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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13333709 times)
rinswun
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« Reply #131595 on: January 09, 2018, 08:57:19 AM »

Agreed, real dearth of quality in the Stoke squad, possibly excepting Shaqiri who often flatters to deceive. Butland doesn't look the same keeper as pre-injury and it's tough to see where goals are coming from , Crouch still being the main weapon tells its own story. One thing in their favour is experience and nous but that is only ever going to carry you so far without a bit of quality in the team.
« Last Edit: January 09, 2018, 09:03:50 AM by rinswun » Logged

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« Reply #131596 on: January 09, 2018, 10:24:30 AM »

Same here. I wouldn't switch.

The original logic was to back them with a view to laying back after they'd gone through the tough opening run of games.

As it turned out they did better than expected through the first eight ot whatever, but have been tez since. They're where they deserve to be now. Goal difference never lies.


Big game tonight for our EFL Trophy bet. Luton v Posh in a classic 'after the Lord Mayor's Show' Tuesday night battle.
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« Reply #131597 on: January 09, 2018, 01:14:55 PM »

Not sure why Bilic is in the running that would be a shocking appointment imo. 

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football/domestic-premier-league/group_a.7e4187d6-9e42-4bb0-9bde-779fd4019f61/premier-league-points-2017-18

Tough to see why they are such clear 3rd favs for the drop (i get the GD factor isn't an issue with the spreads) but the gap in Stoke's price to the rivals looks a little big to me.

I think GD might actually lie this year in the EPL.  I am usually a big GD fan but if you go and put 10 men behind the ball and lose 1-0 2-0 at man city/liverpool/chelski etc then you can't win the game but save getting a hiding for GD purposes or you can go and have a go and score twice at Man City like Stoke did and get thumped 7-2.  Plenty of teams are getting hammered by the big boys this year
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« Reply #131598 on: January 09, 2018, 05:05:15 PM »



Worth a watch.
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« Reply #131599 on: January 09, 2018, 07:43:12 PM »

Same here. I wouldn't switch.

The original logic was to back them with a view to laying back after they'd gone through the tough opening run of games.

As it turned out they did better than expected through the first eight ot whatever, but have been tez since. They're where they deserve to be now. Goal difference never lies.


Big game tonight for our EFL Trophy bet. Luton v Posh in a classic 'after the Lord Mayor's Show' Tuesday night battle.
Weak Luton team only 2 starters in the line up..
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« Reply #131600 on: January 09, 2018, 07:46:12 PM »

I don't imagine many of you will have a grosvenorsport.com account.  If you are a member of a G casino they are offering a pretty insane sign up deal for live casino members this month.  Treble the odds on your first bet up to £50.  Find a 20/1 shot that is 20/1 or close on bf on their site have £50 on it and lay £150 at 20/1 get it beat and win £100 in cash (minus commission) on betfair with no strings.
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Stopsleyhatter
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« Reply #131601 on: January 09, 2018, 09:58:05 PM »

Posh win for chompy
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« Reply #131602 on: January 10, 2018, 12:46:37 AM »

Posh win for chompy

Phew!

Our lot were lethargic after the highs of the weekend but it was a decent game for a 0-0.

If that's the Luton second string, then you have some serious strength in depth! Very impressive for a second XI.

We'll take Yeovil at home in the quarters please. Draw is tomorrow (Thursday) night at 7pm. It's either them, Chelsea U23 or Oxford. We seem to struggle with Oxford, or more accurately Jack Payne any time he plays against us. As for Chelsea U23, I still get the feeling they'll bow out gracefully before the show rolls in to Wembley. It's the EFL Trophy after all.

33-1 slip still alive...
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« Reply #131603 on: January 10, 2018, 09:15:16 AM »

Oops, cancel that. It's no longer regionalised for the quarters.

5.1.4 Quarter Finals.

(i) The eight winners from the Round of 16 will contest the quarter-finals.

(ii) Quarter-final pairings are determined by means of an unseeded draw.
There will be no regionalisation of the draw.
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arbboy
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« Reply #131604 on: January 10, 2018, 04:39:24 PM »


Brutal rub after doing our cash.  Don't worry i have a max bet on the NBA for Weds night.  I can't post until everyone is on but the price should still be there.  Tune in on Weds pm for the details.

NBA max tonight as promised.  Be quick and get the -6.5 or 2/5 outright bf sb on Charlotte to beat Dallas tonight.   This is the most insane scheduling advantage i have seen in the NBA for years.  Charlotte have had 5 days off (which is unheard of normally in nba reg season terms) and Dallas are playing their 5th game in 8 nights tonight.  They played last night at home and had to fly nearly 1000 miles after the game (plus lost an hour time zone wise) to get to Charlotte.  They probably arrived close to 4/5am local time at their hotel to play a game tonight at 7pm.  The last four games they have played have been all close which forces their starters to play more minutes and their oldest player is the oldest player in the league at 40.  The legend Dirk. It is tough playing anywhere near your best at 40 in this situation.  It wouldn't surprise me if he didn't play at all.  If he played for the Spurs he wouldn't be playing tonight.  They value rest and sports science.  This is a proper NBA write off spot where the coaches circle these games at the start of the season and write them off sports science wise.  This spot would be unheard of in the EPL and Jose would never stop moaning if it ever happened to him.

Fill your boots asap.  I have had to delay this to get the money on myself.  Wouldn't put anyone off going for the crown jewels and backing some of huge alternative hcaps as well. This could be a proper blow out.

Recommend £550 at 10/11 -6.5 as a max bet. or whatever fred is comfortable with.

https://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/dallas-mavericks-at-charlotte-hornets/point-spread
« Last Edit: January 10, 2018, 05:00:19 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #131605 on: January 10, 2018, 04:55:45 PM »

Is the extra half point important if I can only get -7 in size?
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« Reply #131606 on: January 10, 2018, 04:58:49 PM »

Is the extra half point important if I can only get -7 in size?

It helps obviously.  The bigger the hcap the smaller the edge.   Every 1/2 point in the nba is worth about 1.5% edge wise.  Still worth a bet at -7 just for slightly smaller stakes.
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« Reply #131607 on: January 10, 2018, 05:00:18 PM »

Is the extra half point important if I can only get -7 in size?

I can get you on -6.5 for about £250 with Padraig.

Want me to do £220?
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« Reply #131608 on: January 10, 2018, 05:02:29 PM »

Ok reduced amount and reduced places we can use these days

I am not around much at the moment so difficult to get much of a balanced book on for the thread across a range of bets too
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« Reply #131609 on: January 10, 2018, 05:03:37 PM »

Ok reduced amount and reduced places we can use these days

I am not around much at the moment so difficult to get much of a balanced book on for the thread across a range of bets too

No worries more for everyone else than fred actually getting the dough down nowadays.  I understand that.  Things have moved on.
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