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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16145991 times)
Rod Paradise
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« Reply #125565 on: February 11, 2017, 01:03:44 PM »

Should have a bet on them to get relegated then...

Insolvency rules mean 25 point deduction (ie bottom of table) if administration this month, 15 point after, so expect them to hold on.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #125566 on: February 11, 2017, 01:05:30 PM »

anyone had a look at the 16 runner 4 places handicap hurdle at newbury later?

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/newbury/15:35/winner

point me in the right direction please...

tough race as you'd expect but i'm keen on wait for me @ 12/1 (14s with if you can get it).

his 3 wins have all been on soft ground and he's won over course and distance. 4th in the county hurdle last season when sat a bit further back than ideal isn't far off the best piece of form in this field and he's 1lb lower today. that was with the first time hood on which he has back on today for the first time this season. disappointed when fav for the swinton hurdle end of last season, but his two runs this season have not been without promise with this in mind.

a negative is he can tend to race a bit keen so we'd hope for a decent pace, and hopefully the hood will help.

not sure on a staking plan, only dip in and out of this thread every so often and it's my first suggestion. should be attacking this race fairly hard though.

Hi Chris

a first suggestion?

why not then...keep them coming/visit more often....

Wait For Me Newbury 15:35 Winner
12/1 Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £340.00
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arbboy
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« Reply #125567 on: February 11, 2017, 01:18:16 PM »

Anyone like anything at Uttox on the extreme going today?  Meeting just passed last of its 4 inspections and goes ahead.
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arbboy
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« Reply #125568 on: February 11, 2017, 01:27:54 PM »

Looks decent mid/wide at Crayford.  Hammering down with snow and conditions look very tough.

t6 every race at crayola.  Printing money this morning.
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« Reply #125569 on: February 11, 2017, 02:02:12 PM »

Looks decent mid/wide at Crayford.  Hammering down with snow and conditions look very tough.

t6 every race at crayola.  Printing money this morning.

Never in doubt that last one. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #125570 on: February 11, 2017, 02:12:16 PM »

I haven't noticed this before, but Hills are scummier than I thought on the cash out.

I put the Chompy double on with them the other day.  Burnley beat Leicester so I am left with two single bets on Burton to get relegated.

On the single bet, they are offering me 40% of the payout now, which given the price is now evens isn't great.  I don't like it at all, but maybe they are entitled to a cut for admin or whatever.

On the double, which is effectively a single now too, they are only offering 36%.  So they are hacking another 10% off their offer purely because I put it in a multiple originally.

Presumably the poor acca punters who have 5 from 6 off get a bigger shafting?  This seems very wrong to me.   There is absolutely no reason they can't offer the same proportion on both bets, and anything else is just taking advantage of the biggest mugs. 



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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Rod Paradise
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« Reply #125571 on: February 11, 2017, 02:13:58 PM »

Looks decent mid/wide at Crayford.  Hammering down with snow and conditions look very tough.

t6 every race at crayola.  Printing money this morning.

Never in doubt that last one.  
been backing 5 and 6 for the last few, just back 6 you reckon? (In profit but punting it back on next races)

Edit, just checked results from before I noticed your post. Trap 6 winning almost all the races. Will stop wasting money on 5.

Cheers for alerting Fred to it.
« Last Edit: February 11, 2017, 02:17:42 PM by Rod Paradise » Logged

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« Reply #125572 on: February 11, 2017, 02:39:05 PM »

I don't think the hunpersonators can afford to get McInnes.  didn't he sign a new contract recently?

I like TW, I hope he wouldn't be so weak to go there.  It would tarnish a solid rep he has built imo. 

They are going to end up with some bitter one who just hates all things Celtic. 
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« Reply #125573 on: February 11, 2017, 03:15:09 PM »

Lanzini and Antonio up top for West Ham today? Worth a shot for first/anytime scorer?
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« Reply #125574 on: February 11, 2017, 05:04:03 PM »

anyone had a look at the 16 runner 4 places handicap hurdle at newbury later?

