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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2202428 times)
AndrewT
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« Reply #3120 on: June 23, 2016, 11:57:04 PM »

0/382 declared.

I thought this was just a straight up Voted Remain % vs Voted Leave % of total votes?

It is.  What is your point?

The way is says Leave 0 Remain 0 0/382 declared suggests it's gonna be out of 382. Will those 0s just become %s?

No it's just one big poll (15 million remain vs 14 million leave or whatever) - they just announce it in 382 chunks
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AndrewT
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« Reply #3121 on: June 23, 2016, 11:58:00 PM »

This is fascinating.

Price of remain is shortening right up on Betfair, but on the spreads, remain % mid point has fallen by over 2 points.

Betfair catching up.

Would have thought it was the other way round, but no. Spreads leading the way for once.

City boys more likely to play on the spreads? Betfair punters more likely to be guys sat at home watching the TV?
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arbboy
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« Reply #3122 on: June 24, 2016, 12:00:33 AM »

This is fascinating.

Price of remain is shortening right up on Betfair, but on the spreads, remain % mid point has fallen by over 2 points.

Betfair catching up.

Would have thought it was the other way round, but no. Spreads leading the way for once.

City boys more likely to play on the spreads? Betfair punters more likely to be guys sat at home watching the TV?

£65m done on the exchange.  Don't think thats guys sitting at home watching the tv given bf has a sportsbook nowadays to take all the mug money.  Wish they would turn over £65k on a dog race on the exchange never mind £65m nowadays.  The sportsbook has generally killed exchange turnover.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #3123 on: June 24, 2016, 12:10:49 AM »

Good toss to win. Time for the other side to bat
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« Reply #3124 on: June 24, 2016, 12:12:00 AM »

Spreads now moving towards remain again.

Last chance to buy money at 1.12 I think.
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« Reply #3125 on: June 24, 2016, 12:40:32 AM »

Jesus, just gone 2/9, 9/2.
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« Reply #3126 on: June 24, 2016, 12:43:46 AM »

I think that's reacting to a predicted narrow victory for Remain in Newcastle, when ite might have expected to be a bit more (university town, lots of young people)
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« Reply #3127 on: June 24, 2016, 12:46:43 AM »

I think that's reacting to a predicted narrow victory for Remain in Newcastle, when ite might have expected to be a bit more (university town, lots of young people)

Students are on holiday aren't they?

Usually are.
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« Reply #3128 on: June 24, 2016, 12:50:36 AM »

Ashdown, eat your hat or get off TV, a man who doesnt honour his bets. Wouldnt be surprised if NE votes are way moreleave than people predict, seems to be alot of people in alot of convos want out. UKIP was very popular in message at the GE, just people make sure labour get seats up here.
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« Reply #3129 on: June 24, 2016, 12:53:02 AM »

I think that's reacting to a predicted narrow victory for Remain in Newcastle, when ite might have expected to be a bit more (university town, lots of young people)

Students are on holiday aren't they?

Usually are.

Ah yeah, they probably are. Even though, Newcastle was expected to be more remain than Sunderland.

Leave now 4.3 on betfair
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« Reply #3130 on: June 24, 2016, 12:56:02 AM »

I think that's reacting to a predicted narrow victory for Remain in Newcastle, when ite might have expected to be a bit more (university town, lots of young people)

Students are on holiday aren't they?

Usually are.

Ah yeah, they probably are. Even though, Newcastle was expected to be more remain than Sunderland.

Leave now 4.3 on betfair

11/4 now
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« Reply #3131 on: June 24, 2016, 12:56:41 AM »

Game on.  Students in Ibiza!!  Didn't fancy it in Geordie Shore.  Too busy champagne popping.
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« Reply #3132 on: June 24, 2016, 12:58:14 AM »

I think that's reacting to a predicted narrow victory for Remain in Newcastle, when ite might have expected to be a bit more (university town, lots of young people)

Newcastle/Sunderland very white working class?  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #3133 on: June 24, 2016, 01:05:05 AM »

Trying to work out which sweat thread I'm enjoying more between this and Tikay's.
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« Reply #3134 on: June 24, 2016, 01:05:36 AM »

Labour have lost their supporters.

Only way remain wins now is if Tory heartland backs the party line by a bigger margin than expected.
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