Tips for Tikay

[superwomble]

Good discussion on Fred regarding BTTS and O2.5 goals bets - shame it put us off doing them on the Yeovil v Stevenage game though as it was 2-2!

[TightEnd]

Carson Palmer had a v good night in the Arizona win over Seattle

359 yards passing

4th in passing yards after 10 weeks

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/passingYards

Brees in 3rd goes on the Saints bye week this week

the cardinals host the bengals, which is a tough game, but he should go into the top 3 after the weekend coming

Has to be favourite for comeback player of the year too, along with the likes of eric berry and michael crabtree

Only Brady has thrown more touchdowns than Palmer this season

[TightEnd]

Monster winds in the Minnesota game. Anything above 15mph usually leads to problems for the quarterbacks in delivering passes, so you get interceptions and, therefore, teams run the ball a lot more. Out of Oakland and Minnesota, the Vikings have a much better running back in Adrian Peterson. Oakland are much better through the air.

20-25mph now and gusts of 30.

We should be getting on Minny against the spread IMO. +3 is a belting price.

£33 if we have time. 

Minnesota won 30-14, for those who played.

Rough weekend all round. As an idea, you remember Tighty’s description of the way the New York Jets snatched defeat from the jaws of victory against Buffalo on Thursday night? Well, that came an honourable fifth in the Stupidest Way to Try to Lose Competition:

- Detroit were winning comfortably in Green Bay, having failed to win there in over 20 years (they are in the same division). They then conceded a touchdown, missed a field goal to take the game out of reach and then conceded another. Green Bay were obliged to go for the two point conversion to tie the game up, didn't get it, so Detroit would win as long as they caught the ball on the kick off. The ball is kicked to their number one, Hall of fame receiver, Calvin "Megatron" Johnson, who leaps like a salmon, before dropping the ball into Green Bay hands. Somehow, Detroit survive. So, we know that can’t win, but kudos on the effort.

- Philadelphia are 16-6 up and allow a punt to be blocked to give Miami a chance to score before half time, which they do. Their terrible pass protection allows two very heavy sacks of QB Sam Bradford, the latter leaving him with a concussion, ending his game and the resulting fumble giving Miami the ball in good position. Two plays later, Miami are on the four yard line in the fourth quarter, a pass is tipped 30 feet in the air and the Eagles player nearest is too busy watching his man to notice, meaning the Dolphins receiver can just jump in the air and catch the touchdown that takes Miami into the lead…ironically Jarvis Landry, but not for enough yards. A big play by Philly into the end zone is caught by the wide receiver who somehow forgets he’s towards the back of the end zone and forgets to drag his second foot on the ground, meaning it doesn’t count. Try again…tight end catches it...touchdown…flag! Holding by the offense, replay the down. They manage to get a first down and, with 4:36 on the clock at the 9 yard line with 2nd and Goal, the plan is score at least a field goal to go into the lead and, with three time outs, Philly will have at least one possession left and can manage the game as favourites. Great. So, don’t take any risks and the game is probably yours…They try exactly the same play and intercepted! Barmy play calling and even worse execution.

- Dallas, despite a shambles of an offense, were winning 6-3 deep into the fourth quarter. Jameis Winston produces a big pass to get them into field goal range, so Dallas has to stop them three times from scoring a touchdown (Tampa have not gone close all game) and go into overtime with Fred probably having won the field goal bet. Winston goes for a touchdown himself but drops the ball as he is about to cross the line, Dallas recover and celebrate their much needed win. But no. There's a flag on the play for holding by a Dallas safety, so Tampa get four new chances to win the game. The most obvious thing now is for the team to give the rookie quarterback an immediate chance for redemption...no one tells Dallas and Winston walks into an empty end zone for the win. But not even that. Oh no. Dallas STILL have time to try a Hail Mary into the end zone to snatch the win back. Up it goes to their main receiver, Dez Bryant and he is clearly fouled to all but the official right next to the incident. It would have meant a chance on the one yard line to win the game, but you make your own luck in sport and the Cowboys blew a golden chance to end their run of what is now seven successive defeats.

