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Author Topic: Ragz 2014  (Read 66369 times)
Ragz
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« Reply #60 on: April 25, 2016, 02:45:21 AM »

Well!! Not played all that much since last post, not considering I had every intention of grinding the entire weeked (like that ever goes to plan EVER!). I played around 5hrs Fri morning to afternoon and did ok then played 5hrs tonight just.

Soif I filter to just 18/45/180 mans upto to $30 I faired thus:

 Click to see full-size image.


However I did manage to brick 73 4max shootout sats, most of which I didn't even make the FT on  idiot I also just bricked 8 $60-18's in a row aswell, joined with the usual MTT bricks I barely broke even

 Click to see full-size image.


 

The $30's were my saviour today putting me to about 10% ROI on the year in them (albeit 400 games, whatever) and I did reach two FT's out of the nine $3r 180's I played, this absolute cracker put paid to any chances of a bink however.

PokerStars Hand #152400976614: Tournament #1548123364, $3.30+$0.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXII (4000/8000) - 2016/04/24 23:25:20 WET [2016/04/24 18:25:20 ET]
Table '1548123364 7' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 2: Pedrozadota (134144 in chips)
Seat 4: Apofeoz V (154855 in chips)
Seat 5: tuttymito (94381 in chips)
Seat 6: Kuni88 (132471 in chips)
Seat 7: RagztoRiches (89834 in chips)
Seat 8: newmario (260815 in chips)
Pedrozadota: posts the ante 800
Apofeoz V: posts the ante 800
tuttymito: posts the ante 800
Kuni88: posts the ante 800
RagztoRiches: posts the ante 800
newmario: posts the ante 800
RagztoRiches: posts small blind 4000
newmario: posts big blind 8000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to RagztoRiches [ ]
Pedrozadota: folds
Apofeoz V: folds
tuttymito: folds
Kuni88: raises 8000 to 16000
RagztoRiches: calls 12000
newmario: raises 244015 to 260015 and is all-in
Kuni88: folds
RagztoRiches: calls 73034 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (170981) returned to newmario
*** FLOP *** [ ]
*** TURN *** [ ] []
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
*** SHOW DOWN ***
RagztoRiches: shows [ ] (a pair of Kings)
newmario: shows [ ] (a straight, Six to Ten)
newmario collected 198868 from pot
RagztoRiches finished the tournament in 6th place and received $75.63.

In the other deep runner I was doing fine until these beauts stopped me getting on the Ft with anything but a measely 1bb lol.

 Click to see full-size image.

 Click to see full-size image.



I've demanded 40hrs of myself this week, as I do every week but fail miserably as the rig crushes my soul time after time. Today however I didn't feel too bad watching beat after beat come in so if I can maintain that level of couldn't care lessness I can hopefully do it for a change.
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Ragz
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« Reply #61 on: April 27, 2016, 01:29:15 PM »

Going to sleep and waking up pretty miserable atm. The beats are relentless and having gone from roughly 10-15,000 games as good as break even over the course of a relatively long period of time pre 2016, I'm now covering 3500ish more games BE again, having had a bit of an upturn between the two since the day I got a stake. Now Stars have thrown a spanner into the works introducing a shitload of new games all over the place, hyper ko's and al sorts that's too much to go into detail in this quick check in post. I've messed about in every type of them but ultimately if I'm to get anywhere with all this I've got to stick with the games I'm mostly profitable in on the year and be damn disciplined with it! And that's 18/45 man and 180 rebuys only. But leaving out non rebuys will be tough, I don't think I can leave out those despite being 400bi's down in them because a $15 first for $750 is a damn good chunk.

Despite being soul crushed consistently, feeling that this is a massive waste of time I am STILL convinced my game is perfectly fine and better than most and that I suffer the worst kind of variance (rig) possible. Another 18-man reg I watch closely is still a pretty varianceless 11% abi $18 or so that keeps my faith alive too.

Off to the shop then gonna reg as long as I can stand it.
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muckthenuts
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« Reply #62 on: April 27, 2016, 04:34:31 PM »

Do you grind full time? I used to play these formats pre black friday and they were definitely pretty good back then. I kinda assumed they'd be dead by now lol.

Enjoy reading this blog, it's nice and honest.
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Ragz
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« Reply #63 on: April 28, 2016, 02:03:39 AM »

Thanks.

