Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

Gutsy run from Buick there.

Rock solid dog been there done it verses a talking horse with a lot still to prove.  Bluebird went off odds on! on betfair on the off for decent money.  SP 5/4.

[TightEnd]

Cricket

NZ v Pak 2nd test Hamilton begins Friday 9.30pm

on a very seam friendly pitch in the first test in Christchurch NZ bowled Pak out for 133 and won by 8 wickets

here is the pitch for Friday. cricket, not crown green bowling, apparently

Click to see full-size image.

Misbah top scored for Pak in christchurch but misses this test

most of the grass is expected to stay on to minimise the threat of Yasir Shah

NZ Wicketkeeper Watling ""It can swing when it's overcast. I'm hoping it doesn't spin too much because Yasir Shah is a world-class bowler, and we really don't want to bring him into the game too much." "

NZ are 5/4. If they were to win the toss they are immediately odds on. Lose the toss and at worst are fair value as their attack of Boult/Southee and the dibbly dobblers really suit the conditions. Doesn't really suit Amir and the Pak top order dislikes the moving ball...

from a local report

"the cloud cover and rain expected for the first three days of the match may also prevent the track from drying out as much as Pakistan and Yasir would like."

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-pakistan/2nd-test/winner

Rec £40 NZ 5/4 Coral

[tikay]

Cricket

NZ v Pak 2nd test Hamilton begins Friday 9.30pm

on a very seam friendly pitch in the first test in Christchurch NZ bowled Pak out for 133 and won by 8 wickets

here is the pitch for Friday. cricket, not crown green bowling, apparently

Click to see full-size image.

Misbah top scored for Pak in christchurch but misses this test

most of the grass is expected to stay on to minimise the threat of Yasir Shah

NZ Wicketkeeper Watling ""It can swing when it's overcast. I'm hoping it doesn't spin too much because Yasir Shah is a world-class bowler, and we really don't want to bring him into the game too much." "

NZ are 5/4. If they were to win the toss they are immediately odds on. Lose the toss and at worst are fair value as their attack of Boult/Southee and the dibbly dobblers really suit the conditions. Doesn't really suit Amir and the Pak top order dislikes the moving ball...

from a local report

"the cloud cover and rain expected for the first three days of the match may also prevent the track from drying out as much as Pakistan and Yasir would like."

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-pakistan/2nd-test/winner

Rec £40 NZ 5/4 Coral

Go ahead please Rich, it will be fun watching those "dibbly dobblers", whatever they are.

[TightEnd]

New Zealand New Zealand v Pakistan [2nd Test] Winner
5/4
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £90.00


dibbly-dobblers...medium pace swing bowlers. very hittable on flat tracks, take wickets on green ones

[bergeroo]

Full strength Warriors available tonight vs Lakers with injury problems who played last night. 1.08 with Betwhey for those who like a short one and can get in quick...
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-golden-state-warriors/winner

Spread is 17 points. Best 1.04 on machine says oddschecker

[T_Mar]

Full strength Warriors available tonight vs Lakers with injury problems who played last night. 1.08 with Betwhey for those who like a short one and can get in quick...
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-golden-state-warriors/winner

Spread is 17 points. Best 1.04 on machine says oddschecker

Maybe a question for Arbboy but do you have a view on line for GSW regular season wins? They were betting 1.2 before season started under 73.5. I know nothing about Basketball but doubled it up with some season long footy bets on back of Arb post on here - Think they've lost 2 so far ?

cant see a price for it now anywhere mown...Any views?

[Karabiner]

This is somewhat subjective and one of my hobby-horses but Alex Iwobi fgs v PSG this evening is well overpriced chez Betty.

COYG

[arbboy]

Full strength Warriors available tonight vs Lakers with injury problems who played last night. 1.08 with Betwhey for those who like a short one and can get in quick...
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-golden-state-warriors/winner

Spread is 17 points. Best 1.04 on machine says oddschecker

Maybe a question for Arbboy but do you have a view on line for GSW regular season wins? They were betting 1.2 before season started under 73.5. I know nothing about Basketball but doubled it up with some season long footy bets on back of Arb post on here - Think they've lost 2 so far ?

cant see a price for it now anywhere mown...Any views?

1.2 is cracking value and virtually weighed in already.  There is literally no chance they only lose 8 games all season having lost 2 already.  They will have the number 1 seed in the Western Conference locked up quicker than last season as well when the spurs went 67-15 (maybe the best record in history that wasn't the best record of the season) so they will be able to rest players earlier on back to backs etc.  They learnt last year that 73 wins doesn't gtd you a title so expect them this year to not really focus on a huge win total at all.

FWIW the vegas line for their regular season wins went off around the 66.5 mark i think.