And somehow, none of these win the Blondepoker Stupidest Way to Lose of Week 10

-  Trailing 14-19 in the fourth, the Baltimore Ravens score a touchdown, which they fail to convert for two points, leaving them 20-19 ahead, at home, with a minute left. Jacksonville make a couple of plays to get to the halfway line and have five seconds left, with no timeouts. One last throw, then. At home, the 2-6 Ravens need to stop this one, desperate play to give their playoff hopes the faintest mathematical chance. Jacksonville muff the snap and the QB, Blake Bortles has to scamper backwards to get the stray ball. Remember, all Baltimore need to do is stop a 50 yard hopeful chuck going for a touchdown. The Ravens Outside Linebacker, Elvis Kool Dumervil (that is his real name), breaks through the offensive line and has his chance to record the winning sack. Again, just get in the way a bit and prevent a perfect throw. Or, if you’re particularly stupid, you could grab the quarterback by the grill of his helmet, swing him round like a discus and nearly break his neck and incur a penalty. You can’t end a game on a penalty against the winning team, so Jacksonville has one last chance. It gets better. The facemask penalty against a quarterback is an automatic fifteen yards, meaning the Jags are now in field goal range! Jason Myers makes no mistake from 53 yards and the Jags win in the most absurd way possible.

How is anyone supposed to make money betting on this sport?!

Back up quarterbacks are now 5-20 win/loss this season. there are 32 NFL quality starting quarterbacks, let alone any decent back ups
one of the 5 wins is big ben who came in after a few players with another quarterback injury, and threw for a zillion yards on one leg

strange sport.

[ripple11]

Heard Corals saying this morning they lost 2 million and the industry about 20m, with footy accumulators on the favs at the weekend .

  if it was you

[tikay]

Heard Corals saying this morning they lost 2 million and the industry about 20m, with footy accumulators on the favs at the weekend .

  if it was you

Thursday was pretty bad/good (depending which side of the counter you sit) in Horse Racing, too. 58% of the jollies won, including 5 from 6 at Ludlow, 6 from 7 at Clonmel, & 4 from 8 at Chelmsford.

Gotta feel for those poor bookies, eh?

[RickBFA]

Good discussion on Fred regarding BTTS and O2.5 goals bets - shame it put us off doing them on the Yeovil v Stevenage game though as it was 2-2!

Accrington v Newport was 2-2 as well 

[tikay]

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Morning Dazzler.

Was this a loser? If so, remind me (via PM) of your Bank Details, & I'll ship the cash across.

[tikay]

Fred has £20 booked on the Group betting on Marcus Ericsson @ 9/4.

Did a tenner on that and Sainz for thread.  Really isn't an issue whether thread wants or not.  I don't mind keeping them.  Just Pls confirm before the race.

thank you, can we take £10 Sainz 11/8?

Confirmed

Thanks David - we did not get much of a sweat with this one. Never mind, thanks for getting us on. 

Have sent you £10 by Bank TX.

[tikay]

Would Fred like Hulkenburg End of 1st Lap Position 6th or Worse 6/4 £15 ?

Yes please thank you

Booked

Hi Lisa,

No idea what the result was, but either way, settle up month end, as usual?

[TightEnd]

Heard Corals saying this morning they lost 2 million and the industry about 20m, with footy accumulators on the favs at the weekend .

  if it was you

Thursday was pretty bad/good (depending which side of the counter you sit) in Horse Racing, too. 58% of the jollies won, including 5 from 6 at Ludlow, 6 from 7 at Clonmel, & 4 from 8 at Chelmsford.

Gotta feel for those poor bookies, eh?

the puff

"Britain’s bookies lost over £15 million on football on Saturday as thousands of small staking football punters won big sums of money with nearly all the short price favourites in the League 1 and League 2 fixtures, as well as the International fixtures, winning.