Man what I'd do to go back to pre BF jeeeeeeeeeeeeebus!! With this much effort back then $200k would be pretty easy at abi $40!!! The $27, $38 and $60 all running well day and night as far as I can remember, $12 180 aswell as $35, running like a tap. Am salivating at just the thought of it. I spent alot of time then playing the 90-mans on FTP, I had the 3rd highest ROI in the world for those aswell and I played much worse than I do now, I could've upped that to 50-55% probably. I remember shark365 or someone similar, made $100k year on year in just 90-mans alone. Hindsight's a massive piece of shit.

Thing's aren't quite exactly "dead" yet, but players are a bit trickier, I guess most of the fish must've decided to want to learn how to play. US stables jealous that they can't play anymore are mostly responsible for a giant portion of the increase in player "skill". I put speech marks around that word because alot of the stables are run by mediocre players who never had close to the top ROI's in the first place, but whilst they're not teaching optimal ways to play, it's still a profitable way thus bringing down profit everywhere else.

I've played full time since 2009 but have always played the laziest (I'm a Leo) hours imaginable and regret that massively now.  I did perfectly fine right up until late 2014. I hadn't played much on the year anyway due to gf taking up too much time, but September of that year I joined in a 2+2 180man team comp and we led start to finish, I made about $6k in that month. From that point on I've been on like a 12-15k game break even run give or take and I seriously don't put it down to tougher players whatsoever. As I said there's 2-3 players making the same ROI's in the games I play that most top players made in 2010 so I know it's still just as do-able, especially in 18-man. Those games have a special dynamic and ICM that makes it possible to hit a higher ROI than should be relative to it's higher or lower numbered SnG counterparts. Hard to explain what I mean by that. Let's just say there's lots more room to bully and dominate without risk of ruin than there is in STT or 180-man. But for 180-man check out malimisko. The guy never plays more than 8-10 tables which obviously has some contribution to his exceptional ROI, but that won't be the bigggest reason at all. He's 50% in his last 7kish 180-mans. There's no other reg out there on higher than HALF that. Does he run like god perma?

Today has been hell on earth once again. Started out ok for the first 5 hours, I got 2nd in a $3r 180 that had the highest prize I've seen in months. $540 for first which is really rare now since most regs single bullet as much as they can. This is the hand I lost to win it.

PokerStars Hand #152524077863: Tournament #1550554955, $3.30+$0.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXVIII (20000/40000) - 2016/04/27 17:40:19 WET [2016/04/27 12:40:19 ET]
Table '1550554955 11' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: carolbelotto (322544 in chips)
Seat 6: RagztoRiches (563456 in chips)
carolbelotto: posts the ante 4000
RagztoRiches: posts the ante 4000
carolbelotto: posts small blind 20000
RagztoRiches: posts big blind 40000
 HOLE CARDS
Dealt to RagztoRiches [ ]
carolbelotto: raises 278544 to 318544 and is all-in
RagztoRiches: calls 278544
 FLOP  [ Two Diamonds ]
 TURN  [ Two Diamonds ] []
 RIVER  [ Two Diamonds ] [three diamonds]
 SHOW DOWN
RagztoRiches: shows [ ] (high card Ace)
carolbelotto: shows [ ] (a pair of Eights)
carolbelotto collected 645088 from pot

Then tonight I've had the usual insane bullshit. Today's EV. Only 300% below EV, yet miraculously profited $120. 150 turbos, 8 hours.

 Click to see full-size image.


Oh forgot to mention one of these new $30 45-man hyper PSKO's went off and I'd regged. Got to the FT and this complete bubble-tard as I like to call them, lost his mind.

