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exstream
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« Reply #124590 on: January 04, 2017, 02:53:24 PM » |
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Spurs favourites vs Chelsea
Pffft
meh joint favourites. Looks to be priced about right with Spurs at home? Hull favourites vs Swansea in the FA Cup on Saturday. Hull are at home. The thing in Hull's favour is they can't have enough reserves to switch the whole team, where as Swansea probably do. Guess we are sweating the team news. What prices would it be reversed? |
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Doobs
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« Reply #124591 on: January 04, 2017, 03:06:00 PM » |
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Spurs favourites vs Chelsea
Pffft
meh joint favourites. Looks to be priced about right with Spurs at home? Hull favourites vs Swansea in the FA Cup on Saturday. Hull are at home. The thing in Hull's favour is they can't have enough reserves to switch the whole team, where as Swansea probably do. Guess we are sweating the team news. What prices would it be reversed? ask Arb; he is better than me at this. Something like 1.75/1.8 Chelsea. Chelsea will be about a goal better at home, feels about even away. |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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bergeroo
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« Reply #124592 on: January 04, 2017, 03:34:44 PM » |
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Tennis.
Cibulkova, our lady from Slovakia is through to the quarters. Her opponent from China, Zhang, played an amazing match but just ran out of steam in the final set. Cibulkova actually played quite well so I feel good about the bet. Zhang is one to keep an eye on.
Cibulkova faces unseeded Cornet next. Should be straighforward. The semis is where it should get tough.
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arbboy
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« Reply #124593 on: January 04, 2017, 04:11:11 PM » |
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Spurs favourites vs Chelsea
Pffft
meh joint favourites. Looks to be priced about right with Spurs at home? Hull favourites vs Swansea in the FA Cup on Saturday. Hull are at home. The thing in Hull's favour is they can't have enough reserves to switch the whole team, where as Swansea probably do. Guess we are sweating the team news. What prices would it be reversed? ask Arb; he is better than me at this. Something like 1.75/1.8 Chelsea. Chelsea will be about a goal better at home, feels about even away. Slightly shorter around 4/6-8/11. |
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exstream
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« Reply #124594 on: January 04, 2017, 04:50:07 PM » |
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I'd back them at home at 8/11
Spurs can't keep a clean sheet and have beat a few shit teams overrated
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arbboy
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« Reply #124595 on: January 04, 2017, 04:56:24 PM » |
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If you think Chelski are that much better than Spurs then i would be backing them to win the league at 4/6 instead. Less variance. Probably a better way to attack it. The scheduling advantage they have with no Europe is just going to get bigger and bigger as the season rolls on as their players become relatively more and more fresh compared to the majority of their rivals (other than Liverpool). They are less tired and are less likely to suffer injuries etc etc.
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« Last Edit: January 04, 2017, 05:06:41 PM by arbboy »
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arbboy
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« Reply #124596 on: January 04, 2017, 05:05:11 PM » |
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/38511254The porn barons must be living in cloud cuckoo land if they think they are going to buy Defoe for anywhere near £6m surely? I couldn't imagine Sunderland being willing to sell for even £20m in this window. He must be more important to Sunderland relatively than any other player is to his side in the EPL surely?
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« Last Edit: January 04, 2017, 05:08:52 PM by arbboy »
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exstream
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« Reply #124597 on: January 04, 2017, 05:13:24 PM » |
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If you think Chelski are that much better than Spurs then i would be backing them to win the league at 4/6 instead. Less variance. Probably a better way to attack it. The scheduling advantage they have with no Europe is just going to get bigger and bigger as the season rolls on as their players become relatively more and more fresh compared to the majority of their rivals (other than Liverpool). They are less tired and are less likely to suffer injuries etc etc.
They haven't rotated a lot though I'm wary about the back up of injuries |
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arbboy
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« Reply #124598 on: January 04, 2017, 05:26:23 PM » |
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If you think Chelski are that much better than Spurs then i would be backing them to win the league at 4/6 instead. Less variance. Probably a better way to attack it. The scheduling advantage they have with no Europe is just going to get bigger and bigger as the season rolls on as their players become relatively more and more fresh compared to the majority of their rivals (other than Liverpool). They are less tired and are less likely to suffer injuries etc etc.
