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Author Topic: Wimbledon 2015  (Read 23531 times)
MereNovice
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« on: June 27, 2015, 12:40:56 AM »

Draws are here:

http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/ls/lsdraw.pdf

http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/ms/msdraw.pdf


Women's seeds:

There has been an extra week of grass court tournaments this year in the build up to Wimbledon. Sharapova and Serena Williams haven't played any of the tournaments. With no form to go on, it's still difficult to back against either of these two. Serena's health and emotional stability would seem to be the only things stopping her winning at a canter.

Caroline Wozniacki withdrew from the semi-final at Eastbourne today with a back injury. She doesn't give up easily (she is renowned for playing through injuries) and her game is based on her physical ability so I think she can be discounted.

Kvitova and Kerber both dropped out of Eastbourne with viral complaints but I suspect that they will be absolutely fine for Wimbledon.

Simona Halep lost to Kristina Mladenovic in the QF at Birmingham and didn't play at Eastbourne. The TV commentators gave Mladenovic a lot of credit but it wasn't a good performance by Halep.

Agnieska Radwanska has found more enthusiasm for the game and should progress well. She has been playing consistently well apart from an odd performance at Nottingham in the semi-final against Monica Niculescu when she lost 5-7 6-4 6-0. She has reached the final at Eastbourne.

Ekaterina Makarova is a grass court player but she is in bad form - she got slaughtered by a very impressive Johanna Konta (ranked 146 but playing top 50) 6-2 6-4 at Eastbourne.
(I happen to have a very nice freeroll on Konta which has been hampered somewhat by her drawing Sharapova in the first round.  aftertiming ).

Lucie Safarova could do well but after a run of good form and reaching the final of the French Open but has only played one match since then. She lost to Dominika Cibulkova who had been out injured for several months.

Ana Ivanovic flatters to deceive.

Carla Suarez-Navarro is not a grass court specialist and is unlikely to progress far as she is scheduled to meet Mladenovic in round two and Azarenka in round three.

Karolina Pliskova has a big game with a great serve which should be ideal for grass. She looks a generous bet at 66/1 with SportingBet.
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/winner

Sabine Lisicki has a very good draw and a game made for grass. Her form has been inconsistent but she generally rises to the occasion at Wimbledon.

Eugenie Bouchard is well below her form of last year. General opinion is that she has too many off-court distractions. She has also lost a significant amount of weight.
Even with her habit of playing well in Grand Slam events it's difficult to see her progressing far here. She retired against Bencic at Eastbourne.

Victoria Azarenka was making good progress after being out for a long time with injury. Sadly she withdrew during Birmingham with a foot injury. This may have been preventative rather than terminal so don't rule her out.

Madison Keys should do well on grass but lost her only game on grass this year at Eastbourne to Belinda Bencic 6-2, 6-2.

For the British interest:

Sadly, Laura Robson will lose in the first round to Rodina. She has not recovered sufficiently from her wrist injury.
Rodina can be backed to win 2-0 at 2.38 in several places:
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/evgeniya-rodina-v-laura-robson/set-betting

Heather Watson is playing fairly well and has a first round match against Caroline Garcia who is in very poor form.
I'm a big fan of Garcia generally but Watson at 1.9 appeals.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/tennis/event?id=27476465

As mentioned above, Johanna Konta drew the short stick.

Naomi Broady is favourite against Mariana Duque-Marino (who may be allergic to grass) despite being ranked 197 against her opponent at 97.

Random other thoughts:

Sloane Stephens seems to be re-focused on tennis and has an excellent coach in Nick Saviano who suits her personality. It may be a bit too soon for her at Wimbledon but she will be climbing the rankings soon.



Oh, and apparently, some blokes will be playing in a tournament too.



All comments made above are purely my own and made under the influence of red wine. I'd welcome any feedback. I'm happy to venture a view on anything else in the women's tournament. (Being uninformed shouldn't stop me having an opinion).
Personally, I've backed half the field so I'm hoping to keep some interest into the second week. Smiley
« Last Edit: June 27, 2015, 12:45:40 AM by MereNovice » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2015, 02:11:31 AM »


Oh, and apparently, some blokes will be playing in a tournament too.


I was wondering if they may get a mention.


