Tips for Tikay

[JohnCharver]

- the champion hurdle. i am going to ask again for e/w ideas, as it screams out for them.

Nichols Canyon has won 5 x gp 1's and beaten the third favourite twice yet its the same price. why?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/champion-hurdle/winner

- anything else that stands out?

I guess the biggest factor is that mulins has shown little confidence in him to get the job done by putting annie power in there.

Cheltenham is also very different to irish courses through the winter, so the form doesnt always stack up (especially in different ground). Just have to look at how artic fire benefited from the cheltenham run in to comfortably beat hurricane fly last year, despite getting nowhere near in countless races all season.

Also he was a good thing as a novice, his only defeat in a completed run was when favourite for the neptune last year.

Think hendersons runners are the value, but the prices arent going to change alot so will wait to see the ground.

[tikay]

Steve McLaren has left the building......


http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/35736581

[TightEnd]

Steve McLaren has left the building......


http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/35736581

We have 2 x£10 losers to take tomorrow. Alex Neil and, er, Quique Flores

[TightEnd]

a Next Newcastle Manager market onsite after confirmation of McClaren's exit. http://btfr.co/Newcaslte 

Benitez 1.03 for the hard-core

[BigAdz]

- the champion hurdle. i am going to ask again for e/w ideas, as it screams out for them.

Nichols Canyon has won 5 x gp 1's and beaten the third favourite twice yet its the same price. why?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/champion-hurdle/winner

- anything else that stands out?

I guess the biggest factor is that mulins has shown little confidence in him to get the job done by putting annie power in there.

Cheltenham is also very different to irish courses through the winter, so the form doesnt always stack up (especially in different ground). Just have to look at how artic fire benefited from the cheltenham run in to comfortably beat hurricane fly last year, despite getting nowhere near in countless races all season.

Also he was a good thing as a novice, his only defeat in a completed run was when favourite for the neptune last year.

Think hendersons runners are the value, but the prices arent going to change alot so will wait to see the ground.

If the ground went good, I would be very keen to back Hargam ew.

It seems he has never got the true Good ground they insist he needs, and even in the soft of the Triumph last year, he ran a belter.

In the two prep racecourse gallops with MTOY, the Tent breezed past him in the first one. In the second one I thought he had to be rousted a little more to get upsides. Add to that, I imagine AP weighs a lot more than Bazza these days, and they seemed to have the same cloth/saddle etc when I saw them being unsaddled.

Hendo, has always insisted Hargam needs masses of work too, so these gallops must all be helping.

To go back a step, I always felt Annie P was a two miler,and it was only because The Fly and then The Machine were around she never got a true chance at the distance.

I have done a wedge backing Faugheen, so it wont be a profitable race for me, but I think its a great conundrum now, and although not a classic, it will be bloody interesting.

[horseplayer]

Think fair to say anything "could" win the champion now even though the heavy odds on fav is out I would argue it is now a much worse betting race than it was (previously a very good each way shape).

As per racing thread I am on Nichols for a decent amount for me, not bothered about the negative vibes as always are with him. Just hope the run last time has left the system.

I couldn't back him again at current price but would not be amazed if he drifts again by race time in which case i won't be able to resist.

[horseplayer]

Hills have just announced they will be best price or joint best price between now and Cheltenham and also until 1pm everyday.

Going to be very hard to have too many "bad" bets next week at Cheltenham, especially on the Tuesday thread if it can should be unloading the truck on the opening day.

[exstream]

ladbrokes money back if finishes 2nd on c4 races during chelt too

[TightEnd]

CheltenhamRacecourse ‏@CheltenhamRaces now

Forecast is looking good for next week, with little/no rain between now and Tuesday and temperatures of around 8 degrees. The going is SOFT.

[horseplayer]

Ill do an offers thread probably Sunday night again

[horseplayer]

Bear in mind Hills are the only major firm not yet NRNB on all races which is pretty shameful

[tikay]

Ill do an offers thread probably Sunday night again

Thanks John, that would make a lot of sense, especially for those who don't peruse Fred, & anyway, it gets lost in all the coming & going.

[BigAdz]

No Moon Racer in The Supreme.   SHOCK!!!

[hhyftrftdr]

Thoughts on West Ham away at Man United in the FA Cup this Sunday?

West Ham have a cracking away record, with notable scalps at Arsenal, City, Liverpool in the league, and a great comeback at Everton just last weekend, so momentum and confidence should be flowing after 3 victories on the bounce. Payet is back and very dangerous, and a couple other players like Reid and Valencia are in contention after injury. Bilic is taking the comp very seriously by all accounts.

On the contrary, united have a well documented injury list, and have just played 90 minutes last night so won't be as fresh as the Hammers. Their form in general is very hit and miss, and O/T is so far removed from the intimidating fortress it once was. And they have Fellaini.

WHU to win is a general 3/1, but Betfair and BV are 16/5....http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/man-utd-v-west-ham/winner

DNB is 2/1 with Hills.....http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/man-utd-v-west-ham/draw-no-bet

[Doobs]

Bear in mind Hills are the only major firm not yet NRNB on all races which is pretty shameful

Hills are a fifth first 3 in races where everyone else is a quarter.  Am all over Annie Power.  Hard to see the Gold Cup having 5 horses at 11/2 or less on Friday morning.