PokerStars Hand #152518689155: Tournament #1549497492, $14.30+$14.30+$1.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (400/800) - 2016/04/27 15:27:22 WET [2016/04/27 10:27:22 ET]
Table '1549497492 4' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: MariyaAl (26156 in chips)
Seat 2: pastis4020 (12196 in chips)
Seat 3: Tilt_Avenue (10185 in chips)
Seat 4: 2THEMAX69 (20195 in chips)
Seat 5: DeathcorePkr (5754 in chips)
Seat 6: Paulharvey3 (7343 in chips)
Seat 7: NKmyt (30739 in chips)
Seat 8: RagztoRiches (13636 in chips)
Seat 9: Alien-v300 (8796 in chips)
MariyaAl: posts the ante 200
pastis4020: posts the ante 200
Tilt_Avenue: posts the ante 200
2THEMAX69: posts the ante 200
DeathcorePkr: posts the ante 200
Paulharvey3: posts the ante 200
NKmyt: posts the ante 200
RagztoRiches: posts the ante 200
Alien-v300: posts the ante 200
2THEMAX69: posts small blind 400
DeathcorePkr: posts big blind 800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to RagztoRiches [ ]
Paulharvey3: folds
NKmyt: folds
RagztoRiches: raises 800 to 1600
Alien-v300: folds
MariyaAl: folds
pastis4020: folds
Tilt_Avenue: raises 8385 to 9985 and is all-in
2THEMAX69: folds
DeathcorePkr: folds
RagztoRiches: calls 8385
*** FLOP *** [ ]
*** TURN *** [ ] []
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
*** SHOW DOWN ***
RagztoRiches: shows [ ] (a pair of Eights)
Tilt_Avenue: shows (a pair of Eights - lower kicker)
RagztoRiches collected 22970 from pot
RagztoRiches wins $19.66 for eliminating Tilt_Avenue and their own bounty increases by $19.66 to $33.96
Tilt_Avenue finished the tournament in 9th place


This left me 1/8 and I finished 6th thanks to two massive coolers in a row. Think that was and still is the only one that's run and it was at 10:30am WUTTTTTT?Huh?Huh?Huh?Huh??  idiot

« Last Edit: April 28, 2016, 02:17:27 AM by Ragz » Logged
Ragz
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« Reply #64 on: April 29, 2016, 01:37:32 AM »

Another day of absolute shite that I cant even be bothered going into detail about. Noticed I've played MORE THAN 40hrs in the past week which has to be an all time recrod for me, so that's one achievement I guess. Albeit it a 7 day week. $500ish down over that period. Check out this wonderful 18-man finishing position graph over that time:-



I can safely guess the vast majority of games I was chip leader in with 4 left. Changing just one hand from each game could be worth thousands. This is the sickness of the the rig that they disguise with the word called "variance". You know it's funny, if you get to see alot of player's sharkscope graphs like I do on a day to day basis, probably one of the biggest scopers in the game, you will notice one common thing in 98% of everyone. All graphs start to flatten off from around late 2014 onwards. Funny coincidence that this is when amaya took over. What, was there a sudden gigantic influx of skilled players at that time then? No, not at all.

This is what an 18-man finishing position thingy should look like:



At the very least. But it's not been unknown to hit 8% 1st over large samples.
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Ragz
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« Reply #65 on: May 02, 2016, 01:59:29 AM »

Patternised Number Generator showing little sign of relent. Every day the same, 40-60 bricks, maybe 1-2 min cashes in there at violent-vomit below EV, get to end of tether, scrape together one last sesh of the day and bosh it back to nearly break even. Bringing u back at the end of the day to keep u from going anywhere, or giving some back as the roll gets close to busto and $2.5k MU.

Summary of April is thus:

 Click to see full-size image.


As crazy as that looks, however it's actually in profit for 18's at 6% ROI $1.22/game. STT's, 45's about break even, the losses come from 180's, MTT's and 16-man sats. If I filter 180's and MTT's but exclude rebuys cuz I won in the $3r 180's, this totally insane graph appears.

 Click to see full-size image.



Shocked the life out of me at first!! 1500 starting stack non rebuy 180's I just do not know wtf is happening in them. That's over 200 straight bricks in non rebuy 180's alone, well a couple small cashes from that many games. Which amounts to these EV figures.

 Click to see full-size image.


And It's also 30% below EV for the past 13 months for non rebuy 180 all-in pre-flops. So as one can see, I have all the figures to prove I'm being continually raped in one format or another, whilst doing fine elsewhere. Keep plugging on I guess. Need a final £100 to MOT my RSV4 and get it up for sale, won't be taking less than £6,000 on it though...if anyone's interested  Grin
 Click to see full-size image.

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Ragz
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« Reply #66 on: May 04, 2016, 10:59:49 AM »

So yesterday was insane. First have decided to play less MTT's, not that I play many anyway but they slowly mount up to huge losses over time and are in no way good for bank building. This is reinforced by the fact now that when I look at turbo MTT sched from like 7pm onards it looks fucking terrible...like where's everthing gone?? The Hot $82 is now at 11:15am as opposed to the usual 7:30pm  idiot and much more weirdness besides. Further reinforced by the fact that the millions of 4-max shootout SnG sats into tons of tourneys...completely gone. $82 hypers and turbos, $27's, $55's, nothing. WHAT??