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/newbury/15:35/winner

point me in the right direction please...

tough race as you'd expect but i'm keen on wait for me @ 12/1 (14s with if you can get it).

his 3 wins have all been on soft ground and he's won over course and distance. 4th in the county hurdle last season when sat a bit further back than ideal isn't far off the best piece of form in this field and he's 1lb lower today. that was with the first time hood on which he has back on today for the first time this season. disappointed when fav for the swinton hurdle end of last season, but his two runs this season have not been without promise with this in mind.

a negative is he can tend to race a bit keen so we'd hope for a decent pace, and hopefully the hood will help.

not sure on a staking plan, only dip in and out of this thread every so often and it's my first suggestion. should be attacking this race fairly hard though.

Hi Chris

a first suggestion?

why not then...keep them coming/visit more often....

Wait For Me Newbury 15:35 Winner
12/1 Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £340.00


went off 8/1, travelled well to a point but didn't jump well and went out like a light :/
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Christopher Brammer
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« Reply #125575 on: February 11, 2017, 05:16:19 PM »

Clyde go 1 up.  Good shout Rod.  I missed the price. 
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« Reply #125576 on: February 11, 2017, 05:39:34 PM »

anyone had a look at the 16 runner 4 places handicap hurdle at newbury later?

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/newbury/15:35/winner

point me in the right direction please...

tough race as you'd expect but i'm keen on wait for me @ 12/1 (14s with if you can get it).

his 3 wins have all been on soft ground and he's won over course and distance. 4th in the county hurdle last season when sat a bit further back than ideal isn't far off the best piece of form in this field and he's 1lb lower today. that was with the first time hood on which he has back on today for the first time this season. disappointed when fav for the swinton hurdle end of last season, but his two runs this season have not been without promise with this in mind.

a negative is he can tend to race a bit keen so we'd hope for a decent pace, and hopefully the hood will help.

not sure on a staking plan, only dip in and out of this thread every so often and it's my first suggestion. should be attacking this race fairly hard though.

Hi Chris

a first suggestion?

why not then...keep them coming/visit more often....

Wait For Me Newbury 15:35 Winner
12/1 Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £340.00


went off 8/1, travelled well to a point but didn't jump well and went out like a light :/


I had backed him for the County hurdle after his last run at Chelts. I am not the greatest fan of Paddy Brennan over hurdles, especially on horses he doesn't know. He presented him wrong at plenty today, and wouldn't write him off just yet.
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Rod Paradise
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« Reply #125577 on: February 11, 2017, 05:40:49 PM »

Clyde go 1 up.  Good shout Rod.  I missed the price. 
And the bok is in....

One each, Clyde having hit the post instead of going 2 up. Ayr started without a striker, and with their most creative player (Forrest) on the bench. Still managed an equaliser.

Still time but reckon my most important sentence in the op was 'Clyde are shit'
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« Reply #125578 on: February 11, 2017, 05:55:57 PM »

I like the price on Sunderland too - took a little 29/10 as baldy doesn't like me.

Baldy gone.


You want 20 on the double tighty?

Sunderland 29/10.  Stoke 23/20

No idea on Hull.  Aresenal flat track bullies (c) arbboy.   

Sunderland 29/10 single B365 if you like. £25? let me know please

Stoke and Sunderland double i think we'd leave. 

If we think both are value, the double is the best value bet.  Both are best price on 365.

You can have the single if you want.

Maybe the double wasn't so much value.  I really thought Sunderlamd were a good price too FWIW.

Ayr is a draw too.   Sad
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Rod Paradise
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« Reply #125579 on: February 11, 2017, 05:59:26 PM »

Clyde go 1 up.  Good shout Rod.  I missed the price. 
And the bok is in....

One each, Clyde having hit the post instead of going 2 up. Ayr started without a striker, and with their most creative player (Forrest) on the bench. Still managed an equaliser.

Still time but reckon my most important sentence in the op was 'Clyde are shit'

Think the bet was good, 6-1 against a team with no strikers is too high. Sadly wasn't to be though. Sorry folks.
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