On what is usually one of the quietest weekends of football, Coral alone were hit for over £2.5 million, with over 60 shop customers turning stakes of between 0.25p and £30 into returns of between £2000 and £10,000, the majority doing so by stringing together between 10 and 14 successful predictions to achieve these amazing returns.

Coincidentally Coral’s three biggest winning customers nationwide placed their bets in Middlesex. A customer in Coral’s shop in Pinner Green, Middlesex, won nearly £33k for just a £4 stake on a 13 fold accumulator, and another in Coral’s South Ruislip shop, also in Middlesex won nearly £23k for a £4 on a 14 fold accumulator. A regular in Coral’s shop in Stanwell, Staines, in Middlesex won just over £15k from a £2 stake.

“This is the worst day of trading we have ever had on football over an international break weekend and the worst football results of the season so far. It is literally the last thing a bookie would expect from a supposedly quiet weekend of football betting,” said Simon Clare, Coral Spokesman.

“All the thousands of Coral customers who turned a few pounds into hundreds of even thousands of pounds are the regulars that deserve it most, as they were still placing their bets this Saturday even without the draw of the Premier League. Fair play to them,” added Clare.

 There were several Coral customers worthy of specific mention for their achievements:

Customer in Pinner Green, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 13 teams returning £32,737

Customer in South Rusilip, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 14 teams returning £22,914

Customer in Stanwell, Middlesex placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £17,126

Customer in Hillsborough, Sheffield put a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £15,0991

Customer in Stafford, West Midlands placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £12,586"

coincidentally the thread had its worst weekend for many many months

[TightEnd]

for those who read my post last week (there wasn't any feedback)

According to the French newspaper Midi Olympique  Jake White was interviewed by the RFU on Friday vis-a-vis the England job

his team montpellier played in london on thursday, so it would tally

hasn't been formally confirmed by either party, or the English press

white and jones are 3/1 jolies, 10/1 bar

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-specials/england/next-england-head-coach

[arbboy]

Heard Corals saying this morning they lost 2 million and the industry about 20m, with footy accumulators on the favs at the weekend .

  if it was you

Thursday was pretty bad/good (depending which side of the counter you sit) in Horse Racing, too. 58% of the jollies won, including 5 from 6 at Ludlow, 6 from 7 at Clonmel, & 4 from 8 at Chelmsford.

Gotta feel for those poor bookies, eh?

the puff

"Britain’s bookies lost over £15 million on football on Saturday as thousands of small staking football punters won big sums of money with nearly all the short price favourites in the League 1 and League 2 fixtures, as well as the International fixtures, winning.

On what is usually one of the quietest weekends of football, Coral alone were hit for over £2.5 million, with over 60 shop customers turning stakes of between 0.25p and £30 into returns of between £2000 and £10,000, the majority doing so by stringing together between 10 and 14 successful predictions to achieve these amazing returns.

Coincidentally Coral’s three biggest winning customers nationwide placed their bets in Middlesex. A customer in Coral’s shop in Pinner Green, Middlesex, won nearly £33k for just a £4 stake on a 13 fold accumulator, and another in Coral’s South Ruislip shop, also in Middlesex won nearly £23k for a £4 on a 14 fold accumulator. A regular in Coral’s shop in Stanwell, Staines, in Middlesex won just over £15k from a £2 stake.

“This is the worst day of trading we have ever had on football over an international break weekend and the worst football results of the season so far. It is literally the last thing a bookie would expect from a supposedly quiet weekend of football betting,” said Simon Clare, Coral Spokesman.

“All the thousands of Coral customers who turned a few pounds into hundreds of even thousands of pounds are the regulars that deserve it most, as they were still placing their bets this Saturday even without the draw of the Premier League. Fair play to them,” added Clare.

 There were several Coral customers worthy of specific mention for their achievements:

Customer in Pinner Green, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 13 teams returning £32,737

Customer in South Rusilip, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 14 teams returning £22,914

Customer in Stanwell, Middlesex placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £17,126

Customer in Hillsborough, Sheffield put a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £15,0991

Customer in Stafford, West Midlands placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £12,586"

coincidentally the thread had its worst weekend for many many months

Beans on toast for the Middlesex area manager this xmas then!  Really hope that £2 punter in Stafford was in the Joe's i go into sometimes.  The manager there is so miserable.

