so there is going to be a really fun by-election
Jamie Reed Labour MP for Copeland is going to work for Sellafield
this is a 3 way by-election
last election:
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where is it?
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it is the next door constituency to tim farron, lots of LD activists in the area, which adds another layer of fun
note.
numbercrunch politics estimate that the constituency voted 59.8% leave in the referendum
cons need a 3.3% swing to win it
Last time a gov gained in a by-election was Mitcham & Morden in 1982.
Last time without special circumstances was Brighouse and Spen in 1960
a tough one to call, but Labour will be full on to retain it against the pincer movement of con/ukip leavers and LD remainers