Wink
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tikay
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2015, 02:13:11 AM »

Sadly, Laura Robson will lose in the first round to Rodina. She has not recovered sufficiently from her wrist injury.
Rodina can be backed to win 2-0 at 2.38 in several places:



On the face of it, that sounds like a decent bet.

Can I steal it & suggest it on Fred?

PS - If Tighty sees it, & agrees, just get on. Failing that, place a £20 bet off thread on my behalf, please.
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tikay
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2015, 02:33:18 AM »



Eugenie seems reasonably fit to my untrained eye.

 Click to see full-size image.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2015, 02:37:41 AM »

Sadly, Laura Robson will lose in the first round to Rodina. She has not recovered sufficiently from her wrist injury.
Rodina can be backed to win 2-0 at 2.38 in several places:



On the face of it, that sounds like a decent bet.

Can I steal it & suggest it on Fred?

PS - If Tighty sees it, & agrees, just get on. Failing that, place a £20 bet off thread on my behalf, please.

Sadly now best price of 2.15 but still a decent bet. I'm pretty sure that this is odds-on. It will be void if Robson retires but I suspect that she will try to complete the match. Rodina is a no-nonsense total effort player. Unless her baby has kept her up all night she should coast this.
Feel free to recommend as you see fit.
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tikay
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2015, 02:47:28 AM »

Sadly, Laura Robson will lose in the first round to Rodina. She has not recovered sufficiently from her wrist injury.
Rodina can be backed to win 2-0 at 2.38 in several places:



On the face of it, that sounds like a decent bet.

Can I steal it & suggest it on Fred?

PS - If Tighty sees it, & agrees, just get on. Failing that, place a £20 bet off thread on my behalf, please.

Sadly now best price of 2.15 but still a decent bet. I'm pretty sure that this is odds-on. It will be void if Robson retires but I suspect that she will try to complete the match. Rodina is a no-nonsense total effort player. Unless her baby has kept her up all night she should coast this.
Feel free to recommend as you see fit.

Thanks Vince.

Wink
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2015, 10:27:06 AM »

So it all starts today. Neal Ardley says he won't be pushing the players in pre-season training though.

http://www.getwestlondon.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/neal-ardley-vows-not-overload-9544652?

 
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2015, 09:19:17 PM »

I mentioned a while ago that I thought it would only be a matter of time before Claire Balding elbowed her way past Sue Barker to present Wimbledon on telly.
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2015, 09:26:50 PM »

I mentioned a while ago that I thought it would only be a matter of time before Claire Balding elbowed her way past Sue Barker to present Wimbledon on telly.

Ms. Barker has been hard at it since 11:30am. There's enough limelight to go around.
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« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2015, 09:37:29 PM »

I mentioned a while ago that I thought it would only be a matter of time before Claire Balding elbowed her way past Sue Barker to present Wimbledon on telly.

Ms. Barker has been hard at it since 11:30am. There's enough limelight to go around.

My remark was actually aimed more or less at Monsieur End with whom I had this discussion a year or two back. He opined at that time that Ms. Balding was otherwise engaged and would stick to tennis on the radio so Ms. Barker was safe from her clutches on the telly at least.
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« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2015, 10:28:38 PM »

Safarova gave my account a little scare. Little less drama tomorrow please ladies.
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Nico29
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« Reply #11 on: June 30, 2015, 07:13:06 PM »

Cheers mere for the straight set angle in robson game. V nice.
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« Reply #12 on: June 30, 2015, 07:16:15 PM »

Sadly, Laura Robson will lose in the first round to Rodina. She has not recovered sufficiently from her wrist injury.
Rodina can be backed to win 2-0 at 2.38 in several places:



On the face of it, that sounds like a decent bet.

Can I steal it & suggest it on Fred?

PS - If Tighty sees it, & agrees, just get on. Failing that, place a £20 bet off thread on my behalf, please.

Sadly now best price of 2.15 but still a decent bet. I'm pretty sure that this is odds-on. It will be void if Robson retires but I suspect that she will try to complete the match. Rodina is a no-nonsense total effort player. Unless her baby has kept her up all night she should coast this.
Feel free to recommend as you see fit.

Thanks Vince.

Wink

Thanks Mere, nice start to the comp.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #13 on: June 30, 2015, 07:33:41 PM »

You're welcome.
Rather closer than I was expecting!
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« Reply #14 on: June 30, 2015, 09:26:17 PM »

Thanks Mere for the Robson bet.

Much appreciated.
 
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