They haven't rotated a lot though I'm wary about the back up of injuries You don't need to rotate when you only play once a week. They even run like god scheduling wise over xmas with the most rest of any team in the EPL between their 3 games bar none. The less you play and the bigger the rest periods are between the games you play the less likely you are to suffer injuries so they have an advantage there over every other team as well as the huge points gap they have already inflicted. 4/6 looks a big price to me. Scousers would probably need to score 100 goals to win the league given how bad their defence is. After tonight Chelsea only have to play 2 of the top 6 away for the rest of the season (liverpool and Man U) in the league. They play their other two nearest rivals apart from Liverpool at home (Arsenal and Man City) and they have still to play the entire bottom 5 at home (and Watford who are playing like a bottom 5 club currently). They are going to be 1/5 or shorter for 33% of their remaining league games. They have been gifted the league title imo. |
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« Last Edit: January 04, 2017, 05:44:45 PM by arbboy »
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Tal
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« Reply #124599 on: January 04, 2017, 07:30:32 PM » |
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/38511254The porn barons must be living in cloud cuckoo land if they think they are going to buy Defoe for anywhere near £6m surely? I couldn't imagine Sunderland being willing to sell for even £20m in this window. He must be more important to Sunderland relatively than any other player is to his side in the EPL surely? Chief negotiatior? | Click to see full-size image. |
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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exstream
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« Reply #124600 on: January 04, 2017, 07:34:54 PM » |
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If you think Chelski are that much better than Spurs then i would be backing them to win the league at 4/6 instead. Less variance. Probably a better way to attack it. The scheduling advantage they have with no Europe is just going to get bigger and bigger as the season rolls on as their players become relatively more and more fresh compared to the majority of their rivals (other than Liverpool). They are less tired and are less likely to suffer injuries etc etc.
They haven't rotated a lot though I'm wary about the back up of injuries You don't need to rotate when you only play once a week. They even run like god scheduling wise over xmas with the most rest of any team in the EPL between their 3 games bar none. The less you play and the bigger the rest periods are between the games you play the less likely you are to suffer injuries so they have an advantage there over every other team as well as the huge points gap they have already inflicted. 4/6 looks a big price to me. Scousers would probably need to score 100 goals to win the league given how bad their defence is. After tonight Chelsea only have to play 2 of the top 6 away for the rest of the season (liverpool and Man U) in the league. They play their other two nearest rivals apart from Liverpool at home (Arsenal and Man City) and they have still to play the entire bottom 5 at home (and Watford who are playing like a bottom 5 club currently). They are going to be 1/5 or shorter for 33% of their remaining league games. They have been gifted the league title imo. Yes that makes a lot of sense, I'm in! You have to rec for Fred now |
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Karabiner
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« Reply #124601 on: January 04, 2017, 08:07:33 PM » |
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I'm getting a little concerned that the frenetic Xmas schedule for PL games is open to some degree of skulduggery if not outright buggery.
I think there should be a minimum 72-hour period between games and let them work out their schedule on that premise.
It can't be that hard.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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bagel
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« Reply #124602 on: January 04, 2017, 08:33:33 PM » |
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If you think Chelski are that much better than Spurs then i would be backing them to win the league at 4/6 instead. Less variance. Probably a better way to attack it. The scheduling advantage they have with no Europe is just going to get bigger and bigger as the season rolls on as their players become relatively more and more fresh compared to the majority of their rivals (other than Liverpool). They are less tired and are less likely to suffer injuries etc etc.
They haven't rotated a lot though I'm wary about the back up of injuries You don't need to rotate when you only play once a week. They even run like god scheduling wise over xmas with the most rest of any team in the EPL between their 3 games bar none. The less you play and the bigger the rest periods are between the games you play the less likely you are to suffer injuries so they have an advantage there over every other team as well as the huge points gap they have already inflicted. 4/6 looks a big price to me. Scousers would probably need to score 100 goals to win the league given how bad their defence is. After tonight Chelsea only have to play 2 of the top 6 away for the rest of the season (liverpool and Man U) in the league. They play their other two nearest rivals apart from Liverpool at home (Arsenal and Man City) and they have still to play the entire bottom 5 at home (and Watford who are playing like a bottom 5 club currently). They are going to be 1/5 or shorter for 33% of their remaining league games. They have been gifted the league title imo. liverpools defence is looking far far better recently, only conceded 1 goal from open play in last 5 matches, man city and arsenal have only conceded 1 goal less than pool in the prem this season. |
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Karabiner
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« Reply #124603 on: January 04, 2017, 08:43:36 PM » |
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On perusing the teamsheet spu*s appear to be matching up and playing three at the back this evening at home to chelski.
Might that make it a little tighter game than we/I were/was expecting?
1-0, 0-1, 0-0 worth a dabble?
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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hhyftrftdr
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« Reply #124604 on: January 04, 2017, 08:45:42 PM » |
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Amazed Chelsea are still 4/6 for the title.....they are steamrolling and could have it wrapped up by March. Lack of European football is such a benefit (for the squad, not the club)
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Best Bitter.
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