Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Hi Doobs, my initial thought was Sivananco looks big price at 15/2

Seems about right to me.  Horse is a bit up and down and is probably on the slide.  But this may be its target, guess they won't want to bottom Cue Card on heavy ground if it looks like getting beat.  Long season and all that.  I have just done the 7/4 with Hills because I think I still get the offer.   Think this and a lot of the card is just for watching today.

Would have loved to have got Irish Cavalier with 3 places.

The William hill offer
If I'm reading it correctly, only applies now if the winner wins by 5 lengths+ right?
If race is won less than 5 lengths neither offer will apply
Still good?

I had no idea it had changed.  

I haven't really got much of an idea how often races are won by more than 5 lengths, but suspect races like this are going to be more likely than handicaps.  Heavy ground is going to make distances bigger too.  

My intstinct is this must be generally worse than the previous offer, but today's race will likely be as good as any for the offer.  Assuming we get the 6 runners anyway.

Edit b365 are 2/1 cue card and 18/1 Irish Cavalier.  They were both beating bf just now.  And will get BOG on top too.  Crazy.

365 are betting to a 100% book in the betfair chase with best odds guaranteed and if you pick a winner at greater than 4/1 you get a risk free bet in the next race. 

Those on the nit thread should be filling their boots.

[Doobs]

I am lucky, I must check my history got to be some drunk punting somewhere.

OK £25e/w Westren Warrior 2.25 Haydock for Fred

Thanks David, BOOKED.


BET PLACED

This was an unlucky 5th earlier.  Keep them coming.  Cue Card too good.   Good luck those on Thistlecrack.

[Cavey007]

Cue Card was brilliant. Never in doubt. Paddy had it on offer at 9/4 last night. So nice win there

[Woodsey]

NZ -16 V Ireland?

Can't help but think NZ are going for an all out thumping after losing to them in a 'friendly' the other week.

[The Camel]

What was the non league team Pads tipped at the start of the season?

[exstream]

What was the non league team Pads tipped at the start of the season?

Shields I think

[The Camel]

What was the non league team Pads tipped at the start of the season?

Shields I think

Which league? I can't find it!

[Weetabix]

If it's South Shields it will probably be the Northern prem league 1, or 2. That's what the league was called many years ago, the nightmare away trips to places like stanley and crook town where you feared for your life when taking a corner kick.

[exstream]

shields played Seaham yesterday who were one of the better teams in the league last year and destroyed them. Seam scored 2 worldies but could have been 7 or 8-0 to Shields by all accounts.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tL3HmN6b0M8

Not sure if odds are up yet, but if Shields aren't favourites we should definitely lump. Again they were promoted last season so the bookies may not factor this in the odds, they battered a Scottish team in pre season friendly and were 8-1 pre game.

This?

[exstream]

Can't find any odds yet, but sSouth Shields should crush Northern League division 1 this year. They strolled division 2 last year and have a very very rich chairman and id say their budget is 10x average team in the league. They are signing playing from 2-3 leagues above and looking to become a league club ASAP. If they are outside of the top 2 favourites id suggest big bet

Yeah

[Cavey007]

North Shields top on 55. South Shields second on 47 with 2 games in hand

http://www.northernleague.org if that's the info he was after

[The Camel]

Thanks ex!

[Weetabix]

Any of the Tennis guys taking on djokovic tonight (I won't be one of them). I would say nishikori to win the first set at 13/5 would be the better option over the 7/2 to win the match(for those taking djoko on)  He has looked spent in both final sets in his previous two matches including last nights loss, its crucial in my opinion for him to win the first set.  He really should have thrown the match last night to give himself the best possible chance tonight, the 200k on offer last night is pocket change to Kei.

[Cavey007]

Would like to put up Delanie Walker anytime for the Titans tomorrow against the Colts. The Titans are the form team of the league at the moment scoring 47,35,36 and 26 in the last four games. The 26 was at home to the Colts where Delanie Walker scored. He's their main red zone target and sits on 5 Tds for the season (3 in the last 4) The Colts themselves are useless on defence and are 2nd worst in the league giving up receptions to tight ends.

It should be the the highest scoring match of the weekend and for me there's 3 to choose from the Titans. Demarco Murray, Delanie Walker and Rishard Matthews. Personally I think Murray will score. And Walker, for me is the more reliable of the pass catchers. Matthews is actually 9/4 on Bills fair bit lower elsewhere so could also be worth a look.

I'd like to recommend Delanie Walker available at 2/1 On willHill which I believe you can get on? £20 on there please. Although Matthews may be worth a look too if Tighty wants to give an opinion then that's fine

[exstream]

In form Barney to smash Anderson tonight