Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Hector or others

Indian Wells fortnight begins tomorrow ATP and WTA tournaments

any fancies?

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

When I look at bet between 2 sides I have come to realise that if the odds for one of the sides is awful, then the odds for the other side must be really good no matter how daft it may seem.

Today the CESM travel to Wakefield. Now last season Wakefield were useless and finished bottom. They have had a mass clearout and got a new coach. They have had a tough start to the season with losses away at Warrington and Castleford, but they did win away at Hull KR. In their only home fixture they lost to Widnes, but they were competitive.

Last season the CESM's only won away twice, including this corresponding fixture. Their only win so far was against an out of sorts Leeds team at home. The most worrying result for either team was the drubbing that the CESM's got from Hull at home. To back a team with that sort of form at 4/11 away from home is surely a first step to the poor house.

Suggest £15 Wakefield @ 9/4 with betfred.

[hector62]

Indian Wells is still not priced up by the firms as it is all Davis cup at the moment. Hard to see past Djokovic on hard courts still but I will be looking at it tomorrow and will certainly look at individual matches. Maybe Mr Novice could be prodded to choose a young lady for us?

[TightEnd]

Wakefield v Catalans
Match Betting (80 Mins)
   Wakefield   9/4   
Total stake   15.00
Estimated return   48.75
Full stake   15.00
Full estimated return   48.75

[BigAdz]

13-10 gone .

5-4 William Hill .

Still rec £100 . Should be odds on  in my book .

Tightly , go for it , use your "one time " 

If they were trained by Mullins, they would be 1-3.

[Doobs]

Tighty, did we ever follow Pleno in to Palace relegation at 50/1?  Only pp jokers left at that price.  They might let us have a fiver as it is premier league.  Next 3 games are Liverpool home, leicester home and West Ham away.  Seems more likely than not they will be lower after that lot.   The games are easier after that, but their position in the table not likely to be as comfortable.

no always applied an anti-Pardew bias quotient to all suggestsions of that

they are nine points clear of newcastle and norwich

35-37 points keeps you u (bournemouth reached 35 yesterday at and are assumed safe in all commentary yesterday), they need 2-4 points and then two of sunderland/norwich/newcaslte have to win 3 games more than you to send you down

that seems unlikely to me, which is why the price is still where it is isn't it?

It is all a bit you snooze you lose right now, but newcastle play villa, sunderland, Norwich and palace before the end of the season.  Maybe 35 is enough, but way more frequently than 1 in 50 you need 38. 

[Chompy]

Just watched the Wigan highlights. Only once in ten does this not end in a home win, and took a special freekick from Gateshead's finest to nick a point.

[Archer]

Premier League Top Scorer:

Vardy 19
Lukaku 18
Kane 17
Aguero 16

I fancy Aguero to win this and certainly would rate him better than a 25% shot. As he is 3/1 everywhere I think it is a good bet.

Reasons:

He is catching up at a rate of knots. The man is a machine and has the all time Premier League fastest strike rate by a mile. His strike rate this season is a goal every 100 minutes following on from a goal every 98 minutes last season. With 10 games to go it would be no surprise if he scored another 8+ goals in the remaining 10 games.

City have 1 more game to play than Leicester and Spurs and the same number as Everton. The strike rates for Vardy, Lukaku and Kane are significantly slower at  129, 135 and 151  minutes per goal respectively.

He is looking as fit and sharp  as I’ve ever seen him, he is playing 90 minutes and the fixture schedule even with CL looks ok with plenty of full rest weeks.

I'd recommend £50 on this.

[TightEnd]

^^^

that seems reasonable doesn't it?

i am deferring LCFC to tikay. I am beyond rational thought on the matter, and don't want to bok anything

[Karabiner]

Both seem reasonable to me.

[Doobs]

Tighty, did we ever follow Pleno in to Palace relegation at 50/1?  Only pp jokers left at that price.  They might let us have a fiver as it is premier league.  Next 3 games are Liverpool home, leicester home and West Ham away.  Seems more likely than not they will be lower after that lot.   The games are easier after that, but their position in the table not likely to be as comfortable.

no always applied an anti-Pardew bias quotient to all suggestsions of that

they are nine points clear of newcastle and norwich

35-37 points keeps you u (bournemouth reached 35 yesterday at and are assumed safe in all commentary yesterday), they need 2-4 points and then two of sunderland/norwich/newcaslte have to win 3 games more than you to send you down

that seems unlikely to me, which is why the price is still where it is isn't it?

It is all a bit you snooze you lose right now, but newcastle play villa, sunderland, Norwich and palace before the end of the season.  Maybe 35 is enough, but way more frequently than 1 in 50 you need 38. 

Palace all over Liverpool, probably a good swerve. 

[RobbieP]

Local press going nuts in Newcastle reporting that Mclaren  future is being discussed at board level which seems a joke as he is a board member also

Local hacks reporting that NUFC are in talks with Moyes about taking charge

Only Newcastle can do this look like sacking a manager without a concrete one lined up

Should be fun over the next few days

[pleno1]

Palace price wasn't necessarily for relegation, was more for taking the huge price 3/4 months a ago and then laying it now. The anti Pardew stuff is backed by facts rather than opinions, he's a fast starter and then capitulates and self destructs teams, making promosing teams into disasters.

Not sure if I'm happy I bet 100/1 or if I'm sad I didn't lump huge on 5/4 bottom half of table. If they do lose next 3 games including today (they've apparantly looked good today) then I wonder what their odds will end up being assuming teams around them win a realistic amount of points. Unfortunately my bet of Pardew next manager to go looks lost with McClaren likely to leave. 16/5 Liverpool -1 not looking good either unless Countinho and Sturridge come on soon.

[TightEnd]

Sergio Aguero Premier League Top Goalscorer
3/1
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £200.00

[TightEnd]

Peyton Manning retires tomorrow, it has been confirmed

Click to see full-size image.

Just on playing contracts alone, no endorsements (and he's made buckets from endorsements) how much did he earn in his NFL career? no googling!