Tips for Tikay

[bergeroo]

New Zealand spinner as Leigh Kasperek top tournament wicket taker 20/1 Betfair sports book, EW top 4 places. Recommend EW bet.

Another wicket in her second match for Kasperek puts her on 3 with five others, all sitting behind Anam Amin's five wickets so far...

Never thought I'd be setting my alarm to watch ladies cricket! Big game vs Australia tomorrow

[JohnCharver]

A point of possible interest for the Curragh. Of the big trainers in the last five seasons Dermot Weld has the best A/E return (1.02). A smaller trainer though well respected is Paul Deegan his A/E return for March and April last 5 seasons is 1.33 comfortably top of anyone with a sample size worth looking at.

He is in better form than the initial form figures look as well, 1 from his last 7 runners but 2nds at 7/1 and 7/2 creditable runs from two 33s shots and a very unlucky third at Dundalk Friday night at 14s (after missing the start and being stopped twice in the run).

He has 5 runners in the opening meeting at the Curragh today.

Corail in a listed fillies event (up against it on form)

Sruthan Aussie Valentine in the irish lincoln (both been nibbled already usual hard race to win obviously)

Okra and Eight and Bob in the maiden that ends the card (both be any price both newcomers)

Not suggesting backing any of them as not done the races to any degree just putting it out there.

a 1,2 for Deegan in the Irish Lincoln

Great pointer cheers.

[TheDazzler]

Clear favourite for the ESC, 2-1 shot.

Should we be backing it? It looks to tick a few Eurovision boxes.

[Tal]

One decisive game out of the four in Moscow, which is a familiar theme. I expected it to be a draw-heavy tournament and so it is proving. Nakamura - the joint favourite for the title - lost his third game of the tournament (this time to the other favourite, Caruana) and is all but out now, with 6 rounds still to play. Karjakin drew when he should have won and then could have lost against the cricket-loving Russian, Peter Svidler. Aronian had a steady draw with the immovable Giri.

Our man had the better of the game against Topalov but couldn't break through to seal the full point. Tiny margins in these games, as you'd expect.



Anand is joint third with Caruana now, half a point behind Karjakin and Aronian. He plays all three in his next three games.

[bergeroo]

Womens T20 World Cup on obscure bookies alert!

I have a bet to recommend for the NZ v Aus ladies match tomorrow morning. Pretty sure fred can't get on but maybe someone else wants to follow me in.

Sophie Devine top NZ runscorer 11/2. Available on 32red/Unibet/888

Captain and opener Susie Bates is favourite in the market and can make a big score. But Devine  is also capable of quick big scores and made 47 off 34 balls vs Ireland. I believe she should be second favourite in the market but is priced up fifth. Previously she did bat further down the order but she has batted at three in both games so far in the tournament and one of the warm ups

The fact that NZ play favourites Australia is prob to our benefit as they are more likely to run through the order rather than there be a long opening partnership

Market not on oddschecker and I don't know if I should post direct links to bookies websites but I'm sure you can find it.

Suggest a small bet just in case she drops down to bat at 5 again (not that you can probably get much on anyway!) -though I'm not sure why she would after a good knock in the last game

[Rod Paradise]

Getting 5/1 on Devine on Bet365.

[TightEnd]

no bets completed yesterday

Kane goes into the lead for our top english goalscorer bet





and





meanwhile in the north east, i think this is quite a photo

the spectator obviously has sunderland to go down too





no luck for our Aguero bet yesterday

[DungBeetle]

Thanks guys! A profit of £93.75 for me personally this weekend. Obviously it depends which bets you got on though.

Some worked great, some really didn't. In terms of the race, things were largely skewed by the timing of the red flag. Great race though!

Many thanks Peter, Vettel to lead after the first lap was my personal fave! 

Well done Peter.  I would be interested for your thoughts on who was helped the most by the red flag (Grosjean presumably) and who was hampered just to interpret how the spread prices have moved for constructors.

[TightEnd]

Thanks guys! A profit of £93.75 for me personally this weekend. Obviously it depends which bets you got on though.

Some worked great, some really didn't. In terms of the race, things were largely skewed by the timing of the red flag. Great race though!

Many thanks Peter, Vettel to lead after the first lap was my personal fave! 

Well done Peter.  I would be interested for your thoughts on who was helped the most by the red flag (Grosjean presumably) and who was hampered just to interpret how the spread prices have moved for constructors.

i would like a view on toro rosso please

to corroborate or otherwise the following

my view was

qualified 5th and 6th and ran that before the red flag. hamilton could not get past verstappen

after the red flag they (inexplicably?) kept softs on like ferrari did, when the clear call looked to be mediums and not stop again. perhaps thats too simplistic.

they then bungled their pit stop strategy bringing sainz in before verstappen, despite him being behind

they then botched verstappen's stop

the combination of this put verstappen behind sainz and both behind haas/hulk/bott and one other i forget. palmer maybe

so the net result was that the toro rosso's finished 9th and 10th where if they had one stopped they would/could have finished 5th-6th (certainly ahead of the haas 6th+ gaggle of cars) behind merc x 2, vettel and daniel ricc.

