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Author Topic: Cycling Betting & Discussion.  (Read 287144 times)
Tonji
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« Reply #1200 on: May 23, 2014, 11:55:59 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.


Stage 14. Probably a 50/50 chance some breakaway riders stand a chance. Although with Uran having a decent margin against the likes of the pure climbers. Movistar & AG2R may attack on the cat 2 climb & any breakaway will be eaten up.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/giro-ditalia-stage-14/winner

One selection so far. The final week will hopefully see Fabio Duarte show the form of last months Giro del Trentino. Laddies give a bit extra at 40/1 EW.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1201 on: May 24, 2014, 12:09:14 AM »

Franco Pellizotti usually goes well in the Giro final week & performed better than expected in the Giro del Trentino. PP 100/1 too tempting!
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Tonji
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« Reply #1202 on: May 24, 2014, 09:55:58 AM »

If the final comes down to a battle between the GC riders I've gone for Evans. Certainly Pozzovivo & Quintana are the best climbers in the race, but Evans is the fastest finisher. His ITT was initially thought to have been a disappointment, but was actually the best he'd done in awhile. Up hill his power & form are still 100%. 20/1 looks too big.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1203 on: May 24, 2014, 12:44:17 PM »

Early live start on Eurosport.

Big break with 22 riders.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1204 on: May 24, 2014, 04:41:34 PM »

If the final comes down to a battle between the GC riders I've gone for Evans. Certainly Pozzovivo & Quintana are the best climbers in the race, but Evans is the fastest finisher. His ITT was initially thought to have been a disappointment, but was actually the best he'd done in awhile. Up hill his power & form are still 100%. 20/1 looks too big.

big fail there from me  Sad
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Tonji
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« Reply #1205 on: May 24, 2014, 06:28:47 PM »

CWS any thoughts on the coming week in the Giro. Today's stage showed Quintana can now push on for the win with the high mountains to come. Only Pozzavivo can possibly match him. Kelderman & Aru did a fine job in limiting losses, but are young & could fade.

KOM is a conundrum. Arrendondo blow up today.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/king-of-the-mountains

Must be a play here? Pozzavivo or Quintana, or go Monsalve, who has been heavily involved breaks for early stage KOM points.
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« Reply #1206 on: May 25, 2014, 05:11:15 AM »

CWS any thoughts on the coming week in the Giro. Today's stage showed Quintana can now push on for the win with the high mountains to come. Only Pozzavivo can possibly match him. Kelderman & Aru did a fine job in limiting losses, but are young & could fade.

KOM is a conundrum. Arrendondo blow up today.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/king-of-the-mountains

Must be a play here? Pozzavivo or Quintana, or go Monsalve, who has been heavily involved breaks for early stage KOM points.

Had a quick look, but couldn't see anything of note. Uran still has plenty of time on Pozzovivo and Quintana, so no earth-shattering news yet. If he loses 30s on each mountain stage, he'll still win. Arredondo blowing up is a bit of a stretch imo. He missed the breakaway on purpose so he could help Kiserlovski today, according to:
http://www.cyclingquotes.com/news/hunger_knock_for_kiserlovski_in_the_giro/
From what I can make of it, he did his work for his captain, and then dropped off the back.

Won't be any major change in the KOM today with the parcours as it is. Will have another look later. Still fancy a non-GC rider for the blue jersey. Wellens? Still think Arredondo has the edge, but would like to see Arredondo v Wellens up a mountain before I make up my mind. Monsalve (who I fancied at one stage for the KOM) was soundly beaten by Wellens up 2 summits today. I think his race has run.

Interested to see how Majka rides today Wink
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Tonji
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« Reply #1207 on: May 25, 2014, 11:10:08 AM »

Cheers CWS.

Some great stages this week, potentially a classic last battle on the Zoncolan on saturday.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1208 on: May 26, 2014, 04:02:07 PM »

Giro d'Italia: Stage 16 preview. The Queen stage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y0zntApIx9g
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Tonji
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« Reply #1209 on: May 26, 2014, 04:45:59 PM »



The Gavia. Road clear but a decent chance of snow could see stage altered.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1210 on: May 26, 2014, 04:54:31 PM »

Giro d’Italia in photos: stages 10 to 15.

http://cyclingtips.com.au/2014/05/the-giro-ditalia-in-photos-stages-10-to-15/

 Click to see full-size image.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1211 on: May 27, 2014, 10:13:07 AM »

Giro d'Italia: Stage 16 preview. The Queen stage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y0zntApIx9g


A few thoughts on today.

Quintana 2/1 fav too short.

Todays tough stage & conditions could find out the younger riders.

Uran despite minor set backs is still hanging strong. 25/1 ew.

Duarte, desperate for a stage win, todays race at altitude should be fine for him. 12/1 ftw.

Niemiec, unfortunate time losses early in the race put him out of contention for GC, certainly aiming for a stage this week, strong in Trentino, hopefully strong today. 40/1 ew.
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Tonji
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« Reply #1212 on: May 27, 2014, 02:15:20 PM »



Horrid conditions, the gruppetto may be in danger.
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« Reply #1213 on: May 27, 2014, 02:21:26 PM »

This may be a silly question, but how does the KOTM work? Can't see betting for it any more, but also can't see a result anywhere?
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Tonji
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« Reply #1214 on: May 27, 2014, 02:32:36 PM »

This may be a silly question, but how does the KOTM work? Can't see betting for it any more, but also can't see a result anywhere?

KOM points is complicated, but points won on different graded summits during the stage & summit finish.

Detail & rules somewhere in the road book  http://www.gazzetta.it/Giroditalia/2014/download/GIRO_PROFILE_2014_WEB.pdf

Current points: http://www.procyclingstats.com/race/Giro_d_Italia_2014_Stage_15_Mountains_Classification

Betting suspended whilst stage is running.
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