poker news
blondepedia
card room
tournament schedule
uk results
galleries
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
June 26, 2024, 11:14:01 AM
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Search:
Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2273483
Posts in
66760
Topics by
16723
Members
Latest Member:
callpri
blonde poker forum
Community Forums
Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
...
7897
7898
7899
7900
[
7901
]
7902
7903
7904
7905
...
9208
Author
Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13642335 times)
DungBeetle
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4936
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118500 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:24:37 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on June 13, 2016, 01:50:58 PM
Quote from: DungBeetle on June 13, 2016, 01:43:15 PM
Quote from: Weetabix on June 13, 2016, 01:31:16 PM
Arbboy- If you use the meeting in Rome as a guide you have a valid point, Raonic11/10 Kyrgios 8/11. Any match on clay between the two and Kyrgios should always be a strong fav as the serve has less of a say where as grass is so tough to recover a break. The Rome prices were way out as all things level you have a super talented player v a very limited player compared to his opponent. You know what you get with Raonic, so the question you have to ask yourself, which side of the bed will Kyrgios step out of tomorrow.
To fair Kyrgios has a great serve of his own effective across all surfaces.
In 2016
Kyrgios 356 aces from 31 matches
Raonic 346 aces from 34 matches
I agree Kyrgios is the better player once you take the serve out so I'd want to be with the Aussie on this one all things being equal. But then it will probably be decided on tiebreaks so it's gonna come down to a few key points.
Serving on grass is way more than just serving aces though. Pretty crude basic stat to use to compare them. The aussie is a marginal fav to win Wimbledon on bf over Raonic on the betfair market so maybe the price is close to being right. Just feels wrong to me.
True - I was just countering the idea that Raonic has a great serve and Kyrgios doesn't. As far as the match goes, as soon as it is in a rally Kyrgios is favourite to take the point for me. I do agree though that mentally Raonic is stronger. Kyrgios also won last 3 meetings across grass, hard and clay.
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118501 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:32:41 PM »
Quote from: DungBeetle on June 13, 2016, 02:24:37 PM
Quote from: arbboy on June 13, 2016, 01:50:58 PM
Quote from: DungBeetle on June 13, 2016, 01:43:15 PM
Quote from: Weetabix on June 13, 2016, 01:31:16 PM
Arbboy- If you use the meeting in Rome as a guide you have a valid point, Raonic11/10 Kyrgios 8/11. Any match on clay between the two and Kyrgios should always be a strong fav as the serve has less of a say where as grass is so tough to recover a break. The Rome prices were way out as all things level you have a super talented player v a very limited player compared to his opponent. You know what you get with Raonic, so the question you have to ask yourself, which side of the bed will Kyrgios step out of tomorrow.
To fair Kyrgios has a great serve of his own effective across all surfaces.
In 2016
Kyrgios 356 aces from 31 matches
Raonic 346 aces from 34 matches
I agree Kyrgios is the better player once you take the serve out so I'd want to be with the Aussie on this one all things being equal. But then it will probably be decided on tiebreaks so it's gonna come down to a few key points.
Serving on grass is way more than just serving aces though. Pretty crude basic stat to use to compare them. The aussie is a marginal fav to win Wimbledon on bf over Raonic on the betfair market so maybe the price is close to being right. Just feels wrong to me.
True - I was just countering the idea that Raonic has a great serve and Kyrgios doesn't. As far as the match goes, as soon as it is in a rally Kyrgios is favourite to take the point for me. I do agree though that mentally Raonic is stronger. Kyrgios also won last 3 meetings across grass, hard and clay.
John Mac in his corner now as coach for Raonic. Wonder what has made Mac suddenly enter the coaching world now given he has big TV deals locked up for as long as he wants for all the major stations globally.
Logged
baldock92
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1073
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118502 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM »
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Logged
Feed em rice.
rinswun
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1319
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118503 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM »
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Logged
Free Golf Tips -
www.fairwaywedge.com
@fairwaywedge
baldock92
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1073
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118504 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM »
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
Logged
Feed em rice.
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16608
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118505 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:53:32 PM »
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
Will just add that you shouldn't make the mistake of taking a fifth first 7 and assuming it is better than quarter first 6. It isn't.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
sonour
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118506 on:
June 13, 2016, 02:56:56 PM »
Quote from: DMorgan on June 13, 2016, 02:10:39 PM
If you can get 3.3 then yeah for sure, can't find it on oddschecker though
Best price is 2.3 with PP
Logged
BigAdz
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118507 on:
June 13, 2016, 03:22:31 PM »
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
I love Matty but isn't this course supposed to be a monster? Not done any work on it so far, but if it is, just feels like he may struggle vs the big big hitters.