[mondatoo]

Clearly Newcastle crushing right now but pretty surprised at the odds for the Cup game vs Hull. I know they're a pretty weak Premier League side but still.

Hull to qualify at 5/4 with Stanjames, 6/5 in many places seems a good bet to me, above evens seems big to this ice cream.

12/5 Hull to win also seems value. Maybe the pro's can advise better ways to go about it if there's some value to be had.

Maybe I'm just being pessimistic since I'm desperate for a trip to Wembley

[T_Mar]

Full strength Warriors available tonight vs Lakers with injury problems who played last night. 1.08 with Betwhey for those who like a short one and can get in quick...
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-golden-state-warriors/winner

Spread is 17 points. Best 1.04 on machine says oddschecker


[/quote

Maybe a question for Arbboy but do you have a view on line for GSW regular season wins? They were betting 1.2 before season started under 73.5. I know nothing about Basketball but doubled it up with some season long footy bets on back of Arb post on here - Think they've lost 2 so far ?

cant see a price for it now anywhere mown...Any views?

1.2 is cracking value and virtually weighed in already.  There is literally no chance they only lose 8 games all season having lost 2 already.  They will have the number 1 seed in the Western Conference locked up quicker than last season as well when the spurs went 67-15 (maybe the best record in history that wasn't the best record of the season) so they will be able to rest players earlier on back to backs etc.  They learnt last year that 73 wins doesn't gtd you a title so expect them this year to not really focus on a huge win total at all.

FWIW the vegas line for their regular season wins went off around the 66.5 mark i think.

Good stuff, Cheers

[arbboy]

All wide Romford (was the same last night as well on the TV meet) this afternoon.

[Peter-27]

There isn't much value around on the F1 markets at the moment .. Sporting Index have over estimated Williams on the spreads (Bottas @ 85, Massa @ 51) .. in the drivers season points market. However the value is minimal so I'm not formally suggesting it.

[Tal]

If you can get 11/8 on Ed Balls to go tomorrow, I'd advocate a £20 bet.

You're essentially betting on him to finish outside the top two in votes, as he's certain to be bottom of the leaderboard, with two dances (including a cha cha challenge group elimination). This week's tango is camp but he will stomp through it (Satisfaction by the Rolling Stones) and have a Zoolander pout. It'll be fun but won't match last week's routine or (of course) the one before it.

With the stuff in the press, but more the fact there's always a novelty act and the week after Blackpool people tend to be more serious with their votes when there's a quieter week, I get the feeling this might be his time.

If there's a market on Danny's score out there or on top score of the night, please let me know. From the footage, I would set the line on Danny's samba at 39.5. He's Ramprakash good at the samba. Yes, I actually just said that. I've never seen knees like it in Strictly.  

[exstream]

So it's saphir du rheu in the Hennessy tomorrow 5 places 1/4 odds with hills?

[Peter-27]

With FP2 completed yesterday, now is the ideal time to place bets ahead of qualifying. The results in FP3 mean absolutely nothing as that session is held at a completely different time of the day to qualifying and the race, providing unrepresentative results due to the effect of track temperatures.

Here are my suggestions:

Race Winner - Nico Rosberg @ 3/1 (various). Deliberated over this one long and hard because Lewis is the driver on form at the moment, and he has the extra motivation of really needing to win this weekend for the title. However, I just can pass up a price of 3/1. Abu Dhabi is one of Nico's stronger circuits, and if he could get in front, he's going to be driving the widest F1 car ever ... there is also the real possibility that Lewis pressures himself too much and makes a mistake. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/abu-dhabi-grand-prix/winner

Podium Finish - Sebastian Vettel @ 15/8 (Stars/Boyles/Hills). While Red Bull have the legs on Ferrari at the moment, Sebastian is a specialist on this circuit. It makes sense here for Ferrari to go with an alternative strategy and so this price is too high. Suggest £20.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/abu-dhabi-grand-prix/top-3-finish

Caught Speeding In Pit Lane During The Race - Romain Grosjean @ 33/1 (SkyBet). Bit of a strange suggestion. Romain has been struggling with his brakes this weekend (all season actually, Haas do have a top ten car, but their drivers quite literally don't know when to brake and how much pressure to apply on a corner-by-corner basis ..) and has locked up a couple of times coming into the pits. Resultantly, 33/1 appears like a good spot.

https://www.skybet.com/formula-1/abu-dhabi-gp/betType/weekend-specials

That's all there is out there at the moment. Results haven't been too great for me over the latter half of this season, and part of the reason for that is because we're coming to the end of the current technical regulations. This means that as teams switch off development on their 2016 cars, the gaps between cars, and the results, are staying extremely static .. effectively making value hard to come by.