UK General Election 2015

[neeko]

Ireland redid an EU referendum because the "wrong" answer was given.

[MintTrav]

There's no reason why they shouldn't have another referendum in a relatively short time if it becomes clear that public opinion has taken a turn in that direction.

[Jon MW]

There's no reason why they shouldn't have another referendum in a relatively short time if it becomes clear that public opinion has taken a turn in that direction.

That's true but in practice I expect that would, at best, be shown from opinion polls (commissioned by the SNP) - and at worse will simply be argued that the vote for the SNP represents a support for another one.

If there is a genuine uplift in support for it then it's fair enough, but you wouldn't have thought a sufficient number of people would change there minds so quickly as to make it worthwhile.

[TightEnd]

[TightEnd]

The outlook for departmental spending under different parties, according to TheIFS, on their manifesto commitments

I must say it surprised me to see where the SNP is on this.

[TightEnd]

but not so much this though



however its all pretty wholly, and probably based on unachievable forecasts according to the IFS

[TightEnd]

If you need help gettintg to sleep later, all the numbers are in

http://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/7725

all parties get it with both barrels for vagueness

[doubleup]

I can't see Scottish Independence being an issue for a long, long time to come.

The Yes campaign constantly said it was a once in a generation chance from the get go.

A lot of people who voted Yes were swayed by nonsense economic figures that were dependent on the oil price.  And it looks like the Saudi's are gonna be keeping it low for a reasonable amount of time.

And the vote was 45/55 with I think 10-11% not voting, so a decent amount of the population were clearly happy with the status quo.

It'll be 35-40% for a good few years yet but of course they will be the ones who shout by far the loudest.

This is what I was driving at.

The main pillar of SNP policy is Scottish Nationalism. That isn't going to happen until 2050 at the earliest.

So why would you vote for a party whose main goal is completely unachieveable.

They are voting for a party that they think they will represent their interests.

[TightEnd]

more good stuff

(i know its geeky, but there you go)

[TightEnd]

"Forget the dizzying list of stats - the millions, billions and percentages - for just a moment.

Forget those clever folk at the Institute for Fiscal Studies.

Forget the claims and counter-claims that "we've spelt out our plans" and the "it's the other lot whose 'numbers simply don't add up'".

Focus instead on what has been missing from this election campaign so far. That is the scale of the choice the electorate are facing. A choice that has been masked by deliberate evasiveness and obfuscation on all sides, by vague ambitions dressed up to sound hard and specific and, above all, by the political cross-dressing of the two big parties."

...........

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32429068

[TightEnd]

Literature from one of the pro-union groups that have sprung up in Scotland trying to encourage tactical voting



i ask as someone not on the patch, to the scottish posters on here

this going to have any impact at all? at the margin?

[redsimon]

Would have thought another Yes/No Scottish ref. would only happen if the UK decides to leave the EU in 2017 ref (If that occurs?) as Scots opinion very much Pro EU membership?

[redsimon]

So, on those figures no way Conservatives can form a Coalition with enough seats? Labour or Lab/Lib with SNP support a shoe in?

[TightEnd]

So, on those figures no way Conservatives can form a Coalition with enough seats? Labour or Lab/Lib with SNP support a shoe in?

yes the electoral maths is clear

this explains why miliband has gone from odds against to 8/15 next prime minister

[ripple11]

So, on those figures no way Conservatives can form a Coalition with enough seats? Labour or Lab/Lib with SNP support a shoe in?

yes the electoral maths is clear

this explains why miliband has gone from odds against to 8/15 next prime minister

 The Tories have to get the "lab+snp= carnage" message through.... then a Tories + Lib coalition again with support from DUP and even UKIP...might just make it!