But yh it's probably just done me a huge favour tbh, so I fired up the usual 18/45/180 bunch and noticed a $11 6-max hyper going off shortly, so had that as the ONE MTT I would play. So the usual shit went down, relentless beats, numerous chip leader to bubble/4ths in higher buy-in 18's, checked my bank after an hour; $200  Cry If I lose that then I'm in $2.5k MU meng!!

Then suddenly, as if a switch had been physically flicked, as if to say "hey boys, he's almost busto we gotta keep him in the game, hey Abraham, flick Ragz's account for a while or so, let him off the noose for a breather", I simply could not lose. TT+ every hand, river 2 outers every time my JJ had QQ waiting, flopping, turning, rivering everything couldn't lose a hand!!!! WTF?Huh? Nothin consitent about this site, nothing runs average it's one gigantic extreme or the other, sadly "the other" is like two hours per quarter.

So it finished with a 1st and 2nd in two $15 180's, and a

 Click to see full-size image.


 Click to see full-size image.



However this still brings me to very small wage since March 31st. I'm tempted to ask if I can pay the MU back in installments and take a bigger cut for now but spose I'd better leave it for the sake of just another couple hundred bux. Communications with my stable are extremely slow but apparently we've just been appointed a new go between to add on skype who is meant to be dealing with all the cashouts and so on. Remains to be seen how smooth that will run. Catch 22's these situations cuz I'm extremely superstitious of the whole cashout-followed-by-massive-downswing syndrome but in the situation it's prob best to take the money while it's there!!
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muckthenuts
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« Reply #67 on: May 04, 2016, 01:44:29 PM »

Congratulations man.
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Ragz
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« Reply #68 on: May 04, 2016, 02:43:08 PM »

 
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peejaytwo
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« Reply #69 on: May 04, 2016, 03:03:45 PM »

Congratulations man.

Yeah, good to read a bit of a turnaround.
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Ragz
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« Reply #70 on: May 06, 2016, 05:38:02 PM »

Well it's certainly been back to business as usual since that miraculous actual winning day. Done nothing but lose since, but any halfway close to expectation I have had has come in just MTT's. FT'd the Hot $82 this morning. With it now being at the weirdo time of 11:15 it only makes for a $2.5k first place, however first money spot was $250, the trade off being it was 25 players who took 2422565234523423 hands to burst it. Anyways I was in the top 3 from pretty much bb600 or something onwards the whole time. Briefly to my left was epitomised but he soon moved then I noticed he was like 2/10 on the other table, FT came and he was gone By then I'd lost 4-5 hands in a row to end up pretty much shafted for the FT, got a double to around 12bbs with TT then minned QQ into some Russian called hulinada's big blind. He was 60% defend and had already scuppered me at the semi FT defending T6o with 6bbs and flopping nine pairs vs my AQo. In this hand he time bank rejams A7s, hits quints and I'm gone.


Still can't catch a break in SnG's at all. EV since last post.

 Click to see full-size image.


18.7 hrs @ 22.5 games/hr. Last two days I've done an actual proper 9-6 type run and only gotten 15games/hr abi $14.





« Last Edit: May 06, 2016, 05:43:05 PM by Ragz » Logged
Ragz
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« Reply #71 on: May 09, 2016, 11:35:59 AM »

I've always said it and last night rang true. Runnings and luck in MTT's at least build up, like form in any sport, only there's no control over this. You can have form at football, snooker whatever, but how can you have form at luck? Well I won that little one last week, then FT'd the Hot 82, felt it was building up. Last night I FT'd the Hot (former Hotter) $55. Wasn't happy to see pads and conorb1 there though, in fact whole table was regs bar one maybe. That didn't matter though, throughout the table I was at most of the game up until and then again at the FT, everyone was nitty as balls!!!!!! Hardly any defends, hardly any funny stuff, just plain old ABC from everyone it seemed. I was mostly card frozen and simply won the hands I was supposed to win. The biggest stroke of luck was my AQs beating another guy's AQo for a bit of an inflection point. He did only have 10bbs but at a late stage of the game that was huge to collect.

Pads was first to go at the FT which with all due respect was a big relief, just glad he wasn't stacked, and I got to CL and pretty much stayed there from 7-8 players and down. A few stacks <10bb so really easy to raise and avoid 2nd-3rd stacks getting involved. But there were two hands in a row where 2nd stack to my direct left 3bet me as I was prepared to call off the two short guys behind him. First time I had KTo and really wanted to 4b jam as he surely needs QQ+ to call. He then did it again the very next hand. I think he was testing to see if I knew my dominating position and to see what he can get away with. Were I not in such a desperate situation for living expenses and such right now I would've no question snap jammed 100% of my opens on his 3bets. Anyways he stopped doing it after those two so who knows maybe he had the tits both times!

