Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

CBB

I have to admit that I haven't done much work on this and some of the names I don't really recognise so this is just for discussion rather than a recc. I quite like the look of David Gest at 6/1 personally but John Partridge looks a decent price at 8/1+ on the machine.

Can John Partridge win? Does his reason for going in the house help?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-3386083/John-Partridge-reveals-s-Celebrity-Big-Brother-pay-mum-s-Alzheimer-s-care.html

watched it last night, purely for research purposes

thought Darren Day would win it.


How long does it last?

Too long.

I mean, seriously, cluttering up Fred with this nonsense is an outrage. An outrage. I am outraged.

I might have to send Argue some Stella, & get him on the CBBlolzzz high horse.

[tikay]

CBB

I have to admit that I haven't done much work on this and some of the names I don't really recognise so this is just for discussion rather than a recc. I quite like the look of David Gest at 6/1 personally but John Partridge looks a decent price at 8/1+ on the machine.

Can John Partridge win? Does his reason for going in the house help?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-3386083/John-Partridge-reveals-s-Celebrity-Big-Brother-pay-mum-s-Alzheimer-s-care.html

Happy New Year, Joe, Mrs Joe, & Twin Joes.

[JoeBeevers]

I had a side bet to see how long before you posted TK, I won ;-)

HNY!

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit yesterday £40

Profit on the Month £329.02

Outstanding Bets £3623.88

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Yesterdays profit, Adil Rashid in the BBL match bet, 3-0 in wickets versus Hogg



for our Heat to finish bottom position, the table is



also yesterday, a disappointing first leg for our Stoke City bets. Stoke were dreadful.



more records are set at cape town. finally on day 5 we have some bowling weather and swing

Click to see full-size image.

helped by



Benoit Paire plays Lukas Rosol today in Chennai, Paire having had a first round bye

Meanwhile, Tal and I have someone to watch in cbb

Click to see full-size image.

[ripple11]

Anyone fancy a lotto syndicate tomorrow for the £50m?  We did one for the scoop 6.  This is probably more value with no ego issues regarding selecting numbers.

Maybe wait until it can't rollover anymore (once more on Saturday?)and they will pay out jackpot on 5 nos + bonus, if no one has all 6..... would this be better value for our buck?

[nellberg]

Big Bash tomorrow morning, Stars v Hurricanes, one of the bowling match bets with Korral is Faulkner v Boyce.

Faulkner generally bowls at the start and end of the innings, so therefore in theory has a solid chance of getting a wicket up front with the new ball and then buying a few late doors when the slog is on. In his T20 career he's been prolific, with 139 wickets from 116 games. However, he's out of form at the moment. He's got 1 wicket so far in the tournament from his 4 games, and has been leaking runs at a rate that saw him only bowl 1 expensive over against the Sixers and 3 expensive overs against the Renegades. He is no guarantee to bowl his 4 over quota tomorrow, as they have plenty of options with the ball. He is 4/5 favourite.

Boyce is a legspinner who's bowl in the middle overs of games. They've held him back a little this year so he's bowled as late as the 16/17th overs, but he'll not bowl right at the death. Despite bowling in the middle overs, he's still managed to pick wickets up at a tidy rate, 42 in 31 matches. He's also in great form at the moment. He has 10 wickets from his 19 overs in this season's competition, making him the joint-leading wicket-taker in the tournament so far. He's taken at least 2 wickets on 4/5 occasions he's bowled, on the other occasion he took 1 wicket. He managed to take 2/22 against The Heat when the boundary was tiny and every bowler was getting smashed out of the ground, tomorrow he'll be bowling at the MCG which has a large outfield so (in theory) that favours spinners for getting catches on the boundary. He is the even money underdog.

At some stage Faulkner will regain form and be a wicket-taking threat again, but even if he was in form he shouldn't be favourite against Boyce. Given their current form, the prices are wrong imo.

