What next?
key points from The Times today
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/62a2f4aa-0fa7-11e9-aa1a-52868904fdf41 The meaningful vote is set to be either on Tue Jan 15 or Wed Jan 16. A decision hasn’t been made yet
2 plan is for May to appear on the Marr on BBC 1 on Sunday to launch the 10 year NHS plan, spelling out how the ££ announced over the summer will be spent.
3 More help from EU on the way - possibly as soon next week. Cabinet ministers agree with Leo Varadkar - who suggested yesterday after his 40 min Merkel call that the U.K. could expect additional help from the EU to get the Meaningful Vote through. Help “on eve if vote”
4 The EU won’t give much Eg it cd be a verbal promise a permanent backstop “is not a desired outcome”. this assistance - non binding promises the backstop will be temporary - is being referred to in Whitehall as “Operation Figleaf”
5 May will have two (or three?) tries to get the Meaningful Vote through - but not more. Cabinet ministers believe - and No10 does not deny - she’ll go again
6 Cabinet ministers simply do not know what happens if she loses both votes - and are split over whether she goes for no deal or whether she tries something else
7 Tory members are in a different place the country as whole on “no deal” -
63% of TORY MEMBERS say they would be delighted/pleased/relieved by no deal
18% of ALL VOTERS say the same
8 Labour opposition to the deal has been solidifying The polling of Labour members this week suggested Jeremy Corbyn is under huge grassroots pressure to reject TM’s deal
What next? Who knows