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horseplayer
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« Reply #123150 on: October 31, 2016, 05:59:46 PM » |
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Can't really post the breeders stuff as luckily got another gig doing a preview for a paid for site (not that kind)
Apologies
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Doobs
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« Reply #123151 on: October 31, 2016, 06:06:18 PM » |
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I never get the race even close to correct
However as we know getting five places makes any bets almost certainly good ones
If anyone lucky enough to have a sky ac they are 6 places
Some of the price adjustments for uk horses are horrific though. Eg big orange is 13/1 on the exchange but 8/1 with many of the bookies. Maybe I'll try and suss out the Australians. Hartnell is an old thread favourite. Sure I put him up a couple of times anyway. I was a bit oblivious to what had happened to him until earlier today. |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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horseplayer
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« Reply #123152 on: October 31, 2016, 06:08:56 PM » |
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I never get the race even close to correct
However as we know getting five places makes any bets almost certainly good ones
If anyone lucky enough to have a sky ac they are 6 places
Some of the price adjustments for uk horses are horrific though. Eg big orange is 13/1 on the exchange but 8/1 with many of the bookies. Maybe I'll try and suss out the Australians. Hartnell is an old thread favourite. Sure I put him up a couple of times anyway. I was a bit oblivious to what had happened to him until earlier today.y Must say was shocked he is fav but lots of pundits are saying it is a weak renewal (big orange surely to slow to win a race that is usually a sprint finish?) |
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Doobs
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« Reply #123153 on: October 31, 2016, 06:55:17 PM » |
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I never get the race even close to correct
However as we know getting five places makes any bets almost certainly good ones
If anyone lucky enough to have a sky ac they are 6 places
Some of the price adjustments for uk horses are horrific though. Eg big orange is 13/1 on the exchange but 8/1 with many of the bookies. Maybe I'll try and suss out the Australians. Hartnell is an old thread favourite. Sure I put him up a couple of times anyway. I was a bit oblivious to what had happened to him until earlier today.y Must say was shocked he is fav but lots of pundits are saying it is a weak renewal (big orange surely to slow to win a race that is usually a sprint finish?) Hartnell was very much a stayer/plodder last year. He must surely have improved a lot though (yet to watch any videos). |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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4KSuited
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« Reply #123154 on: October 31, 2016, 07:04:30 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #123156 on: October 31, 2016, 07:55:58 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #123157 on: October 31, 2016, 07:58:45 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. Did you miss Last years renewal Aaron? He tried to make all then. Guess you also missed his rides on the same horse this season and last to mention it. I will take 1/2 he is in the front 5 runners after 2 furlongs if you fancy it Aaron? |
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4KSuited
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« Reply #123158 on: October 31, 2016, 08:07:52 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. Funnily enough, he does indeed take some his mounts to the front. He's as good a judge of pace as Dettori, and I just wish he'd do it more often so that he gave his horses more of a chance. |
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aaron1867
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« Reply #123159 on: October 31, 2016, 08:32:49 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. Did you miss Last years renewal Aaron? He tried to make all then. Guess you also missed his rides on the same horse this season and last to mention it. I will take 1/2 he is in the front 5 runners after 2 furlongs if you fancy it Aaron? This isn't about putting money where my mouth is, but instead frustration that he goes from the back 9/10 times. He's often finishing 2nd by half a length. |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #123160 on: October 31, 2016, 08:34:55 PM » |
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Gamblers fallacy
Plenty like the jocks who make a move 3 out get to the front give you a shout but that doesn't work just as much as a judge of pace as spencer
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doubleup
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« Reply #123161 on: October 31, 2016, 08:35:50 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. Funnily enough, he does indeed take some his mounts to the front. He's as good a judge of pace as Dettori, and I just wish he'd do it more often so that he gave his horses more of a chance. lol system of the day jockey not = JP Spencer last time out jockey = JP Spencer last time out finishing position = last Runs 233 Wins 18 (7.7%) £1 Win BSP £154.18 (66.2% ROI) |
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4KSuited
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« Reply #123162 on: October 31, 2016, 08:51:59 PM » |
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Big Orange has apparently made the long trip with no major ill effects according to Michael Bell. Drawn 7, the horse has a decent chance (imo) if Spencer takes up the running - or at least runs close to the pace before taking it up 4f from home.
At 12/1 (evryday) 1/4 even for just 4 places I think this is a decent bet.
I'm already on at this price. I can place another bet for Fred if wanted.
Surely you've just not said "If spencer takes up the running", we all know he's always at the back regardless of horse or race. Funnily enough, he does indeed take some his mounts to the front. He's as good a judge of pace as Dettori, and I just wish he'd do it more often so that he gave his horses more of a chance. lol system of the day jockey not = JP Spencer last time out jockey = JP Spencer last time out finishing position = last Runs 233 Wins 18 (7.7%) £1 Win BSP £154.18 (66.2% ROI) I'm just trying to make a contribution to this board, and if I'm not mistaken I'm being mocked. I have no problem if you disagree with my point of view, but there's no need for that. I'll retreat to a safer position now. Thanks |
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Marky147
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« Reply #123163 on: October 31, 2016, 08:59:09 PM » |
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Don't think doubleup was taking the piss, unless I've got the wrong end of the stick.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #123164 on: October 31, 2016, 09:56:10 PM » |
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Don't think doubleup was taking the piss, unless I've got the wrong end of the stick.
I'm still trying to figure out the deep meaning of his last post but rest assured you would be in no doubt if he was having a dig. |
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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