Not sure if anyone got on, I put this up quite late as I was working. If anyone is on, Faulkner only bowled the one over for no wickets. The Hurricanes only got 124 so they may not get the chance to take too many wickets, but we can't lose and hopefully Boyce binks one for the win.

[tikay]

Big Bash tomorrow morning, Stars v Hurricanes, one of the bowling match bets with Korral is Faulkner v Boyce.

Faulkner generally bowls at the start and end of the innings, so therefore in theory has a solid chance of getting a wicket up front with the new ball and then buying a few late doors when the slog is on. In his T20 career he's been prolific, with 139 wickets from 116 games. However, he's out of form at the moment. He's got 1 wicket so far in the tournament from his 4 games, and has been leaking runs at a rate that saw him only bowl 1 expensive over against the Sixers and 3 expensive overs against the Renegades. He is no guarantee to bowl his 4 over quota tomorrow, as they have plenty of options with the ball. He is 4/5 favourite.

Boyce is a legspinner who's bowl in the middle overs of games. They've held him back a little this year so he's bowled as late as the 16/17th overs, but he'll not bowl right at the death. Despite bowling in the middle overs, he's still managed to pick wickets up at a tidy rate, 42 in 31 matches. He's also in great form at the moment. He has 10 wickets from his 19 overs in this season's competition, making him the joint-leading wicket-taker in the tournament so far. He's taken at least 2 wickets on 4/5 occasions he's bowled, on the other occasion he took 1 wicket. He managed to take 2/22 against The Heat when the boundary was tiny and every bowler was getting smashed out of the ground, tomorrow he'll be bowling at the MCG which has a large outfield so (in theory) that favours spinners for getting catches on the boundary. He is the even money underdog.

At some stage Faulkner will regain form and be a wicket-taking threat again, but even if he was in form he shouldn't be favourite against Boyce. Given their current form, the prices are wrong imo.

Not sure if anyone got on, I put this up quite late as I was working. If anyone is on, Faulkner only bowled the one over for no wickets. The Hurricanes only got 124 so they may not get the chance to take too many wickets, but we can't lose and hopefully Boyce binks one for the win.

Go Nelly, good luck m8. Some really good stuff from you on Big Bash. Meanwhile, while you are earning everyone money, half of the regulars are discussing lolzzCBB nonsense.

[tikay]

Daily Report

Profit yesterday £40

Profit on the Month £329.02

Outstanding Bets £3623.88

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Yesterdays profit, Adil Rashid in the BBL match bet, 3-0 in wickets versus Hogg



for our Heat to finish bottom position, the table is



also yesterday, a disappointing first leg for our Stoke City bets. Stoke were dreadful.



more records are set at cape town. finally on day 5 we have some bowling weather and swing

Click to see full-size image.

helped by



Benoit Paire plays Lukas Rosol today in Chennai, Paire having had a first round bye

Meanwhile, Tal and I have someone to watch in cbb

Click to see full-size image.

Thanks Rich, & well done Nelly (again...) on the Rashid bet, which was our profit yesterday.

Shame that lolzzStoke played so bad.

Is that CBHB woman real, or some sort of blow-up doll?

[tikay]

Does anyone know if Adzy is OK? - not posted since January 1st.

Hopefully, he is over in France, in his Chateau, "Chez Many Clouds", tending his vineyards.

[TightEnd]

Swans 'in no rush to replace Curtis'

Curtis, 61, has taken five points from five games since Garry Monk's sacking and it now looks likely he will remain in charge for the rest of the season.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/35229396

[Chompy]

Next three games for the Swans are Oxford away in the Cup, followed by Sunderland (H) and Watford (H). Barring a hammering somewhere, which seems unlikely, that'll be eight games at the helm.

[Doobs]

Anyone fancy a lotto syndicate tomorrow for the £50m?  We did one for the scoop 6.  This is probably more value with no ego issues regarding selecting numbers.

