UK General Election 2015

[Kmac84]

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jan/21/poll-snp-labour-scottish-seats-election

Latest Mori poll in Scotland. 

DIE Labour.

I hope the SNP do well enough to get the conservatives elected 

It doesn't matter how Scotland votes, we already covered this in the referendum debate.  Scotland gets the government England votes for. 

To be perfectly honest I'd rather Cameron got another term than that prick Milliband, Labour are finished in my books.  They have very little political talent.   The entire UK will be in a worse position if they get elected.  For Scotland 5 more years of Conservative rule will most definitely mean independence.  I always argues that 2015 for the indy ref was 4 years too early. 

[MintTrav]

So Nicola Sturgeon says she is going to support Labour after the election.

And the Lib-Dems have much more in common with Labour than with the Conservatives. Clegg says that they went with them the last time because they had nearly 50 seats more than Labour and we're "entitled" to try to govern the country. That won't be the case this time and the Lib-Dems will most likely support Labour.

If Labour performs strongly enough, Miliband may be able to choose between the Lib-Dems and SNP. Or he may need the support of both. A minority Labour government supported from outside by LD, SNP and Greens is quite possible.

One way or another, after Sturgeon's interview on the Marr programme this morning, the biggest issue of the election is decided. Ed Miliband will be Prime Minister in May.

[TightEnd]

So Nicola Sturgeon says she is going to support Labour after the election.

And the Lib-Dems have much more in common with Labour than with the Conservatives. Clegg says that they went with them the last time because they had nearly 50 seats more than Labour and we're "entitled" to try to govern the country. That won't be the case this time and the Lib-Dems will most likely support Labour.

If Labour performs strongly enough, Miliband may be able to choose between the Lib-Dems and SNP. Or he may need the support of both. A minority Labour government supported from outside by LD, SNP and Greens is quite possible.

One way or another, after Sturgeon's interview on the Marr programme this morning, the biggest issue of the election is decided. Ed Miliband will be Prime Minister in May.

if the Conservatives have the most seats they will be invited to try to form a government first. they may end up in a short lived minority goverement but there is many a slip between your post and its last sentence

All to play for

[Kmac84]

Some tweets!

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB  ·  1m 1 minute ago
ComRes phone poll for Indy
CON 31+2
LAB 30-2
LD 8-4
UKIP 17+1
GRN 7+2
So 4 pollsters today have it within 1 point

Anthony Wells @anthonyjwells  ·  2 hours ago
3 polls so far today:
Populus, C34, L35, LD9, UKIP13, GRN6
Ashcroft, C32, L32, LD6, UKIP15, GRN9
Survation, C31, L30, LD7, UKIP23, GRN3

[nirvana]

Incred, didnt know we'd moved to fixed term parliaments

[TightEnd]

With the Tories now 1.9 favs for GE15, @paulmotty puts their momentum down to these 4 reasons

https://betting.betfair.com/politics/general-election-2015-betting/four-reasons-why-the-tories-have-momentum-280115-171.html

[MintTrav]

Ah........most seats. For a minute I thought you were saying they were favourites to be in government.

[DungBeetle]

They are favs to be in Government as well.

PM after GE

Cameron 4/7
Miliband 5/4

[TightEnd]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

[neeko]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Amazing approval ratings from history and now

Kinnock ('87)   -30
Milliband (now)   -35 !!!!!!!!!!!!
Foot (83)       -39

It's amazing that the Tories can't even get a slight majority.

[arbboy]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Haven't most sane people thought this for months anyway that Red Ed is unelectable as PM?  It's just a case of whether UKIP stop the tories getting a majority?

[vegaslover]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Amazing approval ratings from history and now

Kinnock ('87)   -30
Milliband (now)   -35 !!!!!!!!!!!!
Foot (83)       -39

It's amazing that the Tories can't even get a slight majority.

Just shows how bad the Tories are imo. Labour fk'ed up having Ed as leader, David as leader would have seen a Labour victory come May

[arbboy]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Amazing approval ratings from history and now

Kinnock ('87)   -30
Milliband (now)   -35 !!!!!!!!!!!!
Foot (83)       -39

It's amazing that the Tories can't even get a slight majority.

Just shows how bad the Tories are imo. Labour fk'ed up having Ed as leader, David as leader would have seen a Labour victory come May

totally agree and pretty sure most of the labour party think the same.

[AndrewT]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Article written by Dan Hodges.

Who he?

Glenda Jackson's son, former Blairite, supported David Miliband in the leadership election, voted for Boris in the London Mayoral election, now writes for The Telegraph and is said to be David Cameron's favourite columnist.

So, pinch of salt and all that.

[Woodsey]

controversial one

"Forget the hype. The 2015 general election is not balanced on a knife edge. Nor is it  “too close to call”. Barring a political deus ex machina, the only question that now remains is will the Tories manage to secure a majority, or will they be returned to government as part of a coalition or  a minority administration.
 
Labour’s hopes died this week. "

http://www.totalpolitics.com/opinion/447822/the-election-is-not-on-a-knife-edge.thtml

Article written by Dan Hodges.

Who he?

Glenda Jackson's son, former Blairite, supported David Miliband in the leadership election, voted for Boris in the London Mayoral election, now writes for The Telegraph and is said to be David Cameron's favourite columnist.

So, pinch of salt and all that.

Says the leftie, grind of pepper and all that lol