Meanwhile Max was behaving like my 18 year old when he's woken up to go to college. Only my 18 year old isn't stropping moodily when he's driving at 200mph

i think (correct me if i am wrong) that the 2015 ferrari unit in the back of the car this year makes them very competitive in the early races because it adds up to a second in lap time, but they will get swallowed up later in the season as others develop and they are limited in the tokens they can spend on a 2015 power unit

i know (because i backed it and lost) that max was 7/4 top six finish for melbourne and think if we see similar for bahrain its another bet. Or not?

How this all reflects or should reflects in speads for the season i don't know.

[DungBeetle]

Thanks guys! A profit of £93.75 for me personally this weekend. Obviously it depends which bets you got on though.

Some worked great, some really didn't. In terms of the race, things were largely skewed by the timing of the red flag. Great race though!

Many thanks Peter, Vettel to lead after the first lap was my personal fave! 

Well done Peter.  I would be interested for your thoughts on who was helped the most by the red flag (Grosjean presumably) and who was hampered just to interpret how the spread prices have moved for constructors.

i would like a view on toro rosso please

to corroborate or otherwise the following

my view was

qualified 5th and 6th and ran that before the red flag. hamilton could not get past verstappen

after the red flag they (inexplicably?) kept softs on like ferrari did, when the clear call looked to be mediums and not stop again. perhaps thats too simplistic.

they then bungled their pit stop strategy bringing sainz in before verstappen, despite him being behind

they then botched verstappen's stop

the combination of this put verstappen behind sainz and both behind haas/hulk/bott and one other i forget. palmer maybe

so the net result was that the toro rosso's finished 9th and 10th where if they had one stopped they would/could have finished 5th-6th (certainly ahead of the haas 6th+ gaggle of cars) behind merc x 2, vettel and daniel ricc.

Meanwhile Max was behaving like my 18 year old when he's woken up to go to college. Only my 18 year old isn't stropping moodily when he's driving at 200mph

i think (correct me if i am wrong) that the 2015 ferrari unit in the back of the car this year makes them very competitive in the early races because it adds up to a second in lap time, but they will get swallowed up later in the season as others develop and they are limited in the tokens they can spend on a 2015 power unit

i know (because i backed it and lost) that max was 7/4 top six finish for melbourne and think if we see similar for bahrain its another bet. Or not?

How this all reflects or should reflects in speads for the season i don't know.

Toros were given an upgrade by the spreads whilst force India were savaged.  Force India is actually suspended as well but think this is due to financial concerns surrounding the owner?  Renault were also chopped in half although I didn't think they looked too bad over the whole race weekend (got to Q2 and ran okay at times during race)

[horseplayer]

Lord Peter of Motorsport

Well done again Pete only just caught up

[DropTheHammer]

New Zealand spinner as Leigh Kasperek top tournament wicket taker 20/1 Betfair sports book, EW top 4 places. Recommend EW bet.

Another wicket in her second match for Kasperek puts her on 3 with five others, all sitting behind Anam Amin's five wickets so far...

New Zealand are bowling at a capitulating Australia right now, Kasperek got all three of the first wickets. Aus were 7-4 (thats runs/wickets - the English way)

[bergeroo]

Watching a stream of Indian TV, the adverts are killing me!

Aus collapse great for the Kasparek bet as she is certain to get at least an extra match if NZ win and is also now on top of the rankings with six wickets in three matches
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/icc-womens-world-twenty20-2016/engine/records/bowling/most_wickets_career.html?id=10293;type=tournament

 Bad for my Devine bet though as if Aus are out for peanuts then NZ won't need to bat down the order...

New Zealand spinner as Leigh Kasperek top tournament wicket taker 20/1 Betfair sports book, EW top 4 places. Recommend EW bet.

Another wicket in her second match for Kasperek puts her on 3 with five others, all sitting behind Anam Amin's five wickets so far...

New Zealand are bowling at a capitulating Australia right now, Kasperek got all three of the first wickets. Aus were 7-4 (thats runs/wickets - the English way)

[DropTheHammer]

Well, Devine is in at number 3 so you can't ask more than that, it's just she'll need to score all the required 30 herself to win the bet!

[Rod Paradise]

Well, Devine is in at number 3 so you can't ask more than that, it's just she'll need to score all the required 30 herself to win the bet!

Just gone, caught...