Maybe wait until it can't rollover anymore (once more on Saturday?)and they will pay out jackpot on 5 nos + bonus, if no one has all 6..... would this be better value for our buck?

I don't think it is likely value yet.   Adding in all those numbers made the chance of winning up to 1 in 45 million, and also meant the chances of winning anything else reduced.  Given the price is now £2 a tcket then I think we still lose on average.  Guess this changes when the 5 numbers + bonus comes in, though I haven't done the maths..

FWIW If everybody in the uk did a line, and entered 24 hours before the draw, whilst 1.5 people person would win it on average, 1500 would die before the draw.

   

[BigAdz]

Does anyone know if Adzy is OK? - not posted since January 1st.

Hopefully, he is over in France, in his Chateau, "Chez Many Clouds", tending his vineyards.

I'm here. TY for asking.

Had problems logging in, and too stupid to work out how to fix it.

Just watching another Nelly bet on the edge of popping. N1

[BigAdz]

Anyone fancy a lotto syndicate tomorrow for the £50m?  We did one for the scoop 6.  This is probably more value with no ego issues regarding selecting numbers.

Maybe wait until it can't rollover anymore (once more on Saturday?)and they will pay out jackpot on 5 nos + bonus, if no one has all 6..... would this be better value for our buck?

I don't think it is likely value yet.   Adding in all those numbers made the chance of winning up to 1 in 45 million, and also meant the chances of winning anything else reduced.  Given the price is now £2 a tcket then I think we still lose on average.  Guess this changes when the 5 numbers + bonus comes in, though I haven't done the maths..

FWIW If everybody in the uk did a line, and entered 24 hours before the draw, whilst 1.5 people person would win it on average, 1500 would die before the draw.

   

Sobering thought. I might start leaving it until an hour before the draw before buying my ticket, to improve my odds!

[nellberg]

Big Bash tomorrow morning, Stars v Hurricanes, one of the bowling match bets with Korral is Faulkner v Boyce.

Faulkner generally bowls at the start and end of the innings, so therefore in theory has a solid chance of getting a wicket up front with the new ball and then buying a few late doors when the slog is on. In his T20 career he's been prolific, with 139 wickets from 116 games. However, he's out of form at the moment. He's got 1 wicket so far in the tournament from his 4 games, and has been leaking runs at a rate that saw him only bowl 1 expensive over against the Sixers and 3 expensive overs against the Renegades. He is no guarantee to bowl his 4 over quota tomorrow, as they have plenty of options with the ball. He is 4/5 favourite.

Boyce is a legspinner who's bowl in the middle overs of games. They've held him back a little this year so he's bowled as late as the 16/17th overs, but he'll not bowl right at the death. Despite bowling in the middle overs, he's still managed to pick wickets up at a tidy rate, 42 in 31 matches. He's also in great form at the moment. He has 10 wickets from his 19 overs in this season's competition, making him the joint-leading wicket-taker in the tournament so far. He's taken at least 2 wickets on 4/5 occasions he's bowled, on the other occasion he took 1 wicket. He managed to take 2/22 against The Heat when the boundary was tiny and every bowler was getting smashed out of the ground, tomorrow he'll be bowling at the MCG which has a large outfield so (in theory) that favours spinners for getting catches on the boundary. He is the even money underdog.

At some stage Faulkner will regain form and be a wicket-taking threat again, but even if he was in form he shouldn't be favourite against Boyce. Given their current form, the prices are wrong imo.

Not sure if anyone got on, I put this up quite late as I was working. If anyone is on, Faulkner only bowled the one over for no wickets. The Hurricanes only got 124 so they may not get the chance to take too many wickets, but we can't lose and hopefully Boyce binks one four the win.

Money back after no wickets apiece. He bowled garbage, trying too hard to bowl the magic ball as they had a below-par score to defend. Disappointing after Faulkner only bowled the one over, we were on a great spot. Ah well, on the next ...