £10.

Group D (NAS/ERI/ALO/BUT): Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4 with Bet366. No idea why this price is so high to be honest .. should be at least under 2/1. Suggest £20.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/brazilian-grand-prix/group-d

Points Finish: Carlos Sainz @ 11/8 with Choral. I got on at 11/10 earlier this weekend. He'll start 10th. Now his price is 11/8. Literally makes no sense, punish it. Suggest £20.

Nico Hulkenberg, End Of First Lap Position: 6th or lower @ 6/4 with Bet366. Very odd market. I would personally make 6th or lower the favourite. Suggest £15.

Also, a couple of spreads look appealing today:

- Selling "Force India Multi Finishing Positions" at 75 (a retirement is only 12, so a 6th place for the other driver would still mean profit, seems like an odd price to me). This is a £2 spread for me, max. loss of £138.

- "Buying F.Massa/R.Grosjean" at 7. Massa should easily beat Grosjean today - don't really understand why it's not higher than 7. £5 for me (given my confidence on this one), max. loss is £185.
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« Reply #109038 on: November 15, 2015, 01:14:50 PM »

NFL thoughts for today chaps?


Am working on stuff atm. Will post before 3.
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« Reply #109039 on: November 15, 2015, 01:15:47 PM »

Lewis Hamilton (Mer) Brazilian Grand Prix Winner
£30.00 @ 2.50
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Returns: £75.00

can't do bwin, bet365, coral(at the moment) or spreads,sorry
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« Reply #109040 on: November 15, 2015, 01:16:24 PM »

NFL thoughts for today chaps?


Am working on stuff atm. Will post before 3.

would be disappointed if you didn't recommend a blocking tight end today, sir.
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« Reply #109041 on: November 15, 2015, 01:23:30 PM »

Lewis Hamilton (Mer) Brazilian Grand Prix Winner
£30.00 @ 2.50
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Returns: £75.00

can't do bwin, bet365, coral(at the moment) or spreads,sorry

Wow, decimated ..

Anyone mind getting on for TFT? The Group D bet and Massa/Grosjean spread are the key ones.
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« Reply #109042 on: November 15, 2015, 01:30:23 PM »

on the NFL props, sure no one really cares but Ladbrokes have moved from 10/11 on their over/under props to 17/20 across the board from this week

the effect of this is that you need to win at 54%+ rather than 52%+ to break even. 
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #109043 on: November 15, 2015, 01:34:28 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.
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Tal
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« Reply #109044 on: November 15, 2015, 01:43:06 PM »

NFL thoughts for today chaps?


Am working on stuff atm. Will post before 3.

would be disappointed if you didn't recommend a blocking tight end today, sir.

That's so last week. Am trying to find an offensive linemen or just JJ Watt Cheesy
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« Reply #109045 on: November 15, 2015, 01:44:22 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #109046 on: November 15, 2015, 01:45:03 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.

thank you, can we take £10 Sainz 11/8?
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #109047 on: November 15, 2015, 01:51:29 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.

thank you, can we take £10 Sainz 11/8?

And you're taking the £20 on Ericsson?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #109048 on: November 15, 2015, 01:54:11 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.

thank you, can we take £10 Sainz 11/8?

And you're taking the £20 on Ericsson?

yes as above, thanks
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #109049 on: November 15, 2015, 01:55:32 PM »

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.

thank you, can we take £10 Sainz 11/8?

And you're taking the £20 on Ericsson?

yes as above, thanks
Ok sorry, I thought you were talking to Doobs.
Booked.
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