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
rinswun
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1319
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118508 on:
June 13, 2016, 03:30:49 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on June 13, 2016, 03:22:31 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
I love Matty but isn't this course supposed to be a monster? Not done any work on it so far, but if it is, just feels like he may struggle vs the big big hitters.
7,200 odd yards. Bombers may have a slight advantage but really it's going to take someone who knows their misses rather than someone who just smashes it off the tee. Sensible course management and a ton of luck required.
Logged
Free Golf Tips -
www.fairwaywedge.com
@fairwaywedge
doubleup
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 7068
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118509 on:
June 13, 2016, 04:27:10 PM »
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 03:30:49 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on June 13, 2016, 03:22:31 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
I love Matty but isn't this course supposed to be a monster? Not done any work on it so far, but if it is, just feels like he may struggle vs the big big hitters.
7,200 odd yards. Bombers may have a slight advantage but really it's going to take someone who knows their misses rather than someone who just smashes it off the tee. Sensible course management and a
ton of luck required
.
Think the luck is key, not sure its a great betting heat at all.
The weather forecast seems to indicate a bit of rain on Thursday/Friday that should be to the advantage of the big hitters. But the weekend is meant to be dry and hot and if the course dries out that will be a great leveller.
Logged
sonour
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118510 on:
June 13, 2016, 04:35:08 PM »
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 03:30:49 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on June 13, 2016, 03:22:31 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:50:30 PM
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: baldock92 on June 13, 2016, 02:36:01 PM
Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?
Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.
Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.
I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.
I love Matty but isn't this course supposed to be a monster? Not done any work on it so far, but if it is, just feels like he may struggle vs the big big hitters.
7,200 odd yards. Bombers may have a slight advantage but really it's going to take someone who knows their misses rather than someone who just smashes it off the tee. Sensible course management and a ton of luck required.
7,200 yards not particularly long by modern standards.
Logged
rinswun
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1319
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118511 on:
June 13, 2016, 04:39:38 PM »
No, pretty much average.
I've backed a few for small stakes at big prices. KT Kim, Andrew Johnston, Jon Rahm, Aaron Wise.
Logged
Free Golf Tips -
www.fairwaywedge.com
@fairwaywedge
doubleup
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 7068
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118512 on:
June 13, 2016, 05:01:53 PM »
Legend has it that Trevino would offer a bet to any comers -- from fellow elite professionals to spirited members. He would play his own ball from the back tees. His opponent would only have to bring a putter for the journey, as Trevino would allow him to count every green in regulation. But here's the literal rub of the green: Trevino was able to place the opponent's ball any place on each putting surface that he chose. Lowest score would win the match.
And that same legend has it that Trevino never lost.
http://www.espn.co.uk/golf/usopen15/story/_/id/16110891/pain-name-game-oakmont-116th-us-open
Logged
BigAdz
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118513 on:
June 13, 2016, 05:06:51 PM »
Quote from: rinswun on June 13, 2016, 04:39:38 PM
No, pretty much average.
I've backed a few for small stakes at big prices. KT Kim, Andrew Johnston, Jon Rahm, Aaron Wise.
Just looked at the last Oakmont Open. Hard to believe the first round leader was Nick Dougherty. Must have been the beginning of the end!
Bubba was up there all the way, as were Furyk, Casey and Rose, of those names still competing. The winning score was +5. That sort of score has me instantly thinking its Speith territory. Hardly exciting, but I am still convinced
will just blow one of these away one day.
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118514 on:
June 13, 2016, 05:20:53 PM »
i do think a) accuracy off the tee (and then putting it on the right part of the green) and b) putting and scrambling are huge, from everything i read, more than pure length
if the set up is tough, whislt it might not be much of a betting heat i am sure we can stick the tail on a few long priced donkeys and allow variance to do its thing
Kevin Chappell and Kevin Kisner were on my shortlist, particularly Chappell at 100-1
of the big boys anything that favours strategy and putting has to favour Speith, surely
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Pages:
1
...
7897
7898
7899
7900
[
7901
]
7902
7903
7904
7905
...
9208
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Poker Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Rail
===> past blonde Bashes
===> Best of blonde
=> Diaries and Blogs
=> Live Tournament Updates
=> Live poker
===> Live Tournament Staking
=> Internet Poker
===> Online Tournament Staking
=> Poker Hand Analysis
===> Learning Centre
-----------------------------
Community Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Lounge
=> Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Loading...