Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

limited

Alan Curtis Swansea Next Swansea Manager
8/13
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £40.50


he's managed 5 games so far

10 is wba away 2nd feb

Would those 5 games count if we only placed the bet today?

Chomps should have put it up earlier, obv.

[TightEnd]

for reference once it starts

[Tal]

for reference once it starts

I know six by that list of names (Gest, Partridge, Rihanoff, Westbrook, Day, Dell'Olio).

Anyone running a book on Tikay's number?

On which note, now he's fronting a worldwide TV show on a major network, how long before our protagonist makes his appearance on a celebrity show? He can't be far down the list now, surely?

Day Nine and Tony is discussing the Forth Bridge with Barry Chuckle and Spike from 911...

[arbboy]

5 my number.  How is this garbage still on our tv screens?

[TightEnd]

i'm at 8.

disgusted with myself

as to who scott timlin is, not a scooby

[BorntoBubble]

i'm at 8.

disgusted with myself

as to who scott timlin is, not a scooby

5 for me.

Didnt we back him?

Scotty T from Geordie Shore.

[TightEnd]

chris "gutter tv" roberts put him up, price went before i got to it

looks a nice guy. scott, not chris.

[Chompy]

Nine for me

Christophe spotted the early value. Sure we'll have a bet somewhere down the line.

Didn't know Scotty T either. We need Scotty77 in there. Or RichOrf. Enough with the History Channel links, get on CBB.

[OverTheBorder]

chris "gutter tv" roberts put him up, price went before i got to it

looks a nice guy. scott, not chris.

Ha ha he is also going in ex on the beach on MTV this month too (pre recorded). Could be a procession!

Hope some got on.

[Doobs]

chris "gutter tv" roberts put him up, price went before i got to it

looks a nice guy. scott, not chris.

Ha ha he is also going in ex on the beach on MTV this month too (pre recorded). Could be a procession!

Hope some got on.

  Anybody know who is on The Jump yet?  Proper sport that.

[arbboy]

So obvious but it is amazing how the scousers are 6/4 for this game at Stoke tonight.  bf price always right though.  Stoke full strength.  Scousers look to have set up to come for a 0-0 and get home level with no striker starting for them.  They look close to max lay material for me at 6/4.  If you ever want to see a case of supply/demand here with feck all else to bet on tonight globally at this time and millions of wagons around the world forcing the lolapool price far too short this is it.  Just because there is £100k either side of 2.52 and 2.54 doesn't mean this price is 'right'.

Just to give an indication of how quiet tonight is punting wise there is £20-£40k being matched on every bags race on the dogs tonight across 3 meetings when it is usually between 5-10k if you are lucky with a 5 min gap between each race.

On what grounds have lolapool been backed from 2.7 into 2.52 over the course of today on betfair other than just sheer weight of wagon cash?  The team news should be sending the price the other way.

[TheDazzler]

So obvious but it is amazing how the scousers are 6/4 for this game at Stoke tonight.  bf price always right though.  Stoke full strength.  Scousers look to have set up to come for a 0-0 and get home level.  They look close to max lay material for me at 6/4.

I couldn't agree more. I genuinely can't understand the price at all. I think Stoke are a better side currently than Pool but even if I'm wrong on that, I don't think there can be too much between them, not as much as the prices indicate.

[horseplayer]

thanks Brucie nothing for a pair not in this lol game

In other news

Nick Blackman is actually signing for Derby this is not great as i doubt he will play all the time could have a slight negative on Chris Martin as well if anybody cares

[TightEnd]

pieced together from various twitter people there was a big "pros" on liverpool/"mugs" on stoke bias in markets for the game today

our old favourite: liverpool shot data/shots on target being cited as the reason for their attractiveness

someoneone countered that liverpool shot data was skewed by coutinho taking speculative 30yd punts all season long. ie low quality data

fwiw. cue liverpool hosing up

[arbboy]

pieced together from various twitter people there was a big "pros" on liverpool/"mugs" on stoke bias in markets for the game today

our old favourite: liverpool shot data/shots on target being cited as the reason for their attractiveness

someoneone countered that liverpool shot data was skewed by coutinho taking speculative 30yd punts all season long. ie low quality data

fwiw. cue liverpool hosing up

You need to follow Goff less and read less of his nonsense.  If goff knew what he was talking about he wouldn't be head of football at coral and equally he wouldn't tell everyone on his twitter feed what his company pay him to discover for their benefit not the general public's.  How can the wagons ever be smashing into Stoke in this spot and, more importantly, how can the pros ever be backing lolapool at this price with this team?

I would love to know the P+L if you had laid every team at 6/4 or shorter at the Brit since they entered the EPl in all competitions.  I would imagine you would be shelling peas if you had without having the data to hand.

The other factor to consider.  If you look at the 'to qualify' market today Stoke are a sea of blue even though they have drifted like a barge for tonight's game.  I can't imagine many wagons get involved in this market hence why the market move has gone the 'correct' way as the huge weight of wagon cash isn't there in that market to hold up the stoke price.