Every so often bookies price up something that they've never priced before and that they have no idea about.
FPL betting from Corals.
http://sports.coral.co.uk/footballCorals have obviously gotten their office FPL whizz to price it up this year and they don't know what they are doing.
I could go into a long detailed post about why keepers are a very distinct scoring category but basically it comes down to the fact that the 'big four' keepers aren't very far ahead (if at all) of lower ranked teams keepers.
Last year Cech was the top scoring keeper and that is the first time I think in the 12 years I'm playing a top four keeper has won it.
The top keepers make their points from clean sheets and the lower keepers are able to keep pace by getting higher 'save points', bonus points, penalty saves and the fact that they only lose 1 point for every 2 goals conceded.
So you want a keeper who will play every game, whose team will keep ~10+ clean sheets (Cech kept 16 last year), makes a lot of saves and will hopefully save a couple of penalties (big point scores from this).
Gomes (Watford) fnished a very close 2nd last year but is priced up at 20/1 for some reason. He kept 11 clean sheets and saved 3 pens. He has an excellent record on pens, saving 13 of 46.
Adrian (West Ham) finished 8th, some way off the pace but he did miss 6 matches through injury. He kept 9 clean sheets and I think we might expect that to improve. He has saved 5 pens in the last 2 seasons. Available at 18/1.
I won't put anyone off Heaton who scored 150 pts two years ago (would have finished 3rd last year) @ 33/1. He kept 10 clean sheets that year, saving 2 pens, and they should set up similarly defensively this year.
Foster (33/1), Valdes (40/1) and Mandanda (25/1) could also be in with a shout.
Nathan Redmond is available @ 125/1 to be top midfielder and could be worth a small e/w wager.
If anyone moves clubs, I think this market will be slow to react and the likes of Berahino/Benteke could be worth a nibble at big prices.
Recommend:
Adrian top goalkeeper @ 18/1 £5 e/w
Gomes top goalkeeper @ 20/1 £5 e/w
Nathan Redmond top midfielder @ 125/1 £2.50 e/w
I know TFT doesn't have Corals so I can offer the above if Fred wants.
Author