Tips for Tikay

[4KSuited]

If we think that Muzza is going to struggle with his hip injury, then it may be worth taking him on in his quarter.

Stan clearly doesn't get on with the surface, barely prepping, so what about Pouille? He won the title in Stuttgart, but had 4 tough matches in the process - 3 going to the full 3 sets - beating Lopez after going a set down in the final. No surprise, then, that he was too drained to get beyond the second round at Halle (which immediately followed Stuttgart).

So, having had a week's break, and batteries recharged, he finds himself facing Jaziri whose record on grass is worse than Stan's. He'll likely have to face Kyrgios before the projected match vs an injured Muzza. His QF opponent would likely be Tsonga or Stan, neither of whom like the green stuff.

18-1 on Irish or Betties for the quarter looks decent, since it's very possible that he won't have to face one or more of the top seeds in this section.

with Kygrios injured and going out (?) your man is now 14-1, only one firm up though

https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Yeh; apologies for the short notice.

[arbboy]

Thing is last night we had 3 proper group 1 'horses' running against handicappers in the supporting races.  Bruisers, Wildcat and Bluebird. All 3 will be in the top 6 in the ante post betting for next year's Derby.  Bruisers was the most impressive for me as it is a huge stayer and showed a 5.14 sectional last night and 28.78 clock. It is barely 2 years old and will be in its prime next year Derby wise, trained by the champion trainer who is based at Towcester so has 'home advantage' with the derby at Towcester.  Hills go 33/1 for next year.  Not a fan of betting ante post this early but i wouldn't want to be laying 33/1 this dog even now.  

All three were boxed up to perfection as well draw wise last night.  They looked like mug bets at short prices but none of the prices were short enough in reality on the earlies.  The only reason they were gambled so much was simply because the lol traders with the firms priced them up so badly on their first show.  'You never go skint laying a short one'  Best saying of all time as the lols lay 11/10 about 4/5 shots, 4/6 about 4/11 shots and 5/2 about 7/4 shots. 

TFT grader would be fun running at romford every week on the TV.

Ben Keith wasn't lying about the amount of cash business in the ring flying around compared to Royal Ascot when he spoke on sky.  It was like going back 20 years when i first went to a dog track.  There were only 8 pitches there last night and effectively only 4 firms as each firm had 2 pitches in different locations.  I had a sneaky peak at their screens behind their joints at different times just to see the size of the business they were accommodating and it was much larger than i thought (esp for the local one man band type of layers who just stand at Towcester).  Pretty much every race was a one dog book as well for them 90% of the time.

https://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/ante-post/greyhound-derby-2018/winner

50/1 bruisers is worth taking ew imo even a year in advance.  I wouldn't want to be laying 50/1 that dog.

[bergeroo]

Nicholas Jarry plus 5.5 games on the handicap vs Gilles Simon - EVENS - baldy, betwhey, skai

Suggest £25

https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/gilles-simon-v-nicolas-jarry/games-handicap

Second match on court 17 today at Wimbledon provides value in my opinion

The Frenchman is declining markedly and is a short price today. While he might get over the line he might find it tough. Jarry has come through qualifying and although is a claycourter primarily, the courts at Wimbledon play a bit slower than the usual grass event and he does have a serve as a weapon. Simon has played two matches on grass this year (albeit against tricky opponents) and has lost them both. I like Jarry to cover the handicap at evens.

Dan Weston who is someone I think knows a lot about tennis tipped this one up this morning and I'm on board!
https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/wimbledon/simon-v-jarry-odds-betting-preview-wimbledon-day-2-tips-040717-778.html

[TightEnd]

Nicholas Jarry plus 5.5 games on the handicap vs Gilles Simon - EVENS - baldy, betwhey, skai

Suggest £25

https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/gilles-simon-v-nicolas-jarry/games-handicap

Second match on court 17 today at Wimbledon provides value in my opinion

The Frenchman is declining markedly and is a short price today. While he might get over the line he might find it tough. Jarry has come through qualifying and although is a claycourter primarily, the courts at Wimbledon play a bit slower than the usual grass event and he does have a serve as a weapon. Simon has played two matches on grass this year (albeit against tricky opponents) and has lost them both. I like Jarry to cover the handicap at evens.

Dan Weston who is someone I think knows a lot about tennis tipped this one up this morning and I'm on board!
https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/wimbledon/simon-v-jarry-odds-betting-preview-wimbledon-day-2-tips-040717-778.html

there isn't any evens, betway apart....

[bergeroo]

Nicholas Jarry plus 5.5 games on the handicap vs Gilles Simon - EVENS - baldy, betwhey, skai

Suggest £25

https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/gilles-simon-v-nicolas-jarry/games-handicap

Second match on court 17 today at Wimbledon provides value in my opinion

The Frenchman is declining markedly and is a short price today. While he might get over the line he might find it tough. Jarry has come through qualifying and although is a claycourter primarily, the courts at Wimbledon play a bit slower than the usual grass event and he does have a serve as a weapon. Simon has played two matches on grass this year (albeit against tricky opponents) and has lost them both. I like Jarry to cover the handicap at evens.

Dan Weston who is someone I think knows a lot about tennis tipped this one up this morning and I'm on board!
https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/wimbledon/simon-v-jarry-odds-betting-preview-wimbledon-day-2-tips-040717-778.html

there isn't any evens, betway apart....

Missed it then unless anyone can get on with them on Fred's behalf

[bergeroo]

For anyone on the Rybarikova 500/1 train, she is safely through to round two after a straight sets win. Looking likely to play Pliskova.

Simon is putting up a good performance against Jarry unfortunately.

[nellberg]

Promising ride by Aru today in the TDF

[Doobs]

Konta is through to the 3rd round.  She looked very good in the first round, but today was a lot harder.  She played Vekic who had beaten her at Nottingham.  She showed a lot of bottle at times in the third set.  She was down 0-30 a couple of times and 30-40 in what were effectively deciding games in the final set.  Each time she didn't look nervous at all.  Both players seemed to be playing well, rather than one making errors.  Trying not to bok, but the next round should be easier.  Hopefully today's 3 hour marathon hasn'teft any effects.

We have 66/1, and she is now 12/13 on Betfair.  Kvitova still stands in her way.

[tikay]

^^^

Good stuff, David.

[DungBeetle]

Konta looks great.  Really good spot but as you say Kvitova is excellent on grass if her body can take the endurance of a slam early in her comeback.

[bergeroo]

Next match not a gimmie. I watched the Sakkari match today and she dug out a gutsy third set win. Konta looks match fit though and that's excellent news.

[Doobs]

Kvitova is out.  Good news.  We are now 8/1 and her main opponent before the final has gone.

Fwiw I didn't say Konta's next match was a gimme, just easier than the one today.

[DungBeetle]

Kvitova is out.  Good news.  We are now 8/1 and her main opponent before the final has gone.

Fwiw I didn't say Konta's next match was a gimme, just easier than the one today.

Blimey Kvitova gone is massive imo.

[Karabiner]

Having a few quid on Ms Ostapenko is not doing my dodgy ticker any favours..

[Karabiner]

Rybarikova ain't no 500/1 shot no more.

Not on obv, but good luck to those that are.*


Apart from Bopkin of course.