We get three handed and I'm CL but not by huge amount. robinho raises button I'm in sb with TT. 3bet and he time bank 4bets. I snap jam into JJ. BRILLIANT. Left with 6-7bbs or something I rejam KQo on other guy's button open, he has KJ. Flop a straight. Turn chops it ffs. Then jam 89o bvb into 99. As negative as it seems I'm totally pissed not to get at least hu more than I'm stoked to win 9.3k. It only keeps my head above water especially as only 60% is mine! The win or even just 2nd would've made much bigger difference. Strangely my stable guy wished me luck the second I hit the FT. I'm like wtf? I'm not open in the Stars search. He wanted to chop it up the second I finshed lol. Fine by me, except for all the transfer restrictions. $3k transfer fund exchange limit (that's myself from $ to £. Could've just withdrawn as $ I guess but they probably rip u a massive exchange rate.

On top of that yesterday I also won a $30 45 PKO thingy. I won $144 in bounties then the $199 first place. That makes $357 yet sharkscope said I PROFITED $444 Huh?Huh?Huh? Odd. Also won a sat into SCOOP-05-M an $82 buy-in. Structure weird as, 4 minute levels to start, then upping to 6, then 8, 10, 12, 15. How long was this game gonna take? Starting at 10:00 prob would've gone to 6am even with turboy first levels. Just checked it finished 7am. So I unregged that in the end what with playing from the gf's bed. Was the only time she paid sharp attention to my poker funnily enough!! When I bust she asked if I'd "been voted out?"  

Month to date
 Click to see full-size image.





$0-$60 scheduleds excluding rebuys and sats since 2011
 Click to see full-size image.


Doesn't amount to alot of games over 5yrs for sure, however that downswing has felt like an eternity. For all the joy you get from binking one MTT in x amount of years, I would happily trade for just smooth runnings in my SnG's to lead a normal life! meh, waddayagunnadoy  
« Last Edit: May 09, 2016, 11:41:38 AM by Ragz » Logged
Ragz
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« Reply #72 on: May 10, 2016, 02:36:49 PM »

Second solid day now of sorting shit. Transfer fund conversion limits, arguing back n forht with Star about it, can't even get my fucking money!! And sorting Holdem Manager 2. Man is this the tilitest software ever made! Getting nowhere fast with it, support respond once a day, really furstrating

Don't really wanna play til I've got my money or the 100% nailed on downswing I'm about to hit will take it all. Not pessimism, REALISM.
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Ragz
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« Reply #73 on: May 11, 2016, 07:18:32 PM »

Still at it with the the HM2  Must've spent 24hrs on it by now. Totally given up with getting summaries imported into the damn thing now and focused on other things. The whole time I've been thinking HUD numbers aren't allowed to be the colour white becuase I'm sure I read somewhere something about it having to do with the terms and conditions of the site that was to do with the reason they banned HM1. So I played some today with the numbers being green..and some red. Just can't deal with it, screws my peripheral up and fries my bonce too much. Don't know what it is but I'm EXTREMELY fussy with how my table and stats are laid out. I can only use the hyper simple theme, anything else and I can't think straight, and stats have to be not in the way of anything like cards and so on  idiot      Some peoples layouts I've seen are like WTF HOW DO U EVEN KNOW WHAT'S HAPPENING?Huh?Huh??  Probably some kind of autist I am, whatever. Anyways I got quite happy again since I managed to customise the popups from stuff like this



and this

 

and this

 Click to see full-size image.
talktothehand talktothehand talktothehand talktothehand

to stuff like this



and this

 Click to see full-size image.


and this



 stirthepot  dad dont dance

What I do like from the software if you look at that last popup, is the resteal v hero stat, which I heard of years ago but never thought any samples would be significant enough to differ from their usual resteal stat v anyone. See how wrong I am there!! haha shows what image I have
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dwayne110
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« Reply #74 on: May 12, 2016, 10:23:16 AM »

Mate, skim thread a couple of pages and you seem to be constantly tilted by bad beats, suggested online is rigged a couple of posts back, etc.... is it worth the stress? If it's making you feel like crap 90% of the days you play it's not for you.

Not criticism, just curious if you've considered if you'd be happier and wealthier by taking a different path.


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