I thought the results were pretty bad just looking at div 1/2 in England over the weekend.  Not a 0-0 in sight and virtually every game sailed over.  Didn't realise it was this bad though.  I know someone who backs 0-0's a lot and he had a terrible weekend.

[tikay]

Heard Corals saying this morning they lost 2 million and the industry about 20m, with footy accumulators on the favs at the weekend .

  if it was you

Thursday was pretty bad/good (depending which side of the counter you sit) in Horse Racing, too. 58% of the jollies won, including 5 from 6 at Ludlow, 6 from 7 at Clonmel, & 4 from 8 at Chelmsford.

Gotta feel for those poor bookies, eh?

the puff

"Britain’s bookies lost over £15 million on football on Saturday as thousands of small staking football punters won big sums of money with nearly all the short price favourites in the League 1 and League 2 fixtures, as well as the International fixtures, winning.

On what is usually one of the quietest weekends of football, Coral alone were hit for over £2.5 million, with over 60 shop customers turning stakes of between 0.25p and £30 into returns of between £2000 and £10,000, the majority doing so by stringing together between 10 and 14 successful predictions to achieve these amazing returns.

Coincidentally Coral’s three biggest winning customers nationwide placed their bets in Middlesex. A customer in Coral’s shop in Pinner Green, Middlesex, won nearly £33k for just a £4 stake on a 13 fold accumulator, and another in Coral’s South Ruislip shop, also in Middlesex won nearly £23k for a £4 on a 14 fold accumulator. A regular in Coral’s shop in Stanwell, Staines, in Middlesex won just over £15k from a £2 stake.

“This is the worst day of trading we have ever had on football over an international break weekend and the worst football results of the season so far. It is literally the last thing a bookie would expect from a supposedly quiet weekend of football betting,” said Simon Clare, Coral Spokesman.

“All the thousands of Coral customers who turned a few pounds into hundreds of even thousands of pounds are the regulars that deserve it most, as they were still placing their bets this Saturday even without the draw of the Premier League. Fair play to them,” added Clare.

 There were several Coral customers worthy of specific mention for their achievements:

Customer in Pinner Green, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 13 teams returning £32,737

Customer in South Rusilip, Middlesex placed a £4 accumulator on 14 teams returning £22,914

Customer in Stanwell, Middlesex placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £17,126

Customer in Hillsborough, Sheffield put a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £15,0991

Customer in Stafford, West Midlands placed a £2 accumulator on 14 teams returning £12,586"

coincidentally the thread had its worst weekend for many many months

Beans on toast for the Middlesex area manager this xmas then!  Really hope that £2 punter in Stafford was in the Joe's i go into sometimes.  The manager there is so miserable.

I thought the results were pretty bad just looking at div 1/2 in England over the weekend.  Not a 0-0 in sight and virtually every game sailed over.  Didn't realise it was this bad though.  I know someone who backs 0-0's a lot and he had a terrible weekend.

The bookies got a good deal of it back on Sunday, I fancy.

[arbboy]

Are the bookies PR men getting more savvy at spinning these stories or are there just a lot more weekends where the acca wagons seem to be having it right off?  Seems to be there are 2 or 3 of these carnage weekends every season nowadays.

[Doobs]

for those who read my post last week (there wasn't any feedback)

According to the French newspaper Midi Olympique  Jake White was interviewed by the RFU on Friday vis-a-vis the England job

his team montpellier played in london on thursday, so it would tally

hasn't been formally confirmed by either party, or the English press

white and jones are 3/1 jolies, 10/1 bar

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-specials/england/next-england-head-coach

I read it, but simply couldn't add anything useful.

Jones now shortened to 2/1, White down as drifting to 11/4.  Presumably